PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Hamburg vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 12 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 93-69
24-14 30-24 18-21 21-10
Position#17
Record1-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game92.1
Hamburg 🏆
vs
Position#19
Record2-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game78.3
EuropeEurocupRound 8· Edel-optics.de Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Hamburg v Aris
17 Dec 2025
HAM89
ARI92
12 Nov 2024
HAM93
ARI69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
L
78-105
78
105
-27
71avg 77
A02/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#9
W
87-78
87
78
+9
86avg 77
H06/10
BBL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
L
74-89
74
89
-15
65avg 77
A09/10
Eurocup
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
67-103
67
103
-36
53avg 77
H15/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#5
L
85-91
85
91
-6
80avg 77
A18/10
BBL
Venezia
#11
L
68-80
68
80
-12
56avg 77
A22/10
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
75-96
75
96
-21
64avg 77
H26/10
BBL
Turk Telekom
#8
W
89-77
89
77
+12
78avg 77
H29/10
Eurocup
Ulm
#2
L
72-82
72
82
-10
67avg 77
A02/11
BBL
Lietkabelis
#18
L
68-91
68
91
-23
64avg 77
A06/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-30
15-22
21-30
13-23
21-23
20-20
19-21
27-14
18-21
19-25
17-13
20-30
16-19
11-28
21-34
19-22
21-23
23-24
19-24
22-20
16-22
15-24
17-16
20-18
17-21
13-28
17-19
28-28
27-18
16-21
22-12
24-26
12-25
27-14
17-21
16-22
21-24
9-24
17-22
21-21
165.5Avg total
76.3Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.992.1167.0-17.314%
Season at home (3)78.793.3172.0-14.733%
Season away (4)72.091.2163.2-19.20%
Last 10 (10)76.389.2165.5-12.920%
Last 5 (5)74.485.2159.6-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.287.7164.9-10.514%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.887.5170.3-4.740%
vs Weaker (5)90.478.2168.6+12.280%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#18
W
92-74
92
74
+18
92avg 65
A08/10
Eurocup
Olympiacos
#2
L
72-102
72
102
-30
61avg 65
A13/10
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
L
68-78
68
78
-10
57avg 65
H16/10
Eurocup
Promitheas
#5
W
86-75
86
75
+11
87avg 65
H19/10
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
L
75-82
75
82
-7
62avg 65
H23/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
85-84
85
84
+1
84avg 65
A26/10
Basket League
JL Bourg
#12
W
91-88
91
88
+3
83avg 65
A30/10
Eurocup
Peristeri
#9
W
77-71
77
71
+6
64avg 65
H02/11
Basket League
Valencia
#1
L
59-63
59
63
-4
46avg 65
H06/11
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
L
72-74
72
74
-2
53avg 65
H09/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
23-16
28-23
22-19
12-35
19-22
18-19
23-26
17-23
22-9
12-16
17-30
23-11
20-26
19-16
24-22
24-23
24-14
13-17
14-28
15-23
13-20
30-24
27-17
21-22
20-20
15-16
35-30
10-16
28-19
10-18
29-18
19-19
14-16
11-17
15-11
14-24
18-17
21-13
19-20
156.8Avg total
77.7Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.778.3153.0-3.629%
Season at home (4)66.272.8139.0-6.50%
Season away (3)86.085.7171.7+0.367%
Last 10 (10)77.779.1156.8-1.450%
Last 5 (5)76.876.0152.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)72.280.9153.1-8.726%
vs Similar ◀ (6)71.576.2147.7-4.733%
vs Weaker (1)84.060.0144.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
HamburgAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A02/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H06/10
BBL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A09/10
Eurocup
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H15/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A18/10
BBL
Venezia
#11
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A22/10
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H26/10
BBL
Turk Telekom
#8
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H29/10
Eurocup
Ulm
#2
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A02/11
BBL
Lietkabelis
#18
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A06/11
Eurocup
82.2Avg total
36.6Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.243.984.0-3.730%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.942.382.2-2.443%-
Last 30 away (16)40.445.285.6-4.919%-
Last 10 (10)36.645.682.2-9.010%-
Last 5 (5)34.644.278.8-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.144.982.0-7.714%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.546.588.0-5.030%-
