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Guangzhou vs Xinjiang Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 108-96
27-21 29-28 23-19 29-28
Position#9
Record21-22
FormWLLLW
Points / game101.9
Allowed / game99.4
Guangzhou 🏆
China
vs
Xinjiang
China
Position#3
Record35-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game106.2
Allowed / game96.5
ChinaCBARound 44· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Guangzhou v Xinjiang
09 Dec 2026
GUAN v XINJ
upcoming
06 Jan 2026
GUAN79
XINJ76
16 Mar 2025
GUAN80
XINJ116
26 Apr 2024
GUAN71
XINJ93
24 Apr 2024
GUAN105
XINJ83
16 Mar 2024
GUAN108
XINJ96
25 Oct 2023
GUAN99
XINJ84
05 Jan 2023
GUAN83
XINJ113
02 Nov 2021
GUAN123
XINJ105
01 Apr 2021
GUAN93
XINJ110
18 Oct 2020
GUAN97
XINJ102
22 Nov 2019
GUAN105
XINJ137
31 Oct 2018
GUAN106
XINJ101
05 Nov 2017
GUAN110
XINJ137
15 Nov 2016
GUAN89
XINJ99
22 Jan 2016
GUAN99
XINJ98
01 Feb 2015
GUAN103
XINJ129
11 Dec 2013
GUAN86
XINJ103
30 Nov 2012
GUAN101
XINJ91
11 Dec 2011
GUAN96
XINJ102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Xinjiang winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Qingdao
#7
W
108-98
108
98
+10
96avg 96
H25/01
CBA
Beijing
#11
L
98-99 OT
98
99
-1
no box
H27/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
96-79
96
79
+17
99avg 96
A29/01
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
92-100
92
100
-8
62avg 96
A01/02
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
125-98
125
98
+27
126avg 96
H03/02
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
109-96
109
96
+13
95avg 96
H05/02
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
L
100-102
100
102
-2
85avg 96
A06/03
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
103-109
103
109
-6
97avg 96
A09/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
97-104
97
104
-7
78avg 96
H11/03
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
115-100
115
100
+15
114avg 96
A14/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-27
22-34
35-20
22-17
20-20
25-32
27-18
16-18
28-22
22-11
24-18
22-28
29-33
21-26
18-24
24-17
24-31
35-21
29-21
37-25
33-28
34-17
16-28
26-23
20-26
27-20
19-38
34-18
34-29
29-27
23-32
17-21
22-25
26-30
16-19
33-30
34-35
29-22
26-21
26-22
202.8Avg total
104.3Scored
98.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)101.999.4201.3+2.549%
Season at home (21)104.398.8203.0+5.557%
Season away (22)99.6100.0199.6-0.541%
Last 10 (10)104.398.5202.8+5.850%
Last 5 (5)104.8102.2207.0+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)99.2104.8204.0-5.620%
vs Similar (13)99.1100.5199.6-1.531%
vs Weaker (12)106.499.9206.3+6.567%
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XinjiangChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormXinjiang
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
134-102
134
102
+32
133avg 98
H24/01
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
102-98
102
98
+4
96avg 98
A27/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
110-84
110
84
+26
106avg 98
A29/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
103-87
103
87
+16
no box
A31/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
L
108-111
108
111
-3
103avg 98
A02/02
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
117-98
117
98
+19
102avg 98
H05/02
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
130-121
130
121
+9
126avg 98
H07/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
102-95
102
95
+7
94avg 98
H10/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
84-109
84
109
-25
75avg 98
A12/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
102-97
102
97
+5
97avg 98
A14/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
41-26
27-23
33-19
33-34
31-37
20-23
28-18
23-20
27-17
40-28
21-18
22-21
31-21
21-26
25-21
26-19
33-23
30-26
22-36
23-26
16-19
17-24
40-23
44-32
38-35
28-33
29-28
35-25
27-18
18-31
29-26
28-20
21-31
18-31
13-37
32-10
25-28
22-24
22-26
33-19
209.4Avg total
109.2Scored
100.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)106.296.5202.7+9.781%
Season at home (21)110.996.3207.2+14.690%
Season away (22)101.796.7198.4+5.073%
Last 10 (10)109.2100.2209.4+9.080%
Last 5 (5)107.0104.0211.0+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)111.2101.8213.0+9.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)107.596.0203.5+11.585%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +7.3+7.3
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +7.3+7.3
GuangzhouXinjiang
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qingdao
#7
L
51-61
51
61
-10
H25/01
CBA
Beijing
#11
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H27/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A29/01
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A01/02
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H03/02
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
67-45
67
45
+22
H05/02
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A06/03
CBA
Liaoning
#1
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A09/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H11/03
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A14/03
CBA
105.9Avg total
54.3Scored
51.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.452.4104.8+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (13)53.853.4107.2+0.454%-
Last 30 away (17)51.451.6102.9-0.247%-
Last 10 (10)54.351.6105.9+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)57.651.8109.4+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)52.857.0109.8-4.240%-
