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Hamburg vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 94-88
16-24 30-12 21-31 27-21
Position#10
Record14-16
FormLLLWL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game87.2
Hamburg 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#17
Record7-23
FormLWLWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game92.4
GermanyBBLRound 31· Edel-optics.de Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Hamburg v Crailsheim Merlins
30 Apr 2024
HAM94
CME88
25 Apr 2023
HAM77
CME66
01 Apr 2022
HAM113
CME63
10 Jan 2021
HAM89
CME72
29 Feb 2020
HAM91
CME92
24 Feb 2018
HAM73
CME79
06 Nov 2016
HAM84
CME90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
81-70
81
70
+11
80avg 76
A10/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
76-96
76
96
-20
61avg 76
A17/03
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
80-81 OT
80
81
-1
no box
H24/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
107-76
107
76
+31
108avg 76
H27/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
65-85
65
85
-20
53avg 76
A31/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
79-83
79
83
-4
70avg 76
H08/04
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
80-86
80
86
-6
66avg 76
A14/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
76-84
76
84
-8
58avg 76
H17/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
89-84
89
84
+5
84avg 76
H20/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
92-107
92
107
-15
84avg 76
A28/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
25-18
15-15
23-17
15-21
23-26
19-18
19-31
17-12
17-26
14-18
25-17
30-21
30-12
24-21
23-22
16-19
21-21
15-23
13-22
21-19
20-23
19-22
19-19
17-18
28-25
15-28
20-15
5-16
17-24
26-22
28-22
17-22
31-24
17-13
24-25
24-26
29-33
19-32
20-16
167.7Avg total
82.5Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)85.587.2172.7-1.747%
Season at home (14)84.784.7169.4+0.050%
Season away (16)86.289.3175.5-3.144%
Last 10 (10)82.585.2167.7-2.730%
Last 5 (5)83.288.8172.0-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)81.394.1175.4-12.97%
vs Similar (8)84.688.1172.8-3.538%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)95.984.7180.6+11.186%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#8
L
58-80
58
80
-22
43avg 69
A14/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
80-86
80
86
-6
76avg 69
A01/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
82-97
82
97
-15
76avg 69
H09/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
93-98
93
98
-5
89avg 69
A16/03
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
80-76
80
76
+4
74avg 69
H23/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
86-90
86
90
-4
78avg 69
A30/03
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
102-93
102
93
+9
103avg 69
H06/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
88-98
88
98
-10
82avg 69
A13/04
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
98-89
98
89
+9
98avg 69
H20/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
66-86
66
86
-20
67avg 69
H27/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
12-26
13-25
18-7
23-28
18-17
21-15
18-26
14-20
25-22
19-26
24-29
21-26
20-34
26-24
26-14
26-19
19-21
8-10
27-26
24-24
20-31
20-22
22-13
21-26
25-24
25-17
31-26
17-27
23-21
25-20
23-30
25-20
24-19
23-20
26-30
12-18
20-28
13-21
21-19
172.6Avg total
83.3Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)80.892.4173.2-11.623%
Season at home (15)82.589.2171.7-6.740%
Season away (15)79.195.5174.7-16.47%
Last 10 (10)83.389.3172.6-6.030%
Last 5 (5)88.091.2179.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)78.793.5172.2-14.817%
vs Similar (6)89.287.7176.8+1.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hamburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.6+1.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.6+1.6
HamburgCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A10/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A17/03
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H24/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
60-33
60
33
+27
H27/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A31/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H08/04
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A14/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
22-40
22
40
-18
H17/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H20/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A28/04
BBL
84.7Avg total
42.1Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.446.189.5-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.744.285.9-2.527%-
Last 30 away (15)45.148.193.2-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)42.142.684.7-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)41.846.087.8-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)39.747.887.5-8.113%-
vs Similar (8)44.945.590.4-0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)49.743.393.0+6.457%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#8
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A14/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A01/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H09/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
41-60
41
60
-19
A16/03
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H23/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A30/03
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H06/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A13/04
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H20/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H27/04
BBL
87.7Avg total
40.4Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.646.586.1-6.923%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.243.383.5-3.133%-
Last 30 away (15)39.049.788.7-10.713%-
Last 10 (10)40.447.387.7-6.920%-
Last 5 (5)42.247.689.8-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)39.446.385.8-6.921%-
vs Similar (6)40.347.287.5-6.833%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hamburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.2
53.0%
54.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.1
29.7%
35.4%21.3
🏀 Free throws28.220.8
73.8%
76.0%20.8
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.0
51.8%
54.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.7
38.2%
35.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws15.812.4
78.5%
76.0%12.4
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
LWLLLLWLLW
Crailsheim Merlins
LWLWLWLLLL
#10
League position
#17
-4.7
Net rating
-7.3
103.0
Offensive rating
103.7
107.8
Defensive rating
111.0
49.7%
Effective FG%
54.2%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
21.6%
Turnover %
22.1%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.47
Free-throw rate
0.24
29.7%
3-point %
38.2%
54.4%
Assist %
63.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 103.7Defence107.8 · 111.0Shooting49.7% · 54.2%3-point %29.7% · 38.2%Ball care21.6% · 22.1%Off. rebounds32.6% · 26.7%Free throws0.47 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Hamburg   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Hamburg wins
6
Crailsheim Merlins wins
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/24AOldenburg92-107
20/04/24HLudwigsburg89-84
17/04/24HAlba Berlin76-84
14/04/24ABamberg80-86
08/04/24HHeidelberg79-83
31/03/24AAlba Berlin65-85
27/03/24HSyntainics MBC107-76
24/03/24HBayern80-81 OT
17/03/24AWurzburg76-96
10/03/24ABasketball Braunschweig81-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24HUlm66-86
20/04/24HBonn98-89
13/04/24ABasketball Braunschweig88-98
06/04/24HVechta102-93
30/03/24AHeidelberg86-90
23/03/24HGottingen80-76
16/03/24ASyntainics MBC93-98
09/03/24HChemnitz82-97
01/03/24AWurzburg80-86
14/02/24AOldenburg58-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL47%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayWLLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %47%50%44%
Points / game85.584.786.2
Allowed / game87.284.789.3
Point differential-1.7+0.0-3.1
Avg total172.7169.4175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%14%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)60% (5)100% (3)
Overtime %7%7%6%
Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL23%
HomeLWWWL40%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %23%40%7%
Points / game80.882.579.1
Allowed / game92.489.295.5
Point differential-11.6-6.7-16.4
Avg total173.2171.7174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%7%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2924583%89.477.4+12.0
2 Alba Berlin2923679%91.382.0+9.3
3 Chemnitz3023777%89.779.2+10.5
4 Ulm3021970%92.085.0+7.0
5 Wurzburg3021970%86.179.6+6.5
6 Ludwigsburg30181260%88.782.2+6.5
7 Vechta30181260%88.982.7+6.2
8 Bonn30181260%90.286.0+4.2
9 Oldenburg30161453%85.784.2+1.5
10 Hamburg30141647%85.587.2-1.7
11 Bamberg30131743%88.190.4-2.3
12 Basketball Braunschweig30131743%82.785.7-3.1
13 Syntainics MBC3092130%85.892.9-7.2
14 Gottingen3092130%86.193.8-7.6
15 Rostock3082227%88.293.9-5.7
16 Heidelberg3082227%83.194.3-11.2
17 Crailsheim Merlins3072323%80.892.4-11.6
18 Tubingen3062420%83.796.5-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hamburg1630212794
Crailsheim Merlins2412312188
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