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Valur vs Thorl Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 90-82
15-18 19-21 27-24 29-19
Position#1
Record8-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game83.1
Valur 🏆
Iceland
vs
Position#4
Record8-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game89.1
IcelandPremier leagueRound 12· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Other2023-24
Meetings · Valur v Thorl
22 Jan 2026
VALU80
THOR71
10 Oct 2024
VALU88
THOR95
04 Jan 2024
VALU90
THOR82
02 May 2023
VALU102
THOR95
27 Apr 2023
VALU91
THOR65
21 Apr 2023
VALU75
THOR83
03 Nov 2022
VALU105
THOR97
23 Apr 2022
VALU87
THOR75
03 Dec 2021
VALU86
THOR75
04 Feb 2021
VALU67
THOR86
10 Oct 2019
VALU87
THOR73
14 Mar 2019
VALU96
THOR87
15 Feb 2018
VALU95
THOR86
14 Nov 2013
VALU97
THOR89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Thorl winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#3
L
86-87
86
87
-1
77avg 83
A19/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
84-75
84
75
+9
70avg 83
A27/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
77-86
77
86
-9
60avg 83
H02/11
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
127-124 OT
127
124
+3
no box
A10/11
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
80-69
80
69
+11
72avg 83
H17/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
67-73
67
73
-6
63avg 83
A23/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
96-83
96
83
+13
96avg 83
H30/11
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
110-85
110
85
+25
108avg 83
A07/12
Premier league
KV mfl.kk.
#16
W
128-89
128
89
+39
no box
A10/12
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#5
W
91-87
91
87
+4
85avg 83
H14/12
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
29-20
15-21
20-27
21-15
26-17
17-22
20-21
24-24
23-16
12-21
18-25
26-20
27-23
16-32
28-22
16-28
26-24
17-9
21-8
23-18
19-19
13-20
12-16
27-19
23-23
32-24
14-17
29-19
27-26
25-25
29-15
–
–
–
–
26-22
20-26
22-16
23-23
180.4Avg total
94.6Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)92.283.1175.3+9.173%
Season at home (5)88.877.8166.6+11.080%
Season away (6)95.087.5182.5+7.567%
Last 10 (10)94.685.8180.4+8.870%
Last 5 (5)98.483.4181.8+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)89.984.3174.1+5.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)91.683.2174.9+8.471%
This opponent (Thorl) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ThorlIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThorl
Date
Competition
Stjarnan
#7
W
84-80
84
80
+4
74avg 85
A12/10
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
84-81
84
81
+3
84avg 85
H19/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
84-83
84
83
+1
73avg 85
A26/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
84-79
84
79
+5
75avg 85
H02/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
90-93
90
93
-3
96avg 85
A09/11
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
120-104
120
104
+16
129avg 85
H17/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
76-103
76
103
-27
61avg 85
A23/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
96-79
96
79
+17
97avg 85
H30/11
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
86-80
86
80
+6
86avg 85
H07/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
103-102
103
102
+1
90avg 85
A15/12
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
19-22
19-20
24-21
20-20
17-22
27-16
20-23
24-22
20-15
29-25
11-21
24-17
23-23
19-19
18-20
15-21
19-24
30-23
26-25
32-25
29-25
32-17
27-37
17-35
16-18
20-30
23-20
29-16
23-18
17-29
27-16
23-13
30-22
14-27
19-18
28-17
32-31
25-28
18-26
179.1Avg total
90.7Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)89.889.1178.9+0.773%
Season at home (6)91.886.5178.3+5.383%
Season away (5)87.492.2179.6-4.860%
Last 10 (10)90.788.4179.1+2.380%
Last 5 (5)96.293.6189.8+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)85.594.5180.0-9.00%
vs Similar (20)91.589.4180.9+2.165%
vs Weaker (8)97.682.6180.2+15.0100%
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
ValurThorl
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#3
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A19/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A27/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H02/11
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A10/11
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H17/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A23/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H30/11
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A07/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H14/12
Premier league
90.2Avg total
