Valur vs Njardvik Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Dec 2023

Tip-off: 19:15

Final 91-87

26-22 20-26 22-16 23-23

Position#1

Record7-3

FormWLWWW

Points / game92.3

Allowed / game82.7

Valur 🏆

Njardvik

Position#5

Record7-3

FormWWWWL

Points / game95.2

Allowed / game88.4

Premier leagueRound 11· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda

Other2023-24

Meetings · Valur v Njardvik

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Njardvik winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valur

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormValur

Date

Competition

Hamar

#12

100-64

100

+36

104avg 83

H11/10

Premier league

Keflavik

86-87

-1

77avg 83

A19/10

Premier league

Tindastoll

84-75

70avg 83

A27/10

Premier league

Stjarnan

77-86

-9

60avg 83

H02/11

Premier league

Haukar

#10

127-124 OT

127

124

no box

A10/11

Premier league

Hottur

80-69

+11

72avg 83

H17/11

Premier league

Alftanes

67-73

-6

63avg 83

A23/11

Premier league

Grindavik

96-83

+13

96avg 83

H30/11

Premier league

Breidablik

#11

110-85

110

+25

108avg 83

A07/12

Premier league

KV mfl.kk.

#16

128-89

128

+39

no box

A10/12

Icelandic Cup

27-24

29-7

21-11

23-22

22-19

29-20

15-21

20-27

21-15

26-17

17-22

20-21

24-24

23-16

12-21

18-25

26-20

27-23

16-32

28-22

16-28

26-24

17-9

21-8

23-18

19-19

13-20

12-16

27-19

23-23

32-24

14-17

29-19

27-26

25-25

29-15

–

179.0Avg total

95.5Scored

83.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	92.3	82.7	175.0	+9.6	70%
Season at home (4)	88.2	75.5	163.8	+12.8	75%
Season away (6)	95.0	87.5	182.5	+7.5	67%
Last 10 (10)	95.5	83.5	179.0	+12.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	96.2	79.8	176.0	+16.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	89.8	84.1	173.9	+5.7	57%
vs Weaker (15)	91.5	83.1	174.6	+8.5	73%

This opponent (Njardvik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Njardvik

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormNjardvik

Date

Competition

Stjarnan

91-88

81avg 84

H05/10

Premier league

Haukar

#10

94-86

91avg 84

A12/10

Premier league

Hottur

107-71

107

+36

111avg 84

H20/10

Premier league

Alftanes

79-90

-11

56avg 84

A26/10

Premier league

Grindavik

87-95

-8

74avg 84

H02/11

Premier league

Breidablik

#11

99-93

81avg 84

A10/11

Premier league

Tindastoll

101-97 OT

101

no box

H17/11

Premier league

Thorl

103-76

103

+27

99avg 84

H23/11

Premier league

Hamar

#12

109-85

109

+24

102avg 84

A30/11

Premier league

Keflavik

82-103

103

-21

67avg 84

H08/12

Premier league

20-18

21-23

20-24

30-23

31-22

20-17

24-25

19-22

32-15

26-23

23-19

26-14

22-22

15-26

21-19

21-23

17-20

26-21

18-30

26-24

24-21

22-26

23-17

30-29

15-15

24-18

28-28

21-27

35-17

18-16

30-20

20-23

28-17

21-22

38-26

22-20

19-17

21-34

15-27

27-25

183.6Avg total

95.2Scored

88.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	95.2	88.4	183.6	+6.8	70%
Season at home (6)	95.2	88.3	183.5	+6.8	67%
Season away (4)	95.2	88.5	183.8	+6.8	75%
Last 10 (10)	95.2	88.4	183.6	+6.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	98.8	90.8	189.6	+8.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	86.7	93.6	180.3	-6.9	38%
vs Weaker (17)	102.4	87.2	189.6	+15.1	100%

This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ValurNjardvik

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.2	20.4	42.7	+1.8	62%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	20.1	41.1	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.5	20.7	44.1	+2.8	73%	-
Last 10 (9)	23.9	20.7	44.6	+3.2	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	20.8	45.0	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	22.9	20.8	43.7	+2.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.6	20.1	41.7	+1.5	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.1	21.4	45.6	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.6	20.7	45.4	+3.9	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.5	22.4	45.8	+1.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.3	18.4	42.7	+5.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	17.4	41.6	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.9	22.2	43.1	-1.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (17)	26.6	20.9	47.5	+5.7	76%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	24.6	21.9	46.6	+2.7	62%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.3	22.9	47.1	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.9	21.1	46.0	+3.9	67%	-
Last 10 (9)	25.4	19.4	44.9	+6.0	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	23.0	47.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	24.1	23.4	47.4	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	25.1	20.6	45.7	+4.5	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	21.9	44.7	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.4	21.7	46.1	+2.7	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.7	22.2	42.8	-1.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	22.6	44.0	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	23.2	44.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.5	23.2	44.8	-1.7	46%	-
vs Weaker (17)	23.8	20.9	44.6	+2.9	65%	-

ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hamar

#12

56-31

+25

H11/10

Premier league

Keflavik

51-39

+12

A19/10

Premier league

Tindastoll

47-32

+15

A27/10

Premier league

Stjarnan

47-40

H02/11

Premier league

Haukar

#10

53-43

+10

A10/11

Premier league

Hottur

42-52

-10

H17/11

Premier league

Alftanes

42-37

A23/11

Premier league

Grindavik

50-42

H30/11

Premier league

Breidablik

#11

56-45

+11

A07/12

Premier league

89.4Avg total

49.3Scored

40.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	46.9	42.3	89.2	+4.5	69%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.2	43.0	88.2	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	48.4	41.7	90.1	+6.7	80%	-
Last 10 (9)	49.3	40.1	89.4	+9.2	89%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.6	43.8	92.4	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	47.0	44.1	91.1	+2.9	64%	-
vs Weaker (15)	46.7	40.7	87.4	+6.1	73%	-

This opponent (Njardvik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NjardvikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Stjarnan

41-41

H05/10

Premier league

Haukar

#10

51-39

+12

A12/10

Premier league

Hottur

58-38

+20

H20/10

Premier league

Alftanes

37-48

-11

A26/10

Premier league

Grindavik

43-41

H02/11

Premier league

Breidablik

#11

46-47

-1

A10/11

Premier league

Tindastoll

39-33

H17/11

Premier league

Thorl

53-33

+20

H23/11

Premier league

Hamar

#12

49-39

+10

A30/11

Premier league

Keflavik

40-51

-11

H08/12

Premier league

86.7Avg total

45.7Scored

41.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.9	43.3	90.3	+3.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	49.1	42.4	91.5	+6.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	44.2	44.5	88.7	-0.4	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.7	41.0	86.7	+4.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	40.6	86.0	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	42.5	45.4	87.8	-2.9	46%	-
vs Weaker (17)	50.4	41.8	92.1	+8.6	76%	-

This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.9	20.0	41.0	+0.9	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	19.1	38.5	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	20.9	43.3	+1.4	53%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.7	20.6	39.2	-1.9	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	22.0	42.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.1	19.6	40.8	+1.5	57%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.7	20.4	41.1	+0.3	47%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	22.3	45.3	+0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.4	22.9	46.2	+0.5	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.5	21.5	44.0	+1.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	23.5	47.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	23.6	50.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.7	22.6	42.3	-2.9	23%	-
vs Weaker (17)	25.5	22.0	47.5	+3.5	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.2	19.7	40.9	+1.4	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	21.0	42.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	18.5	39.7	+2.7	53%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.3	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	15.6	36.4	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.6	20.3	41.9	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.7	19.2	39.9	+1.5	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.4	23.5	47.9	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.6	23.2	46.8	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	25.5	23.8	49.4	+1.7	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	23.0	47.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	24.8	48.8	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	22.8	24.2	46.9	-1.4	46%	-
vs Weaker (17)	25.7	22.9	48.6	+2.8	59%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	42.1	39.8	81.9	+2.3	55%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.6	40.1	80.6	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.5	39.5	83.0	+4.1	60%	-
Last 10 (9)	39.2	39.8	79.0	-0.6	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	37.6	79.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (14)	42.8	39.9	82.7	+2.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	41.5	39.6	81.1	+1.9	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.4	45.7	93.2	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	46.9	46.1	93.0	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	48.1	45.3	93.4	+2.8	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.2	46.5	94.7	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.8	48.4	99.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	42.5	46.8	89.2	-4.3	23%	-
vs Weaker (17)	51.2	44.9	96.2	+6.3	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 87.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀41%

🏀🏀🏀44%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game

46%

38%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.6	17.9	48.9%	51.2%	35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	35.1	12.9	36.7%	34.2%	38.7
🏀 Free throws	18.4	13.0	70.5%	74.4%	13.0

They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Njardviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Njardvik: 93.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀44%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀23%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws22.0 pts a game · 23% of the points

