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Hapoel Tel-Aviv vs Valencia Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 14 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record6-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game87.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#3
Record8-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game96.4
Allowed / game88.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 23· Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Hapoel Tel-Aviv v Valencia
14 Jan 2027
HTA v VAL
upcoming
05 Feb 2026
HTA99
VAL104
28 Mar 2025
HTA96
VAL91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hapoel Tel-Aviv win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hapoel Tel-AvivLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTel-Aviv
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#1
W
91-81
91
81
+10
90avg 76
A16/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Ashdod
#7
W
81-67
81
67
+14
55avg 76
H18/10
Super League
Virtus Bologna
#16
W
90-81
90
81
+9
82avg 76
H21/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
60-70
60
70
-10
38avg 76
H25/10
Super League
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
118-88
118
88
+30
118avg 76
H28/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#9
L
83-97
83
97
-14
73avg 76
A30/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#9
W
105-87
105
87
+18
no box
A01/11
Super League
Barcelona
#4
L
90-93
90
93
-3
no box
H05/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
A12/11
Euroleague
Bnei Herzliya
#10
W
78-71
78
71
+7
no box
H14/11
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-25
19-21
20-15
23-20
23-28
23-20
14-7
21-12
23-25
13-23
28-14
26-19
14-16
13-18
20-17
13-19
27-21
36-20
27-18
28-29
22-19
18-26
20-29
23-23
26-22
33-25
24-16
22-24
21-19
25-27
18-27
26-20
21-25
12-16
19-15
21-24
23-18
22-20
16-9
17-24
168.4Avg total
86.9Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)90.487.2177.5+3.255%
Season at home (6)97.388.0185.3+9.367%
Season away (5)82.086.2168.2-4.240%
Last 10 (10)86.981.5168.4+5.460%
Last 5 (5)85.885.6171.4+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)90.290.5180.8-0.250%
vs Similar (5)83.885.4169.2-1.640%
vs Weaker (17)83.174.0157.1+9.176%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Murcia
#10
W
116-93
116
93
+23
113avg 95
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#14
W
104-93
104
93
+11
98avg 95
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
84-75
84
75
+9
69avg 95
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
86-78
86
78
+8
73avg 95
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#4
L
94-98
94
98
-4
86avg 95
A30/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
111-79
111
79
+32
107avg 95
A01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
100-93
100
93
+7
no box
A08/11
ACB
Bayern
#18
W
102-87
102
87
+15
no box
H12/11
Euroleague
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
111-97
111
97
+14
no box
H15/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
33-22
28-24
30-33
32-26
25-28
26-16
21-23
27-19
14-16
18-18
25-22
19-9
17-16
24-21
26-32
25-30
17-14
26-25
26-29
20-21
26-18
31-29
34-11
24-15
16-22
11-22
33-14
22-27
19-25
30-20
29-21
29-19
23-22
21-24
29-22
27-24
36-24
27-24
21-25
185.8Avg total
99.2Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)96.488.9185.3+7.573%
Season at home (6)96.288.0184.2+8.267%
Season away (5)96.690.0186.6+6.680%
Last 10 (10)99.286.6185.8+12.690%
Last 5 (5)101.685.8187.4+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)89.085.0174.0+4.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)99.387.6186.9+11.781%
This opponent (Hapoel Tel-Aviv) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +4.2+4.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +4.2+4.2
Hapoel Tel-AvivValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hapoel Tel-AvivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#1
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A16/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Ashdod
#7
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H18/10
Super League
Virtus Bologna
#16
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H21/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H25/10
Super League
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
63-41
63
41
+22
H28/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A30/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#9
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A01/11
Super League
Barcelona
#4
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H05/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A12/11
Euroleague
Bnei Herzliya
#10
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H14/11
Super League
87.7Avg total
44.3Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)45.442.688.0+2.862%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.643.289.9+3.462%-
Last 30 away (13)43.841.885.6+2.162%-
Last 10 (10)44.343.487.7+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)44.643.488.0+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)46.944.591.4+2.475%-
vs Similar (5)43.441.484.8+2.040%-
vs Weaker (16)45.242.087.2+3.262%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#10
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#14
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A30/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A05/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A08/11
ACB
Bayern
#18
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H12/11
Euroleague
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
63-48
63
48
+15
H15/11
ACB
88.7Avg total
47.6Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.641.188.6+6.577%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.040.190.1+9.981%-
Last 30 away (14)44.842.186.9+2.671%-
Last 10 (10)47.641.188.7+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)48.443.491.8+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)45.331.376.7+14.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)47.842.190.0+5.774%-
This opponent (Hapoel Tel-Aviv) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hapoel Tel-Avivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hapoel Tel-Aviv: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.921.9
56.3%
55.2%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.8
40.6%
35.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws18.214.0
76.9%
77.1%14.0
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 95.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.025.0
56.8%
55.2%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.1
34.6%
35.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.715.6
75.4%
77.1%15.6
They take 73.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
WLLWLWLWWW
Valencia
WWWWWLWWWW
#10
League position
#3
+7.3
Net rating
+8.9
105.2
Offensive rating
108.3
97.8
Defensive rating
99.4
58.2%
Effective FG%
54.8%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
12.3%
Turnover %
8.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
40.6%
3-point %
34.6%
51.4%
Assist %
51.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 108.3Defence97.8 · 99.4Shooting58.2% · 54.8%3-point %40.6% · 34.6%Ball care12.3% · 8.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Hapoel Tel-Aviv   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Hapoel Tel-Aviv wins
3
Valencia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HBnei Herzliya78-71
12/11/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv73-80
05/11/26HBarcelona90-93
01/11/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv105-87
30/10/26ADubai83-97
28/10/26HAnadolu Efes118-88
25/10/26HHapoel Jerusalem60-70
21/10/26HVirtus Bologna90-81
18/10/26HMaccabi Ashdod81-67
16/10/26APanathinaikos91-81
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HLeyma Coruna111-97
12/11/26HBayern102-87
08/11/26ASan Pablo Burgos100-93
05/11/26AOlimpia Milano84-73
01/11/26AMoraBanc Andorra111-79
30/10/26ABarcelona94-98
27/10/26HFenerbahce86-78
25/10/26HBaskonia84-75
23/10/26AParis104-93
18/10/26HMurcia116-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hapoel Tel-Aviv
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL55%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game90.497.382.0
Allowed / game87.288.086.2
Point differential+3.2+9.3-4.2
Avg total177.5185.3168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW73%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%67%80%
Points / game96.496.296.6
Allowed / game88.988.090.0
Point differential+7.5+8.2+6.6
Avg total185.3184.2186.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%50%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos118373%86.478.5+7.9
2 Olympiacos118373%88.580.7+7.7
3 Valencia118373%96.488.9+7.5
4 Barcelona118373%89.687.4+2.3
5 Real Madrid117464%98.590.1+8.4
6 Crvena zvezda117464%83.377.7+5.5
7 Fenerbahce117464%82.978.6+4.3
8 Zalgiris Kaunas117464%85.682.4+3.3
9 Dubai117464%86.585.6+0.9
10 Hapoel Tel-Aviv116555%90.487.2+3.2
11 Partizan116555%79.577.7+1.7
12 Anadolu Efes115645%85.987.5-1.5
13 Besiktas115645%88.490.9-2.5
14 Paris115645%91.094.1-3.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne114736%88.593.2-4.6
16 Virtus Bologna114736%86.190.7-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv113827%84.392.1-7.8
18 Bayern113827%86.895.2-8.4
19 Olimpia Milano111109%81.389.3-8.0
20 Baskonia111109%79.991.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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