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Valur vs Hottur Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 80-69
16-28 26-24 17-9 21-8
Position#1
Record4-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game86.2
Valur 🏆
Iceland
vs
Position#8
Record4-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game88.0
IcelandPremier leagueRound 7· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Other2023-24
Meetings · Valur v Hottur
04 Mar 2027
VALU v HOTT
upcoming
07 Feb 2025
VALU92
HOTT58
18 Apr 2024
VALU94
HOTT74
10 Apr 2024
VALU94
HOTT75
17 Nov 2023
VALU80
HOTT69
25 Nov 2022
VALU82
HOTT79
28 Jan 2021
VALU88
HOTT81
19 Jan 2018
VALU102
HOTT94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hottur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#3
W
100-87
100
87
+13
no box
A09/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
79-90
79
90
-11
no box
H12/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
82-69
82
69
+13
no box
A15/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
81-82
81
82
-1
no box
H18/05
Premier league
Thorl
#4
W
96-81
96
81
+15
96avg 81
A06/10
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
100-64
100
64
+36
104avg 81
H11/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
86-87
86
87
-1
77avg 81
A19/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
84-75
84
75
+9
70avg 81
A27/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
77-86
77
86
-9
60avg 81
H02/11
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
127-124 OT
127
124
+3
no box
A10/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-23
25-24
23-15
22-25
21-21
28-21
17-28
13-20
23-38
20-10
21-12
18-9
27-14
16-24
20-26
18-18
15-25
29-20
33-23
19-13
27-24
29-7
21-11
23-22
22-19
29-20
15-21
20-27
21-15
26-17
17-22
20-21
24-24
23-16
12-21
18-25
26-20
27-23
16-32
28-22
175.7Avg total
91.2Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)95.086.2181.2+8.867%
Season at home (2)88.575.0163.5+13.550%
Season away (4)98.291.8190.0+6.575%
Last 10 (10)91.284.5175.7+6.760%
Last 5 (5)94.887.2182.0+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)87.985.1173.0+2.953%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)91.783.1174.8+8.773%
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HotturIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHottur
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#7
L
86-87
86
87
-1
no box
A11/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
84-89
84
89
-5
no box
H16/03
Premier league
Breidablik
#10
W
98-85
98
85
+13
no box
A23/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#11
L
79-80
79
80
-1
no box
H30/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
104-87
104
87
+17
106avg 83
A05/10
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
H12/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
71-107
71
107
-36
57avg 83
A20/10
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
83-84
83
84
-1
76avg 83
H26/10
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
109-102
109
102
+7
101avg 83
A02/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
83-75
83
75
+8
76avg 83
H09/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
16-19
28-18
28-25
26-31
21-20
17-21
20-17
15-22
21-24
30-19
32-20
22-19
11-16
25-23
21-22
29-24
21-16
25-26
29-21
24-17
14-16
15-21
27-19
15-32
23-26
19-23
14-26
22-24
15-20
25-29
21-11
28-26
28-18
24-25
29-33
23-23
17-10
12-21
31-21
174.6Avg total
87.7Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.388.0176.3+0.367%
Season at home (3)82.077.3159.3+4.767%
Season away (3)94.798.7193.3-4.067%
Last 10 (10)87.786.9174.6+0.850%
Last 5 (5)85.288.2173.4-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)82.389.3171.6-7.038%
vs Similar (6)81.784.7166.3-3.017%
vs Weaker (10)87.080.5167.5+6.570%
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +7.0+7.0Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +3.7+3.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +7.0+7.0Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +3.7+3.7
ValurHottur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#3
W
55-47
55
47
+8
A09/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H12/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A15/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H18/05
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A06/10
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H11/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A19/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A27/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H02/11
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A10/11
Premier league
89.3Avg total
48.8Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.641.687.2+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.941.385.2+2.753%-
Last 30 away (15)47.242.089.2+5.273%-
Last 10 (10)48.840.589.3+8.380%-
Last 5 (5)50.837.087.8+13.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)44.944.088.9+0.953%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)46.239.385.5+6.973%-
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HotturLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#7
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A11/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H16/03
Premier league
Breidablik
#10
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A23/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#11
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H30/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A05/10
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H12/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A20/10
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H26/10
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A02/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H09/11
Premier league
83.3Avg total
40.5Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.142.882.9-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.741.179.8-2.333%-
Last 30 away (15)41.544.585.9-3.033%-
Last 10 (10)40.542.883.3-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.842.484.2-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.344.283.5-4.923%-
vs Similar (6)37.744.782.3-7.00%-
vs Weaker (10)41.839.781.5+2.160%-
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.218.6
47.4%
51.2%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.613.2
37.1%
34.2%39.6
🏀 Free throws17.410.6
60.9%
74.4%10.6
They take 74.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hotturtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hottur: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.621.8
51.2%
51.2%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.2
35.4%
34.2%30.6
🏀 Free throws16.814.6
86.9%
74.4%14.6
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur
WLWLWWLWLW
Hottur
WWLLWWLWLL
#1
League position
#8
+11.9
Net rating
-2.3
108.5
Offensive rating
111.7
96.6
Defensive rating
114.0
51.3%
Effective FG%
52.0%
46.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
13.8%
Turnover %
17.7%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
34.5%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.1%
3-point %
35.4%
59.7%
Assist %
51.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 111.7Defence96.6 · 114.0Shooting51.3% · 52.0%3-point %37.1% · 35.4%Ball care13.8% · 17.7%Off. rebounds27.4% · 34.5%Free throws0.23 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Valur   ■ Hottur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Valur wins
0
Hottur wins
DateGameScore
05/03/23Hottur v Valur81-90
11/01/23Hottur v Valur47-74
25/11/22Valur v Hottur82-79
22/04/21Hottur v Valur91-95
28/01/21Valur v Hottur88-81
19/01/18Valur v Hottur102-94
19/10/17Hottur v Valur93-99 OT
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/23AHaukar127-124 OT
02/11/23HStjarnan77-86
27/10/23ATindastoll84-75
19/10/23AKeflavik86-87
11/10/23HHamar100-64
06/10/23AThorl96-81
18/05/23HTindastoll81-82
15/05/23ATindastoll82-69
12/05/23HTindastoll79-90
09/05/23ATindastoll100-87
Hotturlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/23HKeflavik83-75
02/11/23AHamar109-102
26/10/23HThorl83-84
20/10/23ANjardvik71-107
12/10/23HBreidablik80-73
05/10/23AGrindavik104-87
30/03/23HIR Reykjavik79-80
23/03/23ABreidablik98-85
16/03/23HKeflavik84-89
11/03/23AGrindavik86-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%50%75%
Points / game95.088.598.2
Allowed / game86.275.091.8
Point differential+8.8+13.5+6.5
Avg total181.2163.5190.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %17%0%25%
Hottur
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW67%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game88.382.094.7
Allowed / game88.077.398.7
Point differential+0.3+4.7-4.0
Avg total176.3159.3193.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur64267%95.086.2+8.8
2 Alftanes64267%82.877.0+5.8
3 Njardvik64267%92.887.2+5.7
4 Tindastoll64267%87.782.3+5.3
5 Stjarnan64267%85.881.8+4.0
6 Hottur64267%88.388.0+0.3
7 Thorl64267%84.585.3-0.8
8 Grindavik63350%94.293.0+1.2
9 Keflavik63350%88.591.7-3.2
10 Haukar62433%100.394.7+5.7
11 Hamar6060%86.599.0-12.5
12 Breidablik6060%80.3100.7-20.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valur1626172180
Hottur28249869
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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