vs Similar (13)51.252.5103.7-1.238%-
vs Weaker (12)53.550.3103.8+3.267%-
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XinjiangLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
68-49
68
49
+19
H24/01
CBA
Shandong
#15
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A27/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
67-45
67
45
+22
A29/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A31/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
63-49
63
49
+14
A02/02
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H05/02
CBA
Shandong
#15
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H07/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H10/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
39-62
39
62
-23
A12/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A14/03
CBA
105.5Avg total
53.1Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.447.5102.0+6.967%-
Last 30 at home (17)55.445.4100.8+9.971%-
Last 30 away (13)53.250.3103.5+2.962%-
Last 10 (10)53.152.4105.5+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)46.054.8100.8-8.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)59.047.0106.0+12.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)53.747.6101.3+6.165%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 92.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.125.8
50.5%
52.7%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.0
34.9%
34.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.116.8
79.6%
76.0%16.8
They take 74.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Xinjiangtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Xinjiang: 106.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.528.5
50.4%
52.7%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.7
37.0%
34.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws28.420.8
73.2%
76.0%20.8
They take 82.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
WLLLWWLWLW
Xinjiang
WLWWWLWWWW
#9
League position
#3
+1.0
Net rating
+7.8
111.9
Offensive rating
111.7
110.9
Defensive rating
103.9
51.1%
Effective FG%
52.1%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
12.4%
Turnover %
14.7%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.9%
3-point %
37.0%
54.4%
Assist %
66.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 111.7Defence110.9 · 103.9Shooting51.1% · 52.1%3-point %34.9% · 37.0%Ball care12.4% · 14.7%Off. rebounds30.2% · 33.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Xinjiang
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Guangzhou wins
5
Xinjiang wins
DateGameScore
22/12/23Xinjiang v Guangzhou110-98
25/10/23Guangzhou v Xinjiang99-84
05/01/23Guangzhou v Xinjiang83-113
08/12/22Xinjiang v Guangzhou108-96
10/11/21Xinjiang v Guangzhou102-117
02/11/21Guangzhou v Xinjiang123-105
13/04/21Xinjiang v Guangzhou94-105
01/04/21Guangzhou v Xinjiang93-110
04/12/20Xinjiang v Guangzhou90-93
18/10/20Guangzhou v Xinjiang97-102
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/24AJilin115-100
11/03/24HShanghai97-104
09/03/24ALiaoning103-109
06/03/24AJiangsu Dragons100-102
05/02/24HShenzhen109-96
03/02/24HSichuan125-98
01/02/24AShanghai92-100
29/01/24ANingbo Rockets96-79
27/01/24HBeijing98-99 OT
25/01/24HQingdao108-98
Xinjianglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/24AShenzhen102-97
12/03/24AZhejiang Guangsha84-109
10/03/24HBeijing Royal Fighters102-95
07/03/24HShandong130-121
05/02/24HQingdao117-98
02/02/24AShanxi Zhongyu108-111
31/01/24AJiangsu Dragons103-87
29/01/24AQingdao110-84
27/01/24AShandong102-98
24/01/24HZhejiang Chouzhou134-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW49%
HomeWLWWL57%
AwayWLLLW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432122
Win %49%57%41%
Points / game101.9104.399.6
Allowed / game99.498.8100.0
Point differential+2.5+5.5-0.5
Avg total201.3203.0199.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%48%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)0% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %2%5%0%
Xinjiang
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW81%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWLLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432122
Win %81%90%73%
Points / game106.2110.9101.7
Allowed / game96.596.396.7
Point differential+9.7+14.6+5.0
Avg total202.7207.2198.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+51%62%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)67% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %5%5%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Xinjiang4335881%106.296.5+9.7
2 Liaoning4335881%103.994.2+9.7
3 Zhejiang Chouzhou43321174%109.0100.3+8.8
4 Guangdong43291467%109.8105.3+4.5
5 Zhejiang Guangsha43281565%104.096.7+7.3
6 Shanghai43271663%106.0102.7+3.2
7 Qingdao43261760%102.699.5+3.1
8 Shenzhen43261760%105.8102.8+3.0
9 Beijing Royal Fighters43251858%106.6103.5+3.0
10 Beijing43222151%100.5100.1+0.4
11 Guangzhou43212249%101.999.4+2.5
12 Shanxi Zhongyu43212249%109.8112.2-2.3
13 Nanjing Tongxi43202347%103.6105.4-1.8
14 Tianjin43202347%106.6108.5-1.9
15 Shandong43172640%102.6104.6-2.0
16 Fujian43162737%103.8106.8-3.0
17 Jilin43152835%103.6107.9-4.2
18 Ningbo Rockets4363714%93.6107.1-13.5
19 Jiangsu Dragons4353812%92.4104.0-11.6
20 Sichuan434399%97.2112.0-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangzhou27292329108
Xinjiang2128192896
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