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Guangzhou vs Xinjiang Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 80-116
21-35 24-25 25-23 10-33
Position#16
Record10-30
FormLLWWW
Points / game96.6
Allowed / game106.6
Guangzhou
China
vs
Xinjiang 🏆
China
Position#5
Record28-11
FormWWLWW
Points / game110.2
Allowed / game102.2
ChinaCBARound 41· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Guangzhou v Xinjiang
09 Dec 2026
GUAN v XINJ
upcoming
06 Jan 2026
GUAN79
XINJ76
16 Mar 2025
GUAN80
XINJ116
26 Apr 2024
GUAN71
XINJ93
24 Apr 2024
GUAN105
XINJ83
16 Mar 2024
GUAN108
XINJ96
25 Oct 2023
GUAN99
XINJ84
05 Jan 2023
GUAN83
XINJ113
02 Nov 2021
GUAN123
XINJ105
01 Apr 2021
GUAN93
XINJ110
18 Oct 2020
GUAN97
XINJ102
22 Nov 2019
GUAN105
XINJ137
31 Oct 2018
GUAN106
XINJ101
05 Nov 2017
GUAN110
XINJ137
15 Nov 2016
GUAN89
XINJ99
22 Jan 2016
GUAN99
XINJ98
01 Feb 2015
GUAN103
XINJ129
11 Dec 2013
GUAN86
XINJ103
30 Nov 2012
GUAN101
XINJ91
11 Dec 2011
GUAN96
XINJ102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Xinjiang winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Guangdong
#8
L
77-85
77
85
-8
64avg 88
H16/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
97-116
97
116
-19
90avg 88
A18/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
116-124
116
124
-8
108avg 88
A20/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
113-116
113
116
-3
102avg 88
H22/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
82-111
82
111
-29
70avg 88
A24/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
80-126
80
126
-46
52avg 88
A05/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
L
86-104
86
104
-18
85avg 88
H08/03
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
109-101 OT
109
101
+8
110avg 88
H10/03
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
96-87
96
87
+9
92avg 88
A12/03
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
87-79
87
79
+8
72avg 88
H14/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
20-11
11-33
18-23
27-34
20-26
26-24
24-32
30-26
32-35
27-36
27-27
27-28
32-40
32-26
22-22
22-29
21-24
25-32
14-26
19-25
26-24
15-41
20-36
24-31
18-24
22-26
22-23
32-32
19-15
26-25
19-24
14-21
27-16
26-31
29-19
21-22
16-19
24-16
26-22
199.2Avg total
94.3Scored
104.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)96.6106.6203.2-10.025%
Season at home (20)97.8106.5204.3-8.625%
Season away (20)95.4106.7202.1-11.325%
Last 10 (10)94.3104.9199.2-10.630%
Last 5 (5)91.699.4191.0-7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)93.1112.2205.2-19.10%
vs Similar (10)102.294.7196.9+7.570%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XinjiangChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormXinjiang
Date
Competition
Jilin
#14
W
137-120
137
120
+17
140avg 104
A23/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
L
109-118
109
118
-9
96avg 104
A25/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#7
W
102-83
102
83
+19
no box
H09/02
CBA Club Cup
Shanxi Zhongyu
#8
W
105-89
105
89
+16
no box
H11/02
CBA Club Cup
Shanghai
#1
L
80-89
80
89
-9
no box
H15/02
CBA Club Cup
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
110-103
110
103
+7
98avg 104
A05/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
101-79
101
79
+22
94avg 104
A08/03
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
87-106
87
106
-19
76avg 104
H10/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
118-102
118
102
+16
120avg 104
H12/03
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
104-103
104
103
+1
103avg 104
A14/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-31
32-23
36-29
34-37
19-34
27-32
39-20
24-32
28-21
23-25
26-22
25-15
32-23
22-31
22-13
29-22
16-13
26-25
19-22
19-29
33-23
26-35
24-16
27-29
34-18
29-14
19-23
19-24
18-29
18-28
23-25
28-24
28-32
31-15
29-27
30-28
30-22
20-25
22-29
32-27
204.5Avg total
105.3Scored
99.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)110.2102.2212.4+7.972%
Season at home (21)115.7104.4220.0+11.386%
Season away (18)103.899.7203.5+4.156%
Last 10 (10)105.399.2204.5+6.170%
Last 5 (5)104.098.6202.6+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.591.5176.0-7.00%
vs Similar (13)107.0103.3210.3+3.762%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)112.2100.0212.2+12.280%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
GuangzhouXinjiang
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guangdong
#8
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H16/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A18/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A20/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H22/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A24/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A05/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H08/03
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H10/03
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A12/03
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H14/03
CBA
97.5Avg total
47.5Scored
50.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.451.8101.2-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (17)50.451.5101.9-1.247%-
Last 30 away (13)48.252.2100.4-4.138%-
Last 10 (10)47.550.097.5-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)43.245.889.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)49.555.3104.8-5.830%-