League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game

46%

38%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.9	20.8	50.8%	51.2%	41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.6	10.1	35.4%	34.2%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	27.0	22.0	81.5%	74.4%	22.0

They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	17.7	45.3%	51.2%	35.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.0	10.4	30.7%	34.2%	31.3
🏀 Free throws	14.9	10.6	70.9%	74.4%	10.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.6	21.6	53.2%	51.2%	43.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.3	9.1	29.1%	34.2%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.9	16.1	81.0%	74.4%	16.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	17.7	45.3%	51.2%	35.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.0	10.4	30.7%	34.2%	31.3
🏀 Free throws	14.9	10.6	70.9%	74.4%	10.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.6	21.6	53.2%	51.2%	43.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.3	9.1	29.1%	34.2%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.9	16.1	81.0%	74.4%	16.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/9 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Valur

WWWLWWLWLW

Njardvik

LWWWWLLWWW

League position

+12.7

Net rating

+8.8

108.3

Offensive rating

112.8

95.7

Defensive rating

104.0

51.9%

Effective FG%

51.8%

45.7%

Opp. effective FG%

49.0%

15.0%

Turnover %

14.0%

26.1%

Off. rebound %

24.4%

0.26

Free-throw rate

0.39

36.7%

3-point %

35.4%

63.9%

Assist %

58.3%

70%

Form (last 10/10)

70%

Profile

■ Valur ■ Njardvik

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valur wins

Njardvik wins

Date	Game	Score
24/03/23	Njardvik v Valur	76-101
16/12/22	Valur v Njardvik	88-75
31/01/22	Valur v Njardvik	69-88
13/12/21	Valur v Njardvik	72-71
22/10/21	Njardvik v Valur	96-70
21/03/21	Njardvik v Valur	78-80
24/01/21	Valur v Njardvik	76-85
03/02/20	Njardvik v Valur	86-76 OT
08/11/19	Valur v Njardvik	53-77
17/01/19	Valur v Njardvik	86-90

Valurlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/12/23	A	KV mfl.kk.	128-89
07/12/23	A	Breidablik	110-85
30/11/23	H	Grindavik	96-83
23/11/23	A	Alftanes	67-73
17/11/23	H	Hottur	80-69
10/11/23	A	Haukar	127-124 OT
02/11/23	H	Stjarnan	77-86
27/10/23	A	Tindastoll	84-75
19/10/23	A	Keflavik	86-87
11/10/23	H	Hamar	100-64

Njardviklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/12/23	H	Keflavik	82-103
30/11/23	A	Hamar	109-85
23/11/23	H	Thorl	103-76
17/11/23	H	Tindastoll	101-97 OT
10/11/23	A	Breidablik	99-93
02/11/23	H	Grindavik	87-95
26/10/23	A	Alftanes	79-90
20/10/23	H	Hottur	107-71
12/10/23	A	Haukar	94-86
05/10/23	H	Stjarnan	91-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur

Premier league 2023-24

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	70%
Home	WLWW	75%
Away	LWWLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	4	6
Win %	70%	75%	67%
Points / game	92.3	88.2	95.0
Allowed / game	82.7	75.5	87.5
Point differential	+9.6	+12.8	+7.5
Avg total	175.0	163.8	182.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	75%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	10%	0%	17%

Njardvik

Premier league 2023-24

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	70%
Home	WLWWL	67%
Away	WLWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	6	4
Win %	70%	67%	75%
Points / game	95.2	95.2	95.2
Allowed / game	88.4	88.3	88.5
Point differential	+6.8	+6.8	+6.8
Avg total	183.6	183.5	183.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	33%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	10%	17%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Valur	10	7	3	70%	92.3	82.7	+9.6
2	Njardvik	10	7	3	70%	95.2	88.4	+6.8
3	Keflavik	10	7	3	70%	94.2	87.8	+6.4
4	Alftanes	10	7	3	70%	82.8	77.7	+5.1
5	Thorl	10	7	3	70%	88.5	87.8	+0.7
6	Stjarnan	11	7	4	64%	85.9	82.6	+3.3
7	Tindastoll	10	6	4	60%	86.3	83.0	+3.3
8	Hottur	10	5	5	50%	84.4	85.6	-1.2
9	Grindavik	10	4	6	40%	91.7	93.3	-1.6
10	Haukar	10	3	7	30%	90.9	91.0	-0.1
11	Breidablik	11	1	10	9%	83.4	100.0	-16.6
12	Hamar	10	0	10	0%	83.3	97.6	-14.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valur	26	20	22	23	91
Njardvik	22	26	16	23	87

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Valur vs Njardvik Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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