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Guelph vs McMaster Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 121-123 (OT)
27-28 22-19 26-25 31-34 15-17
Position#35
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#11
Record1-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game82.0
CanadaU Sports
Other2021-22
Meetings · Guelph v McMaster
30 Nov 2022
GUEL80
MCMA85
10 Nov 2021
GUEL121
MCMA123
11 Jan 2019
GUEL80
MCMA97
27 Jan 2018
GUEL83
MCMA80
14 Jan 2017
GUEL72
MCMA73
26 Feb 2016
GUEL76
MCMA89
28 Jan 2015
GUEL74
MCMA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guelph winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
McMaster winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuelphCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Windsor
#27
W
94-93
94
93
+1
H25/01
U Sports
Nipissing
#34
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A01/02
U Sports
Laurentian
#11
L
65-87
65
87
-22
A02/02
U Sports
TMU
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
H06/02
U Sports
Toronto
#38
W
91-83
91
83
+8
H09/02
U Sports
Algoma
#46
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A15/02
U Sports
Algoma
#46
W
90-82
90
82
+8
A16/02
U Sports
TMU
#10
L
63-109
63
109
-46
A19/02
U Sports
Windsor
#33
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A04/11
U Sports
Windsor
#33
W
80-77
80
77
+3
H06/11
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
21-21
30-11
23-35
18-33
16-9
25-17
21-23
20-18
14-18
15-27
16-24
18-25
30-20
25-18
12-28
22-24
19-20
20-14
30-25
35-15
0-25
20-13
28-19
19-24
25-18
30-18
16-22
14-31
16-28
16-23
17-27
18-18
15-19
24-23
23-22
24-27
13-25
22-14
21-11
166.9Avg total
81.1Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.079.5159.5+0.550%
Season at home (1)80.077.0157.0+3.0100%
Season away (1)80.082.0162.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)81.185.8166.9-4.750%
Last 5 (5)79.284.4163.6-5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)74.387.6161.9-13.315%
vs Similar (6)80.283.8164.0-3.750%
vs Weaker (11)86.875.9162.7+10.982%
This opponent (McMaster) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
McMasterCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TMU
#10
L
95-116
95
116
-21
A30/01
U Sports
York
#43
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H01/02
U Sports
Laurier
#24
L
94-103
94
103
-9
A06/02
U Sports
Waterloo
#39
W
93-61
93
61
+32
A08/02
U Sports
Carleton
#1
L
54-108
54
108
-54
A15/02
U Sports
University of Ottawa
#8
L
82-98
82
98
-16
A16/02
U Sports
Brock
#23
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H20/02
U Sports
Carleton
#1
L
64-108
64
108
-44
A23/02
U Sports
Lakehead
#15
L
83-84
83
84
-1
H06/11
U Sports
Lakehead
#15
W
91-80
91
80
+11
H07/11
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-38
14-28
21-27
34-23
31-15
20-18
18-18
26-21
22-24
22-22
26-23
24-34
29-17
25-10
16-20
23-14
15-23
15-26
6-37
18-22
23-24
20-28
17-23
22-23
24-21
17-9
28-26
14-15
20-24
18-33
14-24
12-27
19-21
27-12
20-24
17-27
24-24
22-15
20-21
25-20
173.5Avg total
83.4Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)87.082.0169.0+5.050%
Season at home (2)87.082.0169.0+5.050%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.490.1173.5-6.740%
Last 5 (5)80.688.2168.8-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)82.599.0181.5-16.510%
vs Similar (9)83.881.8165.6+2.056%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)89.573.4162.9+16.291%
This opponent (Guelph) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -1.1-1.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -1.1-1.1
GuelphMcMaster
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuelphLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Windsor
#27
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H25/01
U Sports
Nipissing
#34
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A01/02
U Sports
Laurentian
#11
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A02/02
U Sports
TMU
#10
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H06/02
U Sports
Toronto
#38
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H09/02
U Sports
Algoma
#46
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A15/02
U Sports
Algoma
#46
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A16/02
U Sports
TMU
#10
L
30-59
30
59
-29
A19/02
U Sports
Windsor
#33
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A04/11
U Sports
Windsor
#33
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H06/11
U Sports
82.1Avg total
37.7Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)38.541.680.1-3.132%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.440.480.8+0.033%-