48.2Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)47.042.789.7+4.266%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.343.388.6+1.953%-
Last 30 away (14)48.842.190.9+6.779%-
Last 10 (9)48.242.090.2+6.278%-
Last 5 (5)47.244.892.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)46.944.491.3+2.560%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)47.040.987.9+6.171%-
This opponent (Thorl) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ThorlLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stjarnan
#7
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A12/10
Premier league
Haukar
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H19/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A26/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H02/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A09/11
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H17/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A23/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H30/11
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H07/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A15/12
Premier league
88.5Avg total
46.2Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.842.788.4+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.840.186.9+6.779%-
Last 30 away (16)44.944.989.8-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)46.242.388.5+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)51.844.095.8+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)39.544.584.0-5.050%-
vs Similar (20)45.043.588.5+1.460%-
vs Weaker (8)49.440.089.4+9.475%-
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.1
49.5%
51.2%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.012.6
36.0%
34.2%37.8
🏀 Free throws19.113.8
72.3%
74.4%13.8
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Thorltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Thorl: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.022.5
59.2%
51.2%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.511.1
33.1%
34.2%33.3
🏀 Free throws15.711.9
75.8%
74.4%11.9
They take 71.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur
WWWWLWWLWL
Thorl
WWWLWLWWWW
#1
League position
#4
+12.1
Net rating
+2.5
108.5
Offensive rating
114.2
96.4
Defensive rating
111.7
51.7%
Effective FG%
54.8%
45.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
14.7%
Turnover %
17.1%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.0%
3-point %
33.1%
63.2%
Assist %
64.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 114.2Defence96.4 · 111.7Shooting51.7% · 54.8%3-point %36.0% · 33.1%Ball care14.7% · 17.1%Off. rebounds25.7% · 32.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Valur   ■ Thorl
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Valur wins
3
Thorl wins
DateGameScore
06/10/23Thorl v Valur81-96
02/05/23Valur v Thorl102-95
30/04/23Thorl v Valur94-103
27/04/23Valur v Thorl91-65
24/04/23Thorl v Valur92-83
21/04/23Valur v Thorl75-83
10/02/23Thorl v Valur106-74
03/11/22Valur v Thorl105-97
26/04/22Thorl v Valur65-82
23/04/22Valur v Thorl87-75
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/23HNjardvik91-87
10/12/23AKV mfl.kk.128-89
07/12/23ABreidablik110-85
30/11/23HGrindavik96-83
23/11/23AAlftanes67-73
17/11/23HHottur80-69
10/11/23AHaukar127-124 OT
02/11/23HStjarnan77-86
27/10/23ATindastoll84-75
19/10/23AKeflavik86-87
Thorllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/23AKeflavik103-102
07/12/23HHamar86-80
30/11/23HTindastoll96-79
23/11/23ANjardvik76-103
17/11/23HBreidablik120-104
09/11/23AGrindavik90-93
02/11/23HAlftanes84-79
26/10/23AHottur84-83
19/10/23HHaukar84-81
12/10/23AStjarnan84-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW73%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%80%67%
Points / game92.288.895.0
Allowed / game83.177.887.5
Point differential+9.1+11.0+7.5
Avg total175.3166.6182.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Thorl
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW73%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%83%60%
Points / game89.891.887.4
Allowed / game89.186.592.2
Point differential+0.7+5.3-4.8
Avg total178.9178.3179.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur118373%92.283.1+9.1
2 Thorl118373%89.889.1+0.7
3 Njardvik117464%94.588.6+5.8
4 Keflavik117464%94.989.2+5.7
5 Tindastoll117464%88.182.8+5.3
6 Alftanes117464%81.977.7+4.2
7 Stjarnan117464%85.982.6+3.3
8 Hottur116555%83.884.5-0.6
9 Grindavik115645%91.591.6-0.2
10 Haukar113827%89.590.8-1.4
11 Breidablik111109%83.4100.0-16.6
12 Hamar110110%83.198.4-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valur1519272990
Thorl1821241982
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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