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Guaros de Lara vs Brillantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jun 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 100-67
36-17 16-22 22-13 26-15
Position#3
Record23-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game76.9
vs
Position#6
Record21-9
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game76.8
VenezuelaSuperligaSuperliga - Quarter-finals· Domo Bolivariano de Barquisimeto
Other2023Neutral venue
Meetings · Guaros de Lara v Brillantes
05 Jun 2023
GUAR73
BRIL61
04 Jun 2023
GUAR100
BRIL67
03 May 2023
GUAR83
BRIL77
29 Mar 2023
GUAR63
BRIL74
10 Aug 2022
GUAR99
BRIL87
09 Aug 2022
GUAR75
BRIL84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guaros de Lara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brillantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Guaros de LaraVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLara
Date
Competition
Llaneros
#14
W
96-72
96
72
+24
97avg 79
A06/05
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
91-67
91
67
+24
86avg 79
H08/05
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
97-80
97
80
+17
95avg 79
H09/05
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
81-71
81
71
+10
85avg 79
H11/05
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
74-80
74
80
-6
64avg 79
A16/05
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
99-93 OT
99
93
+6
no box
A17/05
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
75-74
75
74
+1
69avg 79
A19/05
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
91-72
91
72
+19
89avg 79
H24/05
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
92-73
92
73
+19
88avg 79
H25/05
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
102-73
102
73
+29
105avg 79
A28/05
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
21-17
36-24
21-18
24-23
18-16
24-12
25-16
21-17
27-17
19-25
30-21
27-16
18-19
19-18
17-18
20-23
25-13
19-21
10-23
15-17
26-28
21-15
24-26
25-17
16-15
19-20
15-22
34-19
21-21
16-16
20-16
26-13
19-16
19-25
28-19
24-18
30-15
26-25
22-15
165.3Avg total
89.8Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)85.076.9161.9+8.279%
Season at home (15)84.472.5156.9+11.993%
Season away (14)85.781.6167.3+4.164%
Last 10 (10)89.875.5165.3+14.390%
Last 5 (5)91.877.0168.8+14.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.086.5154.5-18.550%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.979.5160.4+1.555%
vs Weaker (17)89.975.2165.1+14.894%
This opponent (Brillantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrillantesVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrillantes
Date
Competition
Centauros
#12
W
87-76
87
76
+11
85avg 74
H12/05
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
92-66
92
66
+26
89avg 74
H13/05
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
66-81
66
81
-15
no box
H15/05
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
W
80-74
80
74
+6
73avg 74
H16/05
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
92-70
92
70
+22
91avg 74
H18/05
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
93-85
93
85
+8
56avg 74
H21/05
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
70-65
70
65
+5
62avg 74
H24/05
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
72-79
72
79
-7
60avg 74
H25/05
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
87-84
87
84
+3
83avg 74
A28/05
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
88-82
88
82
+6
81avg 74
A29/05
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
25-15
20-26
21-18
33-11
24-20
18-21
17-14
17-16
17-15
19-25
13-25
23-20
13-25
21-19
23-10
22-18
27-22
29-17
14-13
25-24
23-26
22-17
23-18
13-7
14-24
20-15
23-19
21-22
16-21
12-19
23-17
26-18
28-24
20-22
13-20
22-19
21-26
21-14
24-23
158.9Avg total
82.7Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)83.576.8160.2+6.770%
Season at home (15)85.275.3160.5+9.987%
Season away (15)81.778.3160.0+3.553%
Last 10 (10)82.776.2158.9+6.580%
Last 5 (5)82.079.0161.0+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.575.0158.5+8.5100%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.277.3156.5+1.964%
vs Weaker (14)87.776.5164.2+11.271%
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.7+1.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.7+1.7
Guaros de LaraBrillantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Guaros de LaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Llaneros
#14
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A06/05
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H08/05
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H09/05
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H11/05
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A16/05
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A17/05
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A19/05
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H24/05
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H25/05
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A28/05
Superliga
80.8Avg total
45.5Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.438.682.0+4.973%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.137.481.5+6.881%-
Last 30 away (14)42.639.982.6+2.764%-