Last 30 away (16)37.142.679.6-5.531%-
Last 10 (10)37.744.482.1-6.720%-
Last 5 (5)35.846.081.8-10.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.243.180.3-5.825%-
vs Similar (6)37.543.881.3-6.317%-
vs Weaker (10)40.638.679.2+2.050%-
This opponent (McMaster) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
McMasterLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TMU
#10
L
40-66
40
66
-26
A30/01
U Sports
York
#43
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H01/02
U Sports
Laurier
#24
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A06/02
U Sports
Waterloo
#39
W
54-27
54
27
+27
A08/02
U Sports
Carleton
#1
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A15/02
U Sports
University of Ottawa
#8
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A16/02
U Sports
Brock
#23
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H20/02
U Sports
Carleton
#1
L
38-57
38
57
-19
A23/02
U Sports
Lakehead
#15
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H06/11
U Sports
Lakehead
#15
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H07/11
U Sports
86.5Avg total
43.3Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.340.382.7+2.062%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.935.678.5+7.387%-
Last 30 away (14)41.745.487.1-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)43.343.286.5+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)42.842.285.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.150.089.1-10.922%-
vs Similar (9)39.937.877.7+2.156%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)47.034.581.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Guelph) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Guelph wins
8
McMaster wins
DateGameScore
10/11/19McMaster v Guelph95-75
21/02/19McMaster v Guelph78-75
14/02/19McMaster v Guelph75-77
12/01/19Guelph v McMaster80-97
27/01/18Guelph v McMaster83-80
26/10/17McMaster v Guelph84-79
15/01/17Guelph v McMaster72-73
24/11/16McMaster v Guelph92-77
27/02/16Guelph v McMaster76-89
28/11/15McMaster v Guelph99-77
Guelphlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/21HWindsor80-77
04/11/21AWindsor80-82
19/02/20ATMU63-109
16/02/20AAlgoma90-82
15/02/20AAlgoma83-72
09/02/20HToronto91-83
06/02/20HTMU85-91
02/02/20ALaurentian65-87
01/02/20ANipissing80-82
25/01/20HWindsor94-93
McMasterlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/21HLakehead91-80
06/11/21HLakehead83-84
23/02/20ACarleton64-108
20/02/20HBrock83-71
16/02/20AUniversity of Ottawa82-98
15/02/20ACarleton54-108
08/02/20AWaterloo93-61
06/02/20ALaurier94-103
01/02/20HYork95-72
30/01/20ATMU95-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guelph
U Sports 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game80.080.080.0
Allowed / game79.577.082.0
Point differential+0.5+3.0-2.0
Avg total159.5157.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
McMaster
U Sports 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game87.087.0-
Allowed / game82.082.0-
Point differential+5.0+5.0-
Avg total169.0169.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Carleton220100%104.547.5+57.0
2 West. Ontario Univ.220100%90.561.0+29.5
3 Mount Royal220100%89.066.0+23.0
4 University of Ottawa220100%86.063.5+22.5
5 Brock220100%96.575.5+21.0
6 Alberta220100%83.069.5+13.5
7 Saint Marys550100%87.874.4+13.4
8 UBC440100%85.273.0+12.2
9 Queens220100%96.090.5+5.5
10 Manitoba220100%73.568.5+5.0
11 Victoria43175%87.076.5+10.5
12 UPEI43175%79.274.2+5.0
13 Regina43175%82.077.2+4.8
14 Dalhousie43175%72.271.0+1.2
15 McMaster21150%87.082.0+5.0
16 Saskatchewan42250%83.880.8+3.0
17 Memorial42250%80.578.0+2.5
18 UFV42250%79.076.5+2.5
19 Ontario Univ.21150%85.583.5+2.0
20 Guelph21150%80.079.5+0.5
21 Thompson Rivers42250%67.266.8+0.5
22 UNBC42250%72.071.8+0.2
23 Calgary21150%76.576.5+0.0
24 Windsor21150%79.580.0-0.5
25 Laurentian21150%83.585.5-2.0
26 Lakehead21150%82.087.0-5.0
27 StFX52340%78.280.4-2.2
28 Winnipeg41325%74.076.5-2.5
29 UNB41325%73.279.8-6.5
30 Lethbridge41325%73.079.8-6.8
31 Acadia41325%73.080.5-7.5
32 TMU2020%90.596.0-5.5
33 Cape Breton4040%69.878.5-8.8
34 UBC Okanagan4040%70.282.5-12.2
35 Brandon2020%77.092.5-15.5
36 Laurier2020%75.596.5-21.0
37 York2020%63.586.0-22.5
38 MacEwan2020%66.089.0-23.0
39 Trinity Western2020%73.0100.5-27.5
40 Algoma2020%61.090.5-29.5
41 Nipissing2020%47.5104.5-57.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 41 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Guelph2722263115121
McMaster2819253417123
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