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Hamar vs Valur Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 89-111
23-26 20-28 26-29 20-28
Position#12
Record0-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game98.5
vs
Valur 🏆
Iceland
Position#1
Record9-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game83.0
IcelandPremier leagueRound 13· Gryluvollur
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamarIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamar
Date
Competition
Haukar
#10
L
91-98
91
98
-7
90avg 73
A26/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
102-109
102
109
-7
100avg 73
H02/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
79-86
79
86
-7
66avg 73
A06/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
80-100
80
100
-20
66avg 73
A18/11
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
L
69-87
69
87
-18
51avg 73
A24/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
85-109
85
109
-24
75avg 73
H30/11
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
80-86
80
86
-6
67avg 73
A07/12
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
82-84
82
84
-2
78avg 73
H10/12
Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll
#9
L
81-106
81
106
-25
72avg 73
H14/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
88-100
88
100
-12
74avg 73
A04/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
26-35
20-26
27-21
26-28
18-28
25-24
33-29
12-25
25-23
13-20
29-18
12-26
26-26
22-23
20-25
17-16
22-26
15-24
15-21
17-28
22-21
26-38
20-22
13-23
22-30
27-14
18-19
14-22
24-19
24-26
20-17
18-18
18-25
30-35
15-28
17-31
20-21
23-29
28-19
180.2Avg total
83.7Scored
96.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.598.5182.0-15.00%
Season at home (5)90.2105.0195.2-14.80%
Season away (7)78.793.9172.6-15.10%
Last 10 (10)83.796.5180.2-12.80%
Last 5 (5)83.297.0180.2-13.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)84.899.5184.4-14.70%
vs Similar (1)69.087.0156.0-18.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#9
W
84-75
84
75
+9
70avg 83
A27/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
77-86
77
86
-9
60avg 83
H02/11
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
127-124 OT
127
124
+3
no box
A10/11
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
80-69
80
69
+11
72avg 83
H17/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
67-73
67
73
-6
63avg 83
A23/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
96-83
96
83
+13
96avg 83
H30/11
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
110-85
110
85
+25
108avg 83
A07/12
Premier league
KV mfl.kk.
#16
W
128-89
128
89
+39
no box
A10/12
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#5
W
91-87
91
87
+4
85avg 83
H14/12
Premier league
Thorl
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
82avg 83
H04/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
26-17
17-22
20-21
24-24
23-16
12-21
18-25
26-20
27-23
16-32
28-22
16-28
26-24
17-9
21-8
23-18
19-19
13-20
12-16
27-19
23-23
32-24
14-17
29-19
27-26
25-25
29-15
–
–
–
–
26-22
20-26
22-16
23-23
15-18
19-21
27-24
29-19
180.3Avg total
95.0Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)92.083.0175.0+9.075%
Season at home (6)89.078.5167.5+10.583%
Season away (6)95.087.5182.5+7.567%
Last 10 (10)95.085.3180.3+9.780%
Last 5 (5)103.085.2188.2+17.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)88.484.6172.9+3.857%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)91.583.1174.7+8.473%
This opponent (Hamar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -6.9-6.9Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +3.1+3.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -6.9-6.9Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +3.1+3.1
HamarValur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Haukar
#10
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A26/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H02/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A06/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A18/11
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A24/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H30/11
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A07/12
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H10/12
Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H14/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A04/01
Premier league
87.4Avg total
38.7Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)39.448.587.9-9.114%-
Last 30 at home (6)43.247.290.3-4.033%-
Last 30 away (8)36.549.586.0-13.00%-
Last 10 (10)38.748.787.4-10.00%-
Last 5 (5)37.047.684.6-10.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.350.490.6-10.118%-
vs Similar (1)39.042.081.0-3.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#9
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A27/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H02/11
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A10/11
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H17/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A23/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H30/11
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A07/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H14/12
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H04/01
Premier league
88.3Avg total
46.3Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)46.442.589.0+3.962%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.643.187.6+1.550%-
Last 30 away (13)48.841.890.6+6.977%-
Last 10 (9)46.342.088.3+4.367%-
Last 5 (5)45.642.287.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)46.844.491.1+2.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)46.140.886.9+5.367%-
This opponent (Hamar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamar: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.717.7
48.2%
51.2%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.111.5
32.8%
34.2%34.5
🏀 Free throws17.413.2
75.9%
74.4%13.2
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.418.4
49.2%
51.2%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.112.0
35.2%
34.2%36.0
🏀 Free throws19.614.6
74.5%
74.4%14.6
They take 71.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamar
LLLLLLLLLL
Valur
WWWWWLWWLW
#12
League position
#1
-15.3
Net rating
+11.8
100.9
Offensive rating
108.5
116.2
Defensive rating
96.7
48.7%
Effective FG%
50.9%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
15.8%
Turnover %
14.2%
23.6%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.8%
3-point %
35.2%
56.2%
Assist %
62.8%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 108.5Defence116.2 · 96.7Shooting48.7% · 50.9%3-point %32.8% · 35.2%Ball care15.8% · 14.2%Off. rebounds23.6% · 26.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)0% · 80%
■ Hamar   ■ Valur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hamar wins
1
Valur wins
DateGameScore
11/10/23Valur v Hamar100-64
Hamarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/24AKeflavik88-100
14/12/23HTindastoll81-106
10/12/23HHottur82-84
07/12/23AThorl80-86
30/11/23HNjardvik85-109
24/11/23ABreidablik69-87
18/11/23AGrindavik80-100
06/11/23AAlftanes79-86
02/11/23HHottur102-109
26/10/23AHaukar91-98
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/24HThorl90-82
14/12/23HNjardvik91-87
10/12/23AKV mfl.kk.128-89
07/12/23ABreidablik110-85
30/11/23HGrindavik96-83
23/11/23AAlftanes67-73
17/11/23HHottur80-69
10/11/23AHaukar127-124 OT
02/11/23HStjarnan77-86
27/10/23ATindastoll84-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamar
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game83.590.278.7
Allowed / game98.5105.093.9
Point differential-15.0-14.8-15.1
Avg total182.0195.2172.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valur
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%83%67%
Points / game92.089.095.0
Allowed / game83.078.587.5
Point differential+9.0+10.5+7.5
Avg total175.0167.5182.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur129375%92.083.0+9.0
2 Keflavik139469%95.688.8+6.8
3 Njardvik128467%95.088.9+6.1
4 Alftanes128467%81.876.9+4.8
5 Thorl128467%89.289.2+0.0
6 Stjarnan127558%86.484.2+2.2
7 Tindastoll137654%86.483.8+2.5
8 Hottur137654%83.083.5-0.5
9 Grindavik126650%90.389.9+0.4
10 Haukar123925%89.291.2-2.0
11 Breidablik1321115%83.897.8-14.0
12 Hamar120120%83.598.5-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hamar2320262089
Valur26282928111
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