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Guelph vs McMaster Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 80-97
27-21 12-26 18-18 23-32
Position#27
Record6-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game85.2
vs
Position#25
Record5-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game84.8
CanadaU Sports
Other2018-19
Meetings · Guelph v McMaster
30 Nov 2022
GUEL80
MCMA85
10 Nov 2021
GUEL121
MCMA123
11 Jan 2019
GUEL80
MCMA97
27 Jan 2018
GUEL83
MCMA80
14 Jan 2017
GUEL72
MCMA73
26 Feb 2016
GUEL76
MCMA89
28 Jan 2015
GUEL74
MCMA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guelph winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
McMaster winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuelphCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto
#36
L
92-99
92
99
-7
A04/11
U Sports
Queens
#21
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A10/11
U Sports
York
#34
W
105-92
105
92
+13
A11/11
U Sports
Nipissing
#44
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H17/11
U Sports
Laurentian
#18
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H18/11
U Sports
University of Ottawa
#12
L
81-83
81
83
-2
H01/12
U Sports
Carleton
#1
L
39-90
39
90
-51
H02/12
U Sports
Lakehead
#30
W
95-73
95
73
+22
H05/01
U Sports
Lakehead
#30
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
H06/01
U Sports
Waterloo
#45
W
65-59
65
59
+6
A10/01
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
24-26
28-29
22-25
14-24
19-17
14-26
17-16
31-14
19-23
21-28
34-27
21-26
22-18
19-16
19-20
24-19
22-27
20-11
17-19
21-20
15-21
22-21
23-21
7-21
9-29
14-23
9-17
27-19
24-19
24-18
20-17
18-22
12-21
29-15
19-20
11-10
20-7
13-24
21-18
161.8Avg total
79.6Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.285.2163.4-6.946%
Season at home (7)78.182.3160.4-4.157%
Season away (6)78.388.5166.8-10.233%
Last 10 (10)79.682.2161.8-2.660%
Last 5 (5)74.278.4152.6-4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)73.588.9162.4-15.412%
vs Similar ◀ (7)85.781.9167.6+3.957%
vs Weaker (6)84.383.7168.0+0.767%
This opponent (McMaster) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
McMasterCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brock
#8
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A03/11
U Sports
Nipissing
#44
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A10/11
U Sports
Laurentian
#18
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A11/11
U Sports
TMU
#3
L
70-102
70
102
-32
H17/11
U Sports
Toronto
#36
W
89-77
89
77
+12
H18/11
U Sports
University of Ottawa
#12
L
78-103
78
103
-25
A24/11
U Sports
Carleton
#1
L
62-115
62
115
-53
A25/11
U Sports
York
#34
L
81-91
81
91
-10
H01/12
U Sports
Queens
#21
L
80-88 OT
80
88
-8
H02/12
U Sports
Laurier
#6
W
79-67
79
67
+12
A05/01
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-9
12-17
22-24
18-23
24-20
11-22
17-13
19-25
21-11
9-25
26-15
18-29
21-30
18-26
18-23
13-23
27-17
15-23
22-15
25-22
16-23
26-28
23-23
13-29
16-27
14-28
10-32
22-28
19-27
17-29
25-11
20-24
18-18
18-24
19-12
23-24
19-13
16-17
22-16
22-21
163.9Avg total
76.3Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.284.8164.1-5.642%
Season at home (6)84.783.3168.0+1.350%
Season away (6)73.886.3160.2-12.533%
Last 10 (10)76.387.6163.9-11.330%
Last 5 (5)76.092.8168.8-16.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.390.1163.4-16.825%
vs Similar ◀ (6)87.081.5168.5+5.550%
vs Weaker (12)85.379.6164.9+5.867%
This opponent (Guelph) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -8.3-8.3Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -5.5-5.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -8.3-8.3Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -5.5-5.5
GuelphMcMaster
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuelphLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto
#36
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A04/11
U Sports
Queens
#21
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A10/11
U Sports
York
#34
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A11/11
U Sports
Nipissing
#44
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H17/11
U Sports
Laurentian
#18
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H18/11
U Sports
University of Ottawa
#12
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H01/12
U Sports
Carleton
#1
L
16-50
16
50
-34
H02/12
U Sports
Lakehead
#30
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H05/01
U Sports
Lakehead
#30
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H06/01
U Sports
Waterloo
#45
W
31-17
31
17
+14
A10/01
U Sports
78.0Avg total
37.8Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.240.676.8-4.430%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.841.980.8-3.138%-
Last 30 away (17)34.239.673.8-5.424%-