vs Weaker (5)46.836.283.0+10.680%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#18
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A08/10
Eurocup
Olympiacos
#2
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A13/10
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H16/10
Eurocup
Promitheas
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H19/10
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H23/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A26/10
Basket League
JL Bourg
#12
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A30/10
Eurocup
Peristeri
#9
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H02/11
Basket League
Valencia
#1
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H06/11
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H09/11
Basket League
76.6Avg total
37.5Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.538.473.9-2.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.435.671.0-0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)35.641.176.7-5.520%-
Last 10 (10)37.539.176.6-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)34.439.273.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)35.337.973.3-2.635%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)35.740.275.8-4.533%-
vs Weaker (1)38.038.076.0+0.00%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.818.1
55.2%
53.5%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.2
32.4%
34.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws15.811.5
72.8%
76.0%11.5
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.719.6
59.9%
53.5%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.7
33.1%
34.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.011.6
72.5%
76.0%11.6
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
LLWLLLLLWL
Aris
LLWWWLWLLW
#17
League position
#19
-18.0
Net rating
-1.4
102.1
Offensive rating
108.6
120.1
Defensive rating
110.0
52.1%
Effective FG%
55.3%
58.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
21.8%
Turnover %
20.9%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.4%
3-point %
33.1%
66.3%
Assist %
49.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.1 · 108.6Defence120.1 · 110.0Shooting52.1% · 55.3%3-point %32.4% · 33.1%Ball care21.8% · 20.9%Off. rebounds30.5% · 31.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Hamburg   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hamburg wins
0
Aris wins
No previous meetings.
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/24ALietkabelis68-91
02/11/24AUlm72-82
29/10/24HTurk Telekom89-77
26/10/24HSyntainics MBC75-96
22/10/24AVenezia68-80
18/10/24AWurzburg85-91
15/10/24HCluj-Napoca67-103
09/10/24AHapoel Jerusalem74-89
06/10/24HOldenburg87-78
02/10/24AValencia78-105
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24HMaroussi72-74
06/11/24HValencia59-63
02/11/24HPeristeri77-71
30/10/24AJL Bourg91-88
26/10/24AKolossos Rhodes85-84
23/10/24HCedevita Olimpija75-82
19/10/24HPromitheas86-75
16/10/24HHapoel Jerusalem68-78
13/10/24AOlympiacos72-102
08/10/24ALietkabelis92-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL14%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game74.978.772.0
Allowed / game92.193.391.2
Point differential-17.3-14.7-19.2
Avg total167.0172.0163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aris
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL29%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%0%67%
Points / game74.766.286.0
Allowed / game78.372.885.7
Point differential-3.6-6.5+0.3
Avg total153.0139.0171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia660100%93.277.8+15.3
2 Bahcesehir Kol.76186%85.970.7+15.1
3 Hapoel Jerusalem75271%83.775.1+8.6
4 JL Bourg75271%85.377.1+8.1
5 Gran Canaria75271%82.075.9+6.1
6 Hapoel Tel-Aviv85362%85.577.5+8.0
7 BC Wolves85362%82.980.6+2.2
8 Besiktas74357%87.783.7+4.0
9 Turk Telekom74357%77.776.6+1.1
10 Cedevita Olimpija74357%82.082.4-0.4
11 Ulm74357%87.695.9-8.3
12 Cluj-Napoca73443%86.485.6+0.9
13 Buducnost73443%84.487.7-3.3
14 Trento83538%78.885.9-7.1
15 Lietkabelis62433%76.880.3-3.5
16 Aris72529%74.778.3-3.6
17 Joventut Badalona72529%77.081.1-4.1
18 Venezia72529%78.686.1-7.6
19 Hamburg71614%74.992.1-17.3
20 Trefl Sopot8080%78.690.1-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hamburg2430182193
Aris1424211069
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.