Alftanes vs Valur Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Nov 2023

Tip-off: 19:15

Final 73-67

18-23 19-19 20-13 16-12

Position#6

Record4-3

FormWWLWL

Points / game82.1

Allowed / game79.9

Alftanes 🏆

Valur

Position#1

Record5-2

FormLWLWW

Points / game92.9

Allowed / game83.7

Premier leagueRound 8· Ungmennafélag Álftaness

Other2023-24

Meetings · Alftanes v Valur

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alftanes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Valur winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alftanes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAlftanes

Date

Competition

Njardvik

84-100

100

-16

no box

H31/10

Icelandic Cup

Tindastoll

65-70

-5

30avg 72

H08/10

Premier league

Grindavik

86-79

82avg 72

H12/10

Premier league

Breidablik

#11

91-71

+20

85avg 72

A19/10

Premier league

Njardvik

90-79

+11

93avg 72

H26/10

Premier league

Thorl

79-84

-5

74avg 72

A02/11

Premier league

Hamar

#12

86-79

79avg 72

H06/11

Premier league

Keflavik

78-97

-19

60avg 72

A17/11

Premier league

11-26

20-33

15-24

38-17

20-26

18-20

16-11

11-13

27-17

23-21

16-23

20-18

32-20

12-15

26-18

21-18

22-22

26-15

19-21

23-21

17-24

23-23

19-19

20-18

25-12

23-25

20-13

18-29

17-20

16-27

24-24

21-26

164.8Avg total

82.4Scored

82.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	82.1	79.9	162.0	+2.3	57%
Season at home (4)	81.8	76.8	158.5	+5.0	75%
Season away (3)	82.7	84.0	166.7	-1.3	33%
Last 10 (8)	82.4	82.4	164.8	+0.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	82.0	166.8	+2.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	86.0	79.0	165.0	+7.0	100%
vs Similar (4)	78.0	82.5	160.5	-4.5	25%
vs Weaker (2)	88.5	75.0	163.5	+13.5	100%

This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valur

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormValur

Date

Competition

Tindastoll

79-90

-11

no box

H12/05

Premier league

Tindastoll

82-69

+13

no box

A15/05

Premier league

Tindastoll

81-82

-1

no box

H18/05

Premier league

Thorl

96-81

+15

96avg 80

A06/10

Premier league

Hamar

#12

100-64

100

+36

104avg 80

H11/10

Premier league

Keflavik

86-87

-1

77avg 80

A19/10

Premier league

Tindastoll

84-75

70avg 80

A27/10

Premier league

Stjarnan

77-86

-9

60avg 80

H02/11

Premier league

Haukar

#10

127-124 OT

127

124

no box

A10/11

Premier league

Hottur

80-69

+11

72avg 80

H17/11

Premier league

21-21

28-21

17-28

13-20

23-38

20-10

21-12

18-9

27-14

16-24

20-26

18-18

15-25

29-20

33-23

19-13

27-24

29-7

21-11

23-22

22-19

29-20

15-21

20-27

21-15

26-17

17-22

20-21

24-24

23-16

12-21

18-25

26-20

27-23

16-32

28-22

16-28

26-24

17-9

21-8

171.9Avg total

89.2Scored

82.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	92.9	83.7	176.6	+9.1	71%
Season at home (3)	85.7	73.0	158.7	+12.7	67%
Season away (4)	98.2	91.8	190.0	+6.5	75%
Last 10 (10)	89.2	82.7	171.9	+6.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	90.8	88.2	179.0	+2.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	87.9	85.1	173.0	+2.9	53%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	90.9	83.2	174.1	+7.7	73%

This opponent (Alftanes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlftanesValur

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (8)	21.4	20.9	42.2	+0.5	38%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (3)	22.0	21.3	43.3	+0.7	33%	-
Last 10 (8)	21.4	20.9	42.2	+0.5	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.6	42.2	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	27.0	17.0	44.0	+10.0	100%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.0	23.0	42.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (2)	28.5	16.0	44.5	+12.5	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.6	41.7	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	20.5	40.1	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.6	20.7	43.3	+1.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	22.8	45.0	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	21.2	43.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	21.7	20.7	42.5	+1.0	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.5	20.4	40.9	+0.1	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (8)	20.1	22.4	42.5	-2.2	25%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	22.0	22.8	44.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (3)	17.0	21.7	38.7	-4.7	0%	-
Last 10 (8)	20.1	22.4	42.5	-2.2	25%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.5	20.0	37.5	-2.5	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.3	21.7	45.9	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.9	22.0	45.9	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.6	21.3	45.9	+3.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.3	18.2	43.5	+7.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	20.0	46.2	+6.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	23.2	23.3	46.5	-0.1	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	25.3	20.1	45.4	+5.3	80%	-

AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Njardvik

31-59

-28

H31/10

Icelandic Cup

Tindastoll

38-46

-8

H08/10

Premier league

Grindavik

50-38

+12

H12/10

Premier league

Breidablik

#11

44-35

A19/10

Premier league

Njardvik

48-37

+11

H26/10

Premier league

Thorl

40-47

-7

A02/11

Premier league

Hamar

#12

48-37

+11

H06/11

Premier league

Keflavik

33-47

-14

A17/11

Premier league

84.8Avg total

41.5Scored

43.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (8)	41.5	43.2	84.8	-1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	43.0	43.4	86.4	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (3)	39.0	43.0	82.0	-4.0	33%	-
Last 10 (8)	41.5	43.2	84.8	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	40.6	83.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	50.0	38.0	88.0	+12.0	100%	-
vs Similar (4)	39.8	44.2	84.0	-4.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (2)	46.0	36.0	82.0	+10.0	100%	-

This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tindastoll

49-42

H12/05

Premier league

Tindastoll

43-48

-5

A15/05

Premier league

Tindastoll

43-38

H18/05

Premier league

Thorl

44-45

-1

A06/10

Premier league

Hamar

#12

56-31

+25

H11/10

Premier league

Keflavik

51-39

+12

A19/10

Premier league

Tindastoll

47-32

+15

A27/10

Premier league

Stjarnan

47-40

H02/11

Premier league

Haukar

#10

53-43

+10

A10/11

Premier league

Hottur

42-52

-10

H17/11

Premier league

88.5Avg total

47.5Scored

41.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.4	42.2	87.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.6	42.5	86.1	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	47.2	42.0	89.2	+5.2	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.5	41.0	88.5	+6.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.0	41.2	89.2	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	44.9	44.0	88.9	+0.9	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	45.9	40.5	86.3	+5.4	67%	-

This opponent (Alftanes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (8)	19.4	19.1	38.5	+0.2	38%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	17.2	18.4	35.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (3)	23.0	20.3	43.3	+2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (8)	19.4	19.1	38.5	+0.2	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.0	40.6	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	16.0	23.0	39.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.5	18.8	38.2	+0.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.0	15.5	38.5	+7.5	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.0	41.0	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	18.4	37.9	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.4	21.7	44.1	+0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.5	39.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	21.0	36.4	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	20.7	19.9	40.6	+0.9	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.1	20.2	41.3	+0.9	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (8)	21.5	20.0	41.5	+1.5	62%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	22.0	19.6	41.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (3)	20.7	20.7	41.3	+0.0	67%	-
Last 10 (8)	21.5	20.0	41.5	+1.5	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	22.4	43.0	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.8	19.5	38.2	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	23.5	43.0	-4.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.5	41.9	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	20.9	43.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	20.0	40.7	+0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.5	38.3	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.6	42.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	22.3	21.2	43.5	+1.1	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.6	19.7	40.3	+0.9	53%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (8)	40.9	39.1	80.0	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	39.2	38.0	77.2	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (3)	43.7	41.0	84.7	+2.7	67%	-
Last 10 (8)	40.9	39.1	80.0	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	41.4	83.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	36.0	41.0	77.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	38.2	38.2	76.5	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	42.5	39.0	81.5	+3.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	40.5	82.9	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	39.3	81.0	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.1	41.7	84.7	+1.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	39.0	77.7	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	41.6	78.4	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (15)	43.0	41.1	84.1	+1.9	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	41.7	39.9	81.7	+1.8	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 81.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀61%

🏀🏀🏀22%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers49.7 pts a game · 61% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game

46%

38%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.1	24.9	52.7%	51.2%	49.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.0	6.0	30.0%	34.2%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	18.7	13.6	72.5%	74.4%	13.6