Last 10 (10)37.840.278.0-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)32.837.870.6-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)33.843.277.0-9.418%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.138.476.6-0.343%-
vs Weaker (6)40.735.876.5+4.850%-
This opponent (McMaster) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
McMasterLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brock
#8
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A03/11
U Sports
Nipissing
#44
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A10/11
U Sports
Laurentian
#18
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A11/11
U Sports
TMU
#3
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H17/11
U Sports
Toronto
#36
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H18/11
U Sports
University of Ottawa
#12
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A24/11
U Sports
Carleton
#1
L
30-55
30
55
-25
A25/11
U Sports
York
#34
L
36-56
36
56
-20
H01/12
U Sports
Queens
#21
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H02/12
U Sports
Laurier
#6
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A05/01
U Sports
79.8Avg total
36.4Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.641.180.7-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.243.582.7-4.446%-
Last 30 away (17)40.039.279.2+0.841%-
Last 10 (10)36.443.479.8-7.030%-
Last 5 (5)35.846.882.6-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.944.580.4-8.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)39.739.278.8+0.533%-
vs Weaker (12)43.338.681.9+4.867%-
This opponent (Guelph) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Guelph wins
7
McMaster wins
DateGameScore
27/01/18Guelph v McMaster83-80
26/10/17McMaster v Guelph84-79
15/01/17Guelph v McMaster72-73
24/11/16McMaster v Guelph92-77
27/02/16Guelph v McMaster76-89
28/11/15McMaster v Guelph99-77
14/02/15McMaster v Guelph82-69
29/01/15Guelph v McMaster74-86
Guelphlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/19AWaterloo65-59
06/01/19HLakehead91-87 OT
05/01/19HLakehead95-73
02/12/18HCarleton39-90
01/12/18HUniversity of Ottawa81-83
18/11/18HLaurentian83-76
17/11/18HNipissing81-80
11/11/18AYork105-92
10/11/18AQueens64-83
04/11/18AToronto92-99
McMasterlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/19ALaurier79-67
02/12/18HQueens80-88 OT
01/12/18HYork81-91
25/11/18ACarleton62-115
24/11/18AUniversity of Ottawa78-103
18/11/18HToronto89-77
17/11/18HTMU70-102
11/11/18ALaurentian74-80
10/11/18ANipissing71-80
03/11/18ABrock79-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guelph
U Sports 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW46%
HomeWLLWW57%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%57%33%
Points / game78.278.178.3
Allowed / game85.282.388.5
Point differential-6.9-4.1-10.2
Avg total163.4160.4166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %8%14%0%
McMaster
U Sports 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW42%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game79.284.773.8
Allowed / game84.883.386.3
Point differential-5.6+1.3-12.5
Avg total164.1168.0160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Carleton12120100%88.556.9+31.6
2 Calgary14140100%89.268.0+21.2
3 Saint Marys880100%85.670.6+15.0
4 TMU1211192%88.757.7+31.0
5 UBC1211192%94.272.9+21.3
6 Concordia65183%82.775.2+7.5
7 Alberta129375%86.470.3+16.1
8 University of Ottawa129375%81.373.2+8.1
9 Winnipeg1410471%93.284.0+9.2
10 UFV1410471%78.974.5+4.4
11 UNB107370%86.481.5+4.9
12 Regina128467%84.278.7+5.5
13 Queens128467%76.871.8+5.0
14 Western128467%70.573.7-3.2
15 Brock138562%83.877.1+6.8
16 Laurier138562%80.579.0+1.5
17 Dalhousie106460%77.573.7+3.8
18 McGill53260%69.467.8+1.6
19 UNBC127558%84.080.8+3.2
20 Lethbridge137654%92.879.5+13.4
21 Laurentian126650%86.883.2+3.5
22 Saskatchewan147750%86.987.4-0.6
23 Guelph136746%78.285.2-6.9
24 Cape Breton94544%80.982.2-1.3
25 Bishop's73443%76.380.3-4.0
26 Victoria125742%76.079.0-3.0
27 York125742%84.889.0-4.2
28 Thompson Rivers125742%76.181.5-5.4
29 McMaster125742%79.284.8-5.6
30 Mount Royal156940%78.086.5-8.5
31 UBC Okanagan145936%70.790.1-19.4
32 UQAM62433%74.874.3+0.5
33 Memorial93633%79.180.2-1.1
34 StFX93633%80.485.0-4.6
35 Laval62433%74.379.0-4.7
36 Algoma124833%74.183.4-9.3
37 Toronto124833%73.783.5-9.8
38 UPEI93633%71.883.0-11.2
39 Acadia82625%76.581.9-5.4
40 Manitoba123925%74.884.0-9.2
41 Windsor123925%64.281.1-16.8
42 Waterloo1331023%72.383.6-11.3
43 Nipissing1221017%72.879.5-6.7
44 Brandon1221017%81.091.2-10.2
45 Lakehead1221017%73.886.6-12.8
46 Trinity Western120120%72.991.5-18.6
47 MacEwan120120%70.591.4-20.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 47 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guelph2712182380
McMaster2126183297
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