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Halcones de Obregon vs Rayos de Hermosillo Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 03:15
Final 73-76
15-18 15-20 21-16 22-22
Position#3
Record10-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game86.4
vs
Position#7
Record6-13
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game89.5
MexicoCIBACOPA· Arena ITSON
Other2025
Meetings · Halcones de Obregon v Rayos de Hermosillo
12 Apr 2025
HALC73
RAYO76
11 Apr 2025
HALC103
RAYO84
30 May 2024
HALC101
RAYO87
28 May 2024
HALC105
RAYO95
27 May 2024
HALC75
RAYO82
17 Apr 2024
HALC103
RAYO92
16 Apr 2024
HALC92
RAYO93
26 May 2023
HALC93
RAYO111
24 May 2023
HALC117
RAYO90
23 May 2023
HALC81
RAYO82
15 Mar 2023
HALC72
RAYO79
14 Mar 2023
HALC86
RAYO81
17 Jun 2022
HALC67
RAYO73
16 Jun 2022
HALC87
RAYO80
08 Jun 2022
HALC85
RAYO68
07 Jun 2022
HALC76
RAYO78
09 Apr 2022
HALC93
RAYO82
08 Apr 2022
HALC79
RAYO88
14 Mar 2020
HALC98
RAYO101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Halcones de Obregon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rayos de Hermosillo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Halcones de ObregonMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormObregon
Date
Competition
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
80-74
80
74
+6
74avg 83
A27/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
87-71
87
71
+16
82avg 83
H29/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
L
74-80
74
80
-6
70avg 83
H30/03
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
L
73-74
73
74
-1
60avg 83
A02/04
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
94-75
94
75
+19
83avg 83
A03/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
88-81
88
81
+7
87avg 83
H05/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
99-73
99
73
+26
98avg 83
H06/04
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
86-80
86
80
+6
85avg 83
A09/04
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
99-85
99
85
+14
91avg 83
A10/04
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
103-84
103
84
+19
100avg 83
H12/04
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-11
23-24
23-18
21-21
17-11
19-24
24-17
27-19
21-13
11-23
20-20
22-24
17-11
18-22
22-16
16-25
30-14
17-24
18-23
29-14
18-16
20-29
24-13
26-23
27-16
32-12
18-17
22-28
22-18
10-17
25-26
29-19
25-22
20-27
27-14
27-22
38-25
16-23
22-18
27-18
166.0Avg total
88.3Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)88.186.4174.5+1.753%
Season at home (9)89.682.4172.0+7.167%
Season away (10)86.889.9176.7-3.140%
Last 10 (10)88.377.7166.0+10.680%
Last 5 (5)95.080.6175.6+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)87.5101.8189.2-14.20%
vs Similar (11)90.794.9185.6-4.236%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)87.580.9168.3+6.667%
This opponent (Rayos de Hermosillo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rayos de HermosilloMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermosillo
Date
Competition
Astros
#1
L
76-86
76
86
-10
70avg 82
H27/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
L
71-85
71
85
-14
66avg 82
A29/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
L
78-88
78
88
-10
69avg 82
A30/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
W
74-73
74
73
+1
65avg 82
H02/04
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
L
75-94
75
94
-19
66avg 82
H03/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
88-96
88
96
-8
75avg 82
H05/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
87-81
87
81
+6
80avg 82
H06/04
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
99-85
99
85
+14
100avg 82
A09/04
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
100-74
100
74
+26
100avg 82
A10/04
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
L
84-103
84
103
-19
74avg 82
A12/04
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
16-19
15-27
26-23
15-24
14-19
19-22
23-20
19-16
24-28
13-18
22-26
11-17
22-18
16-22
25-16
14-30
24-17
23-18
14-29
19-22
28-26
25-25
16-23
24-21
23-20
18-22
22-18
25-23
17-18
27-21
30-23
21-19
27-12
33-13
19-30
25-38
23-16
18-22
18-27
169.7Avg total
83.2Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.489.5171.8-7.132%
Season at home (10)82.089.2171.2-7.230%
Season away (9)82.889.8172.6-7.033%
Last 10 (10)83.286.5169.7-3.340%
Last 5 (5)91.687.8179.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)88.690.7179.4-2.155%
vs Similar (17)82.486.9169.4-4.541%
vs Weaker (2)99.579.5179.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.1+7.1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -2.0-2.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.1+7.1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -2.0-2.0
Halcones de ObregonRayos de Hermosillo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Halcones de ObregonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A27/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H29/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H30/03
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A02/04
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A03/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H05/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
59-28
59
28
+31
H06/04
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A09/04
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A10/04
