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Guaros de Lara vs Brillantes Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 May 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 83-77
21-14 17-27 26-13 19-23
Position#3
Record13-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Position#6
Record12-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game76.4
VenezuelaSuperliga· Domo Bolivariano de Barquisimeto (Barquisimeto)
Other2023
Meetings · Guaros de Lara v Brillantes
05 Jun 2023
GUAR73
BRIL61
04 Jun 2023
GUAR100
BRIL67
03 May 2023
GUAR83
BRIL77
29 Mar 2023
GUAR63
BRIL74
10 Aug 2022
GUAR99
BRIL87
09 Aug 2022
GUAR75
BRIL84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guaros de Lara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brillantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Guaros de LaraVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLara
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#4
W
80-59
80
59
+21
76avg 74
H08/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
92-100
92
100
-8
85avg 74
A10/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
83-65
83
65
+18
58avg 74
A12/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
101-90
101
90
+11
94avg 74
H14/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
86-77
86
77
+9
84avg 74
H16/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
90-98
90
98
-8
84avg 74
A19/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
81-89
81
89
-8
73avg 74
A20/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
86-77
86
77
+9
77avg 74
A22/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
W
80-73
80
73
+7
73avg 74
H24/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
80-66
80
66
+14
74avg 74
H27/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-18
29-14
14-14
26-13
21-21
24-22
24-24
23-33
18-22
21-16
21-16
23-11
31-24
18-26
27-22
25-18
23-18
22-13
22-21
19-25
31-28
14-27
24-18
21-25
18-21
25-25
25-17
13-26
24-17
23-18
21-18
18-24
32-21
13-17
21-18
14-17
27-18
14-15
23-18
16-15
165.3Avg total
85.9Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.577.6160.1+4.972%
Season at home (9)81.271.9153.1+9.389%
Season away (9)83.883.3167.1+0.456%
Last 10 (10)85.979.4165.3+6.570%
Last 5 (5)83.480.6164.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.583.0157.5-8.550%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.584.3163.8-4.838%
vs Weaker (13)84.873.5158.3+11.492%
This opponent (Brillantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrillantesVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrillantes
Date
Competition
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
70-75
70
75
-5
59avg 74
A08/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
90-97
90
97
-7
80avg 74
A09/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
74-70
74
70
+4
68avg 74
H12/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
68-77
68
77
-9
57avg 74
A14/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
87-82
87
82
+5
77avg 74
A15/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
W
77-62
77
62
+15
73avg 74
A17/04
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
W
89-81
89
81
+8
82avg 74
H20/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
119-78
119
78
+41
117avg 74
H22/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
L
76-85
76
85
-9
62avg 74
A25/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
86-59
86
59
+27
90avg 74
A26/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
18-16
17-20
16-16
27-28
16-28
16-19
31-22
21-12
22-25
15-15
16-18
13-20
16-14
18-20
21-23
21-27
25-15
18-18
23-22
16-17
28-14
15-13
18-18
21-18
25-25
17-25
26-13
33-11
28-26
31-20
27-21
18-29
21-26
22-18
15-12
24-12
27-17
14-17
21-13
160.2Avg total
83.6Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)83.976.4160.4+7.567%
Season at home (7)89.476.1165.6+13.3100%
Season away (11)80.576.6157.1+3.845%
Last 10 (10)83.676.6160.2+7.060%
Last 5 (5)89.473.0162.4+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.575.0158.5+8.5100%
vs Similar ◀ (19)80.678.9159.5+1.753%
vs Weaker (9)89.677.3166.9+12.267%
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.6+3.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.6+3.6
Guaros de LaraBrillantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Guaros de LaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#4
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H08/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A10/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A12/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H14/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H16/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A19/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A20/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A22/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H24/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H27/04
Superliga
84.0Avg total
43.9Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.282.2+1.863%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.337.379.6+5.071%-
Last 30 away (16)41.842.884.6-1.156%-
