PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Valencia vs Hapoel Tel-Aviv Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 93-100
18-27 29-22 23-31 23-20
Position#3
Record2-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game93.0
vs
Position#6
Record2-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game93.3
Allowed / game90.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 4· Font de Sant Lluis
European cup2025
Meetings · Valencia v Hapoel Tel-Aviv
08 Oct 2026
VAL93
HTA82
15 Oct 2025
VAL93
HTA100
02 Apr 2025
VAL92
HTA94
25 Mar 2025
VAL91
HTA82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hapoel Tel-Aviv winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
56avg 92
A20/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
96-102 OT
96
102
-6
86avg 92
A22/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
70-81
70
81
-11
56avg 92
H25/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
93-87
93
87
+6
86avg 92
A27/09
Supercopa ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
98-94
98
94
+4
87avg 92
A28/09
Supercopa ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
80-77
80
77
+3
75avg 92
A01/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
103-94
103
94
+9
100avg 92
H03/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
93-81
93
81
+12
96avg 92
H05/10
ACB
Barcelona
#8
L
102-108
102
108
-6
97avg 92
A10/10
Euroleague
Breogan
#11
W
113-90
113
90
+23
114avg 92
A12/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
17-16
28-29
15-25
25-22
20-26
23-21
21-20
19-23
21-16
9-21
21-21
18-26
25-18
30-27
20-16
24-27
27-17
18-25
29-25
19-18
15-17
26-26
20-16
26-23
23-23
26-25
28-23
24-15
22-18
23-25
24-23
25-26
24-22
26-30
27-30
19-27
35-20
30-27
29-16
182.6Avg total
92.3Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)95.093.0188.0+2.067%
Season at home (1)103.094.0197.0+9.0100%
Season away (2)91.092.5183.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)92.390.3182.6+2.060%
Last 5 (5)98.290.0188.2+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)86.495.2181.6-8.80%
vs Weaker (24)96.484.2180.6+12.283%
This opponent (Hapoel Tel-Aviv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Tel-AvivLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTel-Aviv
Date
Competition
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
87-98
87
98
-11
79avg 88
A28/05
Super League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
83-86
83
86
-3
76avg 88
H03/06
Super League
Nes Ziona
#14
W
116-63
116
63
+53
121avg 88
H13/09
League Cup
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#6
W
101-66
101
66
+35
96avg 88
A16/09
League Cup
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#11
W
98-86
98
86
+12
95avg 88
H25/09
League Cup
Hapoel HaEmek
#5
W
84-65
84
65
+19
86avg 88
H27/09
League Cup
Barcelona
#8
W
103-87
103
87
+16
98avg 88
H30/09
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
87-81
87
81
+6
73avg 88
A03/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
90-103
90
103
-13
81avg 88
H08/10
Euroleague
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#11
W
97-82
97
82
+15
88avg 88
H12/10
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
14-29
23-22
29-27
20-19
23-24
25-11
15-32
28-21
25-15
28-14
35-13
22-17
19-12
34-11
26-26
30-25
26-24
21-20
21-17
22-26
28-15
14-9
20-15
26-26
25-19
31-25
21-17
21-22
14-24
26-13
26-22
25-24
20-21
25-27
20-31
23-21
25-16
22-21
27-24
176.3Avg total
94.6Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)93.390.3183.7+3.067%
Season at home (2)96.595.0191.5+1.550%
Season away (1)87.081.0168.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)94.681.7176.3+12.970%
Last 5 (5)92.283.6175.8+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)90.791.3182.0-0.767%
vs Similar ◀ (5)87.485.2172.6+2.260%
vs Weaker (22)94.079.0173.0+15.095%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +7.6+7.6Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.6+1.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +7.6+7.6Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.6+1.6
ValenciaHapoel Tel-Aviv
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A20/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A22/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H25/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A27/09
Supercopa ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A28/09
Supercopa ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A01/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H03/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H05/10
ACB
Barcelona
#8
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A10/10
Euroleague
Breogan
#11
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A12/10
ACB
86.2Avg total
44.3Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.841.786.5+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.741.185.9+3.671%-
Last 30 away (16)44.842.287.1+2.650%-
