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Guelph vs McMaster Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 83-80
22-22 14-12 23-33 24-13
Position#37
Record3-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game86.6
vs
Position#32
Record4-13
FormLLLWW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game83.4
CanadaU Sports
Other2017-18
Meetings · Guelph v McMaster
30 Nov 2022
GUEL80
MCMA85
10 Nov 2021
GUEL121
MCMA123
11 Jan 2019
GUEL80
MCMA97
27 Jan 2018
GUEL83
MCMA80
14 Jan 2017
GUEL72
MCMA73
26 Feb 2016
GUEL76
MCMA89
28 Jan 2015
GUEL74
MCMA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guelph winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
McMaster winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuelphCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Laurentian
#12
L
71-84
71
84
-13
A25/11
U Sports
Nipissing
#33
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A26/11
U Sports
Queens
#29
L
86-88
86
88
-2
H02/12
U Sports
Lakehead
#47
W
96-85
96
85
+11
A06/01
U Sports
Lakehead
#47
L
67-87
67
87
-20
A07/01
U Sports
Laurier
#22
L
65-83
65
83
-18
H11/01
U Sports
Windsor
#18
L
92-96
92
96
-4
H14/01
U Sports
Western
#15
L
80-99
80
99
-19
A18/01
U Sports
Brock
#4
L
88-99
88
99
-11
H20/01
U Sports
Brock
#4
L
80-93
80
93
-13
A25/01
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
16-20
17-20
24-24
14-25
15-19
26-23
23-17
20-18
31-21
21-23
14-26
26-18
25-17
25-23
20-27
12-20
15-17
20-26
20-24
20-18
6-26
21-15
18-24
26-31
17-16
26-23
23-26
20-22
17-31
17-31
26-15
22-22
18-28
31-28
17-21
16-22
11-14
26-29
27-28
170.1Avg total
80.3Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.686.6163.3-10.018%
Season at home (7)77.983.3161.1-5.429%
Season away (10)75.889.0164.8-13.210%
Last 10 (10)80.389.8170.1-9.510%
Last 5 (5)81.094.0175.0-13.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)71.286.8157.9-15.65%
vs Similar (6)73.274.8148.0-1.733%
vs Weaker (4)81.575.5157.0+6.075%
This opponent (McMaster) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
McMasterCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brock
#4
L
87-96
87
96
-9
A25/11
U Sports
Carleton
#1
L
40-83
40
83
-43
H02/12
U Sports
University of Ottawa
#10
L
97-101 OT
97
101
-4
H03/12
U Sports
Windsor
#18
W
106-82
106
82
+24
H04/01
U Sports
Brock
#4
L
73-89
73
89
-16
H06/01
U Sports
Waterloo
#34
L
60-78
60
78
-18
A11/01
U Sports
Laurier
#22
L
64-79
64
79
-15
H13/01
U Sports
Windsor
#18
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A18/01
U Sports
Western
#15
W
90-76
90
76
+14
A20/01
U Sports
Laurier
#22
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A24/01
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
23-25
22-26
22-22
8-22
13-23
11-23
8-15
22-18
17-32
15-19
33-18
18-19
27-17
30-20
31-26
10-14
19-23
18-21
26-31
14-18
20-18
18-20
8-22
13-22
20-29
15-10
16-18
13-11
24-29
19-21
22-20
14-19
30-26
30-15
16-16
23-20
15-13
19-13
18-25
160.6Avg total
77.0Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.483.4159.8-7.024%
Season at home (8)74.984.5159.4-9.625%
Season away (9)77.882.4160.2-4.722%
Last 10 (10)77.083.6160.6-6.630%
Last 5 (5)73.477.0150.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)69.986.8156.7-16.910%
vs Similar (10)84.083.9167.9+0.130%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)72.972.4145.3+0.550%
This opponent (Guelph) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
GuelphMcMaster
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuelphLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Laurentian
#12
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A25/11
U Sports
Nipissing
#33
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A26/11
U Sports
Queens
#29
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H02/12
U Sports
Lakehead
#47
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A06/01
U Sports
Lakehead
#47
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A07/01
U Sports
Laurier
#22
L
26-44
26
44
-18
H11/01
U Sports
Windsor
#18
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H14/01
U Sports
Western
#15
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A18/01
U Sports
Brock
#4
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H20/01
U Sports
Brock
#4
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A25/01
U Sports
78.6Avg total
36.1Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.240.274.3-6.030%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.438.274.6-1.843%-
Last 30 away (16)32.241.974.1-9.719%-
Last 10 (10)36.142.578.6-6.420%-
Last 5 (5)34.646.080.6-11.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)33.541.675.1-8.220%-
vs Similar (6)32.739.271.8-6.533%-
vs Weaker (4)40.034.274.2+5.875%-