Last 10 (10)43.940.184.0+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.241.485.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.543.083.5-2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.140.481.5+0.754%-
vs Weaker (13)43.439.282.6+4.277%-
This opponent (Brillantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrillantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A08/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A09/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H12/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A14/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A15/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A17/04
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H20/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
61-37
61
37
+24
H22/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A25/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A26/04
Superliga
84.2Avg total
43.9Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.279.7+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.036.879.8+6.277%-
Last 30 away (17)40.239.479.6+0.953%-
Last 10 (10)43.940.384.2+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)48.239.087.2+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.537.583.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)39.238.277.4+1.053%-
vs Weaker (9)45.238.483.7+6.878%-
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guaros de Laratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guaros de Lara: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.925.0
54.5%
50.8%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.9
32.8%
31.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.711.4
64.4%
65.6%11.4
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brillantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brillantes: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.723.9
52.3%
50.8%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.77.9
29.6%
31.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.711.1
62.7%
65.6%11.1
They take 72.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guaros de Lara
WWWLLWWWLW
Brillantes
WLWWWWLWLL
#3
League position
#6
+8.0
Net rating
+7.9
109.5
Offensive rating
101.6
101.5
Defensive rating
93.7
52.6%
Effective FG%
49.4%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
45.4%
16.5%
Turnover %
18.0%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.8%
3-point %
29.6%
55.0%
Assist %
60.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 101.6Defence101.5 · 93.7Shooting52.6% · 49.4%3-point %32.8% · 29.6%Ball care16.5% · 18.0%Off. rebounds32.1% · 30.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Guaros de Lara   ■ Brillantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Guaros de Lara wins
5
Brillantes wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/23HGaiteros del Zulia80-66
24/04/23HBroncos80-73
22/04/23AHeroes de Falcon86-77
20/04/23ABrillantes81-89
19/04/23AGaiteros del Zulia90-98
16/04/23HHeroes de Falcon86-77
14/04/23HCentauros101-90
12/04/23ACentauros83-65
10/04/23ATrotamundos92-100
08/04/23HTrotamundos80-59
Brillanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/23AFrontinos86-59
25/04/23AToros de Aragua76-85
22/04/23HFrontinos119-78
20/04/23HGuaros de Lara89-81
17/04/23ABroncos77-62
15/04/23ALlaneros87-82
14/04/23ATrotamundos68-77
12/04/23HHeroes de Falcon74-70
09/04/23AHeroes de Falcon90-97
08/04/23AHeroes de Falcon70-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guaros de Lara
Superliga 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW72%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLWLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %72%89%56%
Points / game82.581.283.8
Allowed / game77.671.983.3
Point differential+4.9+9.3+0.4
Avg total160.1153.1167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%56%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brillantes
Superliga 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18711
Win %67%100%45%
Points / game83.989.480.5
Allowed / game76.476.176.6
Point differential+7.5+13.3+3.8
Avg total160.4165.6157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%43%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gladiadores1917289%84.773.4+11.4
2 Trotamundos1914574%81.177.5+3.5
3 Guaros de Lara1813572%82.577.6+4.9
4 Broncos2014670%88.377.0+11.2
5 Piratas de La Guaira1611569%81.276.5+4.8
6 Cocodrilos1913668%75.669.5+6.1
7 Brillantes1812667%83.976.4+7.5
8 Guaiqueries1810856%83.579.2+4.3
9 Spartans179853%77.276.1+1.1
10 Panteras1910953%76.876.5+0.4
11 Centauros1991047%77.478.7-1.4
12 Gaiteros del Zulia1991047%78.581.9-3.4
13 Heroes de Falcon2091145%82.981.5+1.4
14 Llaneros1871139%80.083.7-3.7
15 Gigantes1661038%76.881.9-5.1
16 Marinos1851328%80.488.1-7.7
17 Frontinos1951426%80.390.9-10.6
18 Diablos1741324%76.985.7-8.8
19 Cangrejeros1731418%77.986.1-8.2
20 Toros de Aragua2031715%74.583.7-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guaros de Lara2117261983
Brillantes1427132377
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