vs Similar (10)49.244.994.1+4.370%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XinjiangLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jilin
#14
W
67-54
67
54
+13
A23/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
L
46-66
46
66
-20
A25/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H09/02
CBA Club Cup
Shanxi Zhongyu
#8
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H11/02
CBA Club Cup
Shanghai
#1
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H15/02
CBA Club Cup
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
59-58
59
58
+1
A05/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
63-32
63
32
+31
A08/03
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
36-57
36
57
-21
H10/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
59-47
59
47
+12
H12/03
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A14/03
CBA
102.6Avg total
52.7Scored
49.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.450.7107.0+5.770%-
Last 30 at home (17)56.651.4107.9+5.265%-
Last 30 away (13)56.149.8105.8+6.377%-
Last 10 (10)52.749.9102.6+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)53.448.2101.6+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)48.036.584.5+11.5100%-
vs Similar (13)55.653.5109.1+2.246%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)58.150.1108.3+8.087%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 93.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.224.5
49.8%
52.6%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.3
33.2%
35.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.416.6
77.6%
76.3%16.6
They take 77.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Xinjiangtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Xinjiang: 106.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.427.1
51.7%
52.6%54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.011.4
32.6%
35.1%34.2
🏀 Free throws22.217.9
80.6%
76.3%17.9
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
WWWLLLLLLL
Xinjiang
WWLWWLWWLW
#16
League position
#5
-11.7
Net rating
+8.5
101.0
Offensive rating
112.4
112.7
Defensive rating
104.0
49.8%
Effective FG%
50.6%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
19.5%
Turnover %
15.5%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
34.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.2%
3-point %
32.6%
57.4%
Assist %
71.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 112.4Defence112.7 · 104.0Shooting49.8% · 50.6%3-point %33.2% · 32.6%Ball care19.5% · 15.5%Off. rebounds27.7% · 34.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Xinjiang
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Guangzhou wins
7
Xinjiang wins
DateGameScore
18/01/25Xinjiang v Guangzhou116-97
26/04/24Guangzhou v Xinjiang71-93
24/04/24Guangzhou v Xinjiang105-83
21/04/24Xinjiang v Guangzhou113-86
19/04/24Xinjiang v Guangzhou108-91
16/03/24Guangzhou v Xinjiang108-96
22/12/23Xinjiang v Guangzhou110-98
25/10/23Guangzhou v Xinjiang99-84
05/01/23Guangzhou v Xinjiang83-113
08/12/22Xinjiang v Guangzhou108-96
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/25HSichuan87-79
12/03/25ATianjin96-87
10/03/25HFujian109-101 OT
08/03/25HShenzhen86-104
05/03/25AQingdao80-126
24/01/25AGuangdong82-111
22/01/25HBeijing Royal Fighters113-116
20/01/25AShanxi Zhongyu116-124
18/01/25AXinjiang97-116
16/01/25HGuangdong77-85
Xinjianglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/25AFujian104-103
12/03/25HShenzhen118-102
10/03/25HGuangdong87-106
08/03/25AJiangsu Dragons101-79
05/03/25ANingbo Rockets110-103
15/02/25HShanghai80-89
11/02/25HShanxi Zhongyu105-89
09/02/25HZhejiang Chouzhou102-83
25/01/25AShenzhen109-118
23/01/25AJilin137-120

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW25%
HomeLLLWW25%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402020
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game96.697.895.4
Allowed / game106.6106.5106.7
Point differential-9.9-8.6-11.3
Avg total203.2204.3202.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %8%15%0%
Xinjiang
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW72%
HomeLWWLW86%
AwayWLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392118
Win %72%86%56%
Points / game110.2115.7103.8
Allowed / game102.2104.499.7
Point differential+7.9+11.3+4.1
Avg total212.4220.0203.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%57%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)80% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha4034685%104.092.7+11.3
2 Shanxi Zhongyu4031978%114.8108.5+6.3
3 Xinjiang39281172%110.2102.2+7.9
4 Beijing40281270%102.996.2+6.7
5 Shandong40271368%105.0100.5+4.5
6 Guangdong40261465%104.697.7+6.9
7 Liaoning40261465%104.899.3+5.5
8 Shanghai39251464%111.4102.9+8.5
9 Zhejiang Chouzhou40251562%112.3105.0+7.3
10 Qingdao40251562%104.8101.0+3.8
11 Beijing Royal Fighters39231659%106.4101.8+4.6
12 Nanjing Tongxi40202050%105.9107.2-1.3
13 Shenzhen40152538%104.6106.9-2.3
14 Jilin40132732%103.1111.7-8.6
15 Tianjin40112928%102.0110.8-8.8
16 Guangzhou40103025%96.6106.6-9.9
17 Ningbo Rockets40103025%103.3114.2-10.9
18 Sichuan4083220%99.2109.3-10.1
19 Fujian3973218%103.4115.0-11.6
20 Jiangsu Dragons4063415%93.3103.0-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangzhou2124251080
Xinjiang35252333116
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