This opponent (McMaster) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
McMasterLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brock
#4
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A25/11
U Sports
Carleton
#1
L
21-45
21
45
-24
H02/12
U Sports
University of Ottawa
#10
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H03/12
U Sports
Windsor
#18
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H04/01
U Sports
Brock
#4
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H06/01
U Sports
Waterloo
#34
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A11/01
U Sports
Laurier
#22
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H13/01
U Sports
Windsor
#18
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A18/01
U Sports
Western
#15
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A20/01
U Sports
Laurier
#22
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A24/01
U Sports
78.4Avg total
36.3Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.539.374.8-3.833%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.238.372.5-4.231%-
Last 30 away (17)36.540.076.5-3.535%-
Last 10 (10)36.342.178.4-5.820%-
Last 5 (5)37.241.078.2-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.742.274.9-9.520%-
vs Similar (10)39.040.179.1-1.140%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)34.835.570.3-0.740%-
This opponent (Guelph) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Guelph wins
7
McMaster wins
DateGameScore
26/10/17McMaster v Guelph84-79
15/01/17Guelph v McMaster72-73
24/11/16McMaster v Guelph92-77
27/02/16Guelph v McMaster76-89
28/11/15McMaster v Guelph99-77
14/02/15McMaster v Guelph82-69
29/01/15Guelph v McMaster74-86
Guelphlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/18ABrock80-93
20/01/18HBrock88-99
18/01/18AWestern80-99
14/01/18HWindsor92-96
11/01/18HLaurier65-83
07/01/18ALakehead67-87
06/01/18ALakehead96-85
02/12/17HQueens86-88
26/11/17ANipissing78-84
25/11/17ALaurentian71-84
McMasterlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/18ALaurier75-71
20/01/18AWestern90-76
18/01/18AWindsor78-81
13/01/18HLaurier64-79
11/01/18AWaterloo60-78
06/01/18HBrock73-89
04/01/18HWindsor106-82
03/12/17HUniversity of Ottawa97-101 OT
02/12/17HCarleton40-83
25/11/17ABrock87-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guelph
U Sports 2017-18
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeWLLLL29%
AwayLWLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %18%29%10%
Points / game76.677.975.8
Allowed / game86.683.389.0
Point differential-10.0-5.4-13.2
Avg total163.3161.1164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%14%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
McMaster
U Sports 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW24%
HomeLLWLL25%
AwayLLLWW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %24%25%22%
Points / game76.474.977.8
Allowed / game83.484.582.4
Point differential-7.0-9.6-4.7
Avg total159.8159.4160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Carleton17170100%89.561.4+28.1
2 Alberta1716194%83.964.0+19.9
3 Brock1715288%84.569.3+15.2
4 Laurentian1614288%85.372.6+12.8
5 Acadia1210283%77.772.5+5.2
6 UBC1714382%93.975.3+18.6
7 UNB1512380%90.980.1+10.8
8 Dalhousie1411379%85.473.7+11.7
9 McGill97278%88.467.6+20.9
10 Calgary1713476%86.873.5+13.3
11 Laval86275%75.269.2+6.0
12 University of Ottawa1712571%81.671.5+10.1
13 TMU1712571%82.073.4+8.6
14 Lethbridge1712571%90.785.3+5.4
15 Victoria1710759%82.978.0+4.9
16 Thompson Rivers1710759%77.877.2+0.6
17 Western1710759%74.374.5-0.2
18 Manitoba1810856%81.276.8+4.4
19 Concordia95456%75.675.9-0.3
20 Saint Marys137654%84.280.2+4.0
21 Queens179853%80.980.4+0.6
22 Regina179853%83.183.5-0.4
23 Toronto179853%72.176.9-4.8
24 Laurier189950%78.676.4+2.1
25 UNBC1991047%79.683.3-3.6
26 Brandon178947%85.485.4+0.0
27 Saskatchewan178947%77.177.2-0.1
28 Windsor178947%81.986.9-5.1
29 Winnipeg178947%78.884.6-5.9
30 Nipissing167944%70.376.6-6.2
31 StFX146843%84.984.5+0.4
32 Mount Royal1771041%80.679.8+0.8
33 Waterloo1771041%77.681.4-3.8
34 Memorial124833%81.387.9-6.6
35 Bishop's103730%79.084.9-5.9
36 UFV1751229%75.986.2-10.3
37 McMaster1741324%76.483.4-7.0
38 MacEwan1741324%74.383.2-8.9
39 Algoma1741324%66.280.5-14.4
40 UQAM102820%67.384.7-17.4
41 Guelph1731418%76.686.6-10.0
42 Cape Breton1221017%86.594.1-7.6
43 York1721512%66.778.9-12.2
44 Lakehead1721512%70.884.2-13.4
45 UBC Okanagan1721512%61.280.5-19.3
46 Trinity Western171166%73.492.6-19.2
47 UPEI120120%66.989.8-22.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 47 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guelph2214232483
McMaster2212331380
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