Last 10 (10)45.535.380.8+10.290%-
Last 5 (5)47.235.883.0+11.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.043.580.5-6.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.037.880.8+5.273%-
vs Weaker (17)44.538.582.9+6.076%-
This opponent (Brillantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrillantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Centauros
#12
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H12/05
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H13/05
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H15/05
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H16/05
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H18/05
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H21/05
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H24/05
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H25/05
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A28/05
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A29/05
Superliga
82.1Avg total
43.1Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.138.781.8+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.937.381.1+6.673%-
Last 30 away (15)42.440.182.5+2.360%-
Last 10 (10)43.139.082.1+4.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.842.284.0-0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.537.583.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.139.879.9+0.450%-
vs Weaker (14)45.837.883.6+8.079%-
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guaros de Laratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guaros de Lara: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.925.1
59.9%
50.8%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.2
30.8%
31.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.413.0
70.7%
65.6%13.0
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brillantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brillantes: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.720.2
49.6%
50.8%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.9
35.4%
31.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.114.9
74.1%
65.6%14.9
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jun 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guaros de Lara
WWWWWLWWWW
Brillantes
WWLWWWWLWW
#3
League position
#6
+19.1
Net rating
+12.1
111.2
Offensive rating
107.0
92.1
Defensive rating
94.9
54.6%
Effective FG%
51.0%
43.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.3%
17.6%
Turnover %
17.9%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.8%
3-point %
35.4%
69.4%
Assist %
61.5%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 107.0Defence92.1 · 94.9Shooting54.6% · 51.0%3-point %30.8% · 35.4%Ball care17.6% · 17.9%Off. rebounds29.8% · 31.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Guaros de Lara   ■ Brillantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Guaros de Lara wins
6
Brillantes wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/05/23ALlaneros102-73
25/05/23HLlaneros92-73
24/05/23HLlaneros91-72
19/05/23AHeroes de Falcon75-74
17/05/23AGaiteros del Zulia99-93 OT
16/05/23ABrillantes74-80
11/05/23HHeroes de Falcon81-71
09/05/23HGaiteros del Zulia97-80
08/05/23HToros de Aragua91-67
06/05/23ALlaneros96-72
Brillanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/05/23AHeroes de Falcon88-82
28/05/23AHeroes de Falcon87-84
25/05/23HHeroes de Falcon72-79
24/05/23HHeroes de Falcon70-65
21/05/23HGaiteros del Zulia93-85
18/05/23HLlaneros92-70
16/05/23HGuaros de Lara80-74
15/05/23HGaiteros del Zulia66-81
13/05/23HCentauros92-66
12/05/23HCentauros87-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guaros de Lara
Superliga 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWLWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %79%93%64%
Points / game85.084.485.7
Allowed / game76.972.581.6
Point differential+8.2+11.9+4.1
Avg total161.9156.9167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%67%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Brillantes
Superliga 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeWWWWL87%
AwayWLWWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %70%87%53%
Points / game83.585.281.7
Allowed / game76.875.378.3
Point differential+6.7+9.9+3.5
Avg total160.2160.5160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)100% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gladiadores2925486%83.272.2+11.0
2 Guaros de Lara2923679%85.076.9+8.2
3 Trotamundos3124777%85.078.2+6.8
4 Cocodrilos2922776%76.668.4+8.2
5 Brillantes3021970%83.576.8+6.7
6 Guaiqueries2920969%81.676.8+4.8
7 Broncos32221069%89.478.6+10.9
8 Piratas de La Guaira30201067%81.177.9+3.1
9 Spartans29151452%79.478.9+0.5
10 Heroes de Falcon30141647%80.378.9+1.3
11 Panteras30141647%77.476.9+0.5
12 Centauros31131842%76.278.7-2.5
13 Gaiteros del Zulia30121840%78.782.9-4.3
14 Llaneros2992031%79.585.9-6.4
15 Gigantes2982128%74.682.0-7.4
16 Marinos2671927%80.286.0-5.8
17 Diablos2972224%74.983.8-8.9
18 Cangrejeros2652119%76.784.2-7.5
19 Frontinos2652119%77.592.0-14.5
20 Toros de Aragua2642215%75.085.4-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guaros de Lara36162226100
Brillantes1722131567
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