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H12/04
CIBACOPA
79.6Avg total
41.4Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.344.085.2-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.643.085.6-0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)40.144.884.9-4.825%-
Last 10 (10)41.438.279.6+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.641.086.6+4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.849.593.2-5.825%-
vs Similar (11)41.748.289.9-6.518%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)40.339.479.7+0.953%-
This opponent (Rayos de Hermosillo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rayos de HermosilloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astros
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H27/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A29/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A30/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H02/04
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H03/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H05/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H06/04
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A09/04
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A10/04
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A12/04
CIBACOPA
83.0Avg total
41.0Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.843.286.0-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.641.585.1+2.150%-
Last 30 away (14)42.045.187.1-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)41.042.083.0-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)46.443.089.4+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)44.544.488.8+0.145%-
vs Similar (17)41.543.384.8-1.835%-
vs Weaker (2)45.036.081.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Halcones de Obregontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Halcones de Obregon: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.122.4
50.8%
53.3%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.2
36.1%
35.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.415.5
79.9%
73.3%15.5
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rayos de Hermosillotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rayos de Hermosillo: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.221.3
51.7%
53.3%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.7
36.0%
35.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.913.7
72.5%
73.3%13.7
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Halcones de Obregon
WWWWWWLLWW
Rayos de Hermosillo
LWWWLLWLLL
#3
League position
#7
+14.5
Net rating
-4.5
117.3
Offensive rating
105.1
102.7
Defensive rating
109.6
52.0%
Effective FG%
52.5%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
13.4%
Turnover %
18.4%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.1%
3-point %
36.0%
57.3%
Assist %
57.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence117.3 · 105.1Defence102.7 · 109.6Shooting52.0% · 52.5%3-point %36.1% · 36.0%Ball care13.4% · 18.4%Off. rebounds34.4% · 25.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Halcones de Obregon   ■ Rayos de Hermosillo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25HRayos de Hermosillo103-84
10/04/25AOstioneros de Guaymas99-85
09/04/25AOstioneros de Guaymas86-80
06/04/25HCaballeros de Culiacan99-73
05/04/25HCaballeros de Culiacan88-81
03/04/25ARayos de Hermosillo94-75
02/04/25ARayos de Hermosillo73-74
30/03/25HFrayles de Guasave74-80
29/03/25HFrayles de Guasave87-71
27/03/25AZonkeys de Tijuana80-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25AHalcones de Obregon84-103
10/04/25AFrayles de Guasave100-74
09/04/25AFrayles de Guasave99-85
06/04/25HPioneros de Los Mochis87-81
05/04/25HPioneros de Los Mochis88-96
03/04/25HHalcones de Obregon75-94
02/04/25HHalcones de Obregon74-73
30/03/25AVenados de Mazatlan78-88
29/03/25AVenados de Mazatlan71-85
27/03/25HAstros76-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Halcones de Obregon
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW53%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayWLWWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %53%67%40%
Points / game88.189.686.8
Allowed / game86.482.489.9
Point differential+1.7+7.1-3.1
Avg total174.5172.0176.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%44%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Rayos de Hermosillo
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL32%
HomeLWLLW30%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %32%30%33%
Points / game82.482.082.8
Allowed / game89.589.289.8
Point differential-7.1-7.2-7.0
Avg total171.8171.2172.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%10%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros1916384%99.187.0+12.1
2 Angeles CDMX1913668%106.898.7+8.1
3 Halcones de Obregon1910953%88.186.4+1.7
4 Caballeros de Culiacan1910953%87.787.7+0.1
5 Zonkeys de Tijuana1910953%88.588.6-0.1
6 Pioneros de Los Mochis1991047%92.294.4-2.2
7 Ostioneros de Guaymas1981142%92.492.1+0.4
8 Venados de Mazatlan1981142%85.687.5-1.9
9 Rayos de Hermosillo1961332%82.489.5-7.1
10 Frayles de Guasave1951426%85.196.0-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Halcones de Obregon1515212273
Rayos de Hermosillo1820162276
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