Last 10 (10)44.341.986.2+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)46.441.888.2+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)42.043.285.2-1.240%-
vs Weaker (24)45.441.386.8+4.167%-
This opponent (Hapoel Tel-Aviv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Tel-AvivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A28/05
Super League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H03/06
Super League
Nes Ziona
#14
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H13/09
League Cup
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#6
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A16/09
League Cup
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#11
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H25/09
League Cup
Hapoel HaEmek
#5
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H27/09
League Cup
Barcelona
#8
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H30/09
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A03/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H08/10
Euroleague
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#11
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H12/10
Super League
87.7Avg total
45.7Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.941.387.2+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (21)46.440.887.2+5.671%-
Last 30 away (9)44.842.487.2+2.356%-
Last 10 (10)45.742.087.7+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)45.842.888.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)48.745.394.0+3.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)43.842.286.0+1.660%-
vs Weaker (22)46.040.586.5+5.568%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 90.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.218.5
55.7%
60.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.412.6
37.7%
35.9%37.8
🏀 Free throws19.916.1
80.9%
78.2%16.1
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hapoel Tel-Avivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hapoel Tel-Aviv: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.522.0
57.1%
60.4%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.3
37.8%
35.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws24.719.2
77.7%
78.2%19.2
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLWWWWWLLL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
WLWWWWWWLL
#3
League position
#6
+0.8
Net rating
+7.4
121.9
Offensive rating
119.8
121.1
Defensive rating
112.5
56.2%
Effective FG%
57.0%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
16.7%
Turnover %
17.4%
35.7%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.39
37.7%
3-point %
37.8%
60.1%
Assist %
60.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence121.9 · 119.8Defence121.1 · 112.5Shooting56.2% · 57.0%3-point %37.7% · 37.8%Ball care16.7% · 17.4%Off. rebounds35.7% · 33.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Valencia   ■ Hapoel Tel-Aviv
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valencia wins
2
Hapoel Tel-Aviv wins
DateGameScore
02/04/25Valencia v Hapoel Tel-Aviv92-94
28/03/25Hapoel Tel-Aviv v Valencia96-91
25/03/25Valencia v Hapoel Tel-Aviv91-82
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/25ABreogan113-90
10/10/25ABarcelona102-108
05/10/25HBarcelona93-81
03/10/25HVirtus Bologna103-94
01/10/25ALyon-Villeurbanne80-77
28/09/25AReal Madrid98-94
27/09/25AUnicaja93-87
25/06/25HReal Madrid70-81
22/06/25AReal Madrid96-102 OT
20/06/25AReal Madrid75-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/25HIroni Kiryat Ata97-82
08/10/25HMaccabi Tel Aviv90-103
03/10/25AAnadolu Efes87-81
30/09/25HBarcelona103-87
27/09/25HHapoel HaEmek84-65
25/09/25HHapoel Beer Sheva98-86
16/09/25AIroni Kiryat Ata101-66
13/09/25HNes Ziona116-63
03/06/25HHapoel Jerusalem83-86
28/05/25AHapoel Jerusalem87-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game95.0103.091.0
Allowed / game93.094.092.5
Point differential+2.0+9.0-1.5
Avg total188.0197.0183.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game93.396.587.0
Allowed / game90.395.081.0
Point differential+3.0+1.5+6.0
Avg total183.7191.5168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas43175%87.580.8+6.8
2 Barcelona43175%97.593.0+4.5
3 Panathinaikos43175%90.087.8+2.2
4 Monaco32167%89.783.0+6.7
5 Real Madrid32167%80.774.3+6.3
6 Hapoel Tel-Aviv32167%93.390.3+3.0
7 Valencia32167%95.093.0+2.0
8 Paris32167%89.389.7-0.3
9 Partizan32167%83.084.7-1.7
10 Olympiacos42250%85.883.5+2.2
11 Anadolu Efes42250%83.884.0-0.2
12 Dubai42250%82.583.5-1.0
13 Crvena zvezda42250%86.087.2-1.2
14 Bayern42250%77.581.5-4.0
15 Virtus Bologna31233%82.387.0-4.7
16 Olimpia Milano41325%75.577.0-1.5
17 Fenerbahce41325%81.885.0-3.2
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne41325%84.087.8-3.8
19 Maccabi Tel Aviv41325%86.592.0-5.5
20 Baskonia3030%91.796.7-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia1829232393
Hapoel Tel-Aviv27223120100
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.