They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 86.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀41%

🏀🏀🏀44%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers35.7 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.0 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game

46%

38%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.5	17.8	47.6%	51.2%	35.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.7	12.7	36.5%	34.2%	38.0
🏀 Free throws	19.3	12.5	64.7%	74.4%	12.5

They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.4	18.4	50.6%	51.2%	36.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.4	9.9	28.6%	34.2%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	18.4	12.3	66.7%	74.4%	12.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.3	15.8	42.4%	51.2%	31.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.8	11.2	32.1%	34.2%	33.5
🏀 Free throws	15.3	10.8	70.7%	74.4%	10.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.4	18.4	50.6%	51.2%	36.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.4	9.9	28.6%	34.2%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	18.4	12.3	66.7%	74.4%	12.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.3	15.8	42.4%	51.2%	31.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.8	11.2	32.1%	34.2%	33.5
🏀 Free throws	15.3	10.8	70.7%	74.4%	10.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/6 games with a box score before 23 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Alftanes

LWLWWWLL

Valur

WWLWLWWLWL

League position

+3.2

Net rating

+12.7

101.1

Offensive rating

107.7

97.9

Defensive rating

94.9

50.4%

Effective FG%

51.0%

46.9%

Opp. effective FG%

45.2%

14.1%

Turnover %

14.0%

18.0%

Off. rebound %

26.1%

0.28

Free-throw rate

0.27

30.0%

3-point %

36.5%

50.5%

Assist %

60.7%

50%

Form (last 8/10)

60%

Profile

■ Alftanes ■ Valur

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Alftanes wins

Valur wins

No previous meetings.

Alftaneslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/11/23	A	Keflavik	78-97
06/11/23	H	Hamar	86-79
02/11/23	A	Thorl	79-84
26/10/23	H	Njardvik	90-79
19/10/23	A	Breidablik	91-71
12/10/23	H	Grindavik	86-79
08/10/23	H	Tindastoll	65-70
31/10/21	H	Njardvik	84-100

Valurlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/11/23	H	Hottur	80-69
10/11/23	A	Haukar	127-124 OT
02/11/23	H	Stjarnan	77-86
27/10/23	A	Tindastoll	84-75
19/10/23	A	Keflavik	86-87
11/10/23	H	Hamar	100-64
06/10/23	A	Thorl	96-81
18/05/23	H	Tindastoll	81-82
15/05/23	A	Tindastoll	82-69
12/05/23	H	Tindastoll	79-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alftanes

Premier league 2023-24

Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Losses (last 8)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	57%
Home	LWWW	75%
Away	WLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	57%	75%	33%
Points / game	82.1	81.8	82.7
Allowed / game	79.9	76.8	84.0
Point differential	+2.3	+5.0	-1.3
Avg total	162.0	158.5	166.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	25%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Valur

Premier league 2023-24

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	71%
Home	WLW	67%
Away	WLWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	71%	67%	75%
Points / game	92.9	85.7	98.2
Allowed / game	83.7	73.0	91.8
Point differential	+9.1	+12.7	+6.5
Avg total	176.6	158.7	190.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	43%	67%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	14%	0%	25%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Valur	7	5	2	71%	92.9	83.7	+9.1
2	Njardvik	7	5	2	71%	94.0	88.6	+5.4
3	Stjarnan	7	5	2	71%	86.3	81.4	+4.9
4	Thorl	7	5	2	71%	89.6	88.0	+1.6
5	Tindastoll	7	4	3	57%	89.0	85.0	+4.0
6	Grindavik	7	4	3	57%	95.0	91.1	+3.9
7	Alftanes	7	4	3	57%	82.1	79.9	+2.3
8	Keflavik	7	4	3	57%	89.7	89.7	+0.0
9	Hottur	7	4	3	57%	85.6	86.9	-1.3
10	Haukar	7	2	5	29%	97.3	93.9	+3.4
11	Hamar	7	0	7	0%	85.6	99.1	-13.6
12	Breidablik	7	0	7	0%	83.7	103.4	-19.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Alftanes	18	19	20	16	73
Valur	23	19	13	12	67

← all games of the day

Alftanes vs Valur Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

A Pro feature