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Herlev Wolfpack vs Horsens Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 80-94
23-31 18-24 21-20 18-19
Position#9
Record0-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game91.0
Herlev Wolfpack
Denmark
vs
Horsens 🏆
Denmark
Position#3
Record2-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game75.5
DenmarkBasketligaen· Herlevhallen
Other2024-25
Meetings · Herlev Wolfpack v Horsens
28 Sep 2024
HERL80
HORS94
20 Dec 2023
HERL83
HORS101
15 Mar 2023
HERL83
HORS90
30 Dec 2022
HERL81
HORS92
09 Feb 2022
HERL54
HORS77
10 Apr 2021
HERL68
HORS85
13 Mar 2021
HERL67
HORS96
30 Oct 2019
HERL85
HORS88
25 Mar 2019
HERL75
HORS99
10 Nov 2018
HERL76
HORS124
14 Mar 2018
HERL88
HORS110
20 Oct 2017
HERL82
HORS89
16 Mar 2015
HERL83
HORS93
20 Nov 2014
HERL70
HORS82
19 Dec 2013
HERL57
HORS79
19 Nov 2011
HERL89
HORS83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Herlev Wolfpack winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Horsens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolfpack
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
99-94 OT
99
94
+5
no box
H02/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
62-84
62
84
-22
46avg 65
A09/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
88-77
88
77
+11
94avg 65
H16/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
73-85
73
85
-12
69avg 65
A23/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
L
74-78
74
78
-4
40avg 65
A26/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
88-79
88
79
+9
90avg 65
H07/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
L
94-97
94
97
-3
78avg 65
A23/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
65-82
65
82
-17
58avg 65
H27/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
64-93
64
93
-29
52avg 65
H21/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
82-89
82
89
-7
67avg 65
A26/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
25-23
16-21
21-25
11-23
16-21
23-12
12-28
25-20
24-19
23-18
16-20
23-20
16-20
15-17
19-28
14-21
28-15
8-26
24-16
20-19
27-20
20-26
21-14
14-22
18-22
30-21
32-32
17-16
15-22
17-27
16-17
22-22
7-21
18-29
17-21
21-26
16-14
25-22
20-27
164.7Avg total
78.9Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.091.0164.0-18.00%
Season at home (1)64.093.0157.0-29.00%
Season away (1)82.089.0171.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)78.985.8164.7-6.930%
Last 5 (5)78.688.0166.6-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)72.593.6166.0-21.15%
vs Similar (4)82.878.0160.8+4.875%
vs Weaker (3)92.790.7183.3+2.033%
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHorsens
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#5
W
80-70
80
70
+10
69avg 81
H05/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
98-86
98
86
+12
97avg 81
H11/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
99-107
99
107
-8
91avg 81
A15/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
90-98
90
98
-8
75avg 81
H22/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
90-87
90
87
+3
87avg 81
A25/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
80-89
80
89
-9
74avg 81
H29/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
84-92
84
92
-8
73avg 81
A02/05
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
W
94-87
94
87
+7
88avg 81
H10/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
90-72
90
72
+18
84avg 81
A19/09
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
84-79
84
79
+5
71avg 81
H26/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-11
26-25
20-22
17-12
21-17
38-18
24-26
15-25
19-23
25-25
32-21
23-38
27-19
20-31
27-20
16-28
20-21
20-28
23-18
27-20
13-22
25-17
21-23
21-27
27-22
18-21
17-27
22-22
20-23
29-28
17-19
28-17
31-17
22-18
17-18
20-19
28-24
20-21
15-23
21-11
175.6Avg total
88.9Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)87.075.5162.5+11.5100%
Season at home (1)84.079.0163.0+5.0100%
Season away (1)90.072.0162.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.986.7175.6+2.260%
Last 5 (5)86.483.8170.2+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.879.2161.0+2.660%
vs Similar (7)89.392.6181.9-3.343%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)87.074.1161.1+12.983%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
Herlev WolfpackHorsens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H02/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A09/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H16/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A23/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A26/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H07/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A23/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H27/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H21/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A26/09
Basketligaen
77.6Avg total
37.8Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.744.382.0-6.730%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.642.880.4-5.229%-
Last 30 away (16)37.845.783.4-7.931%-
Last 10 (10)37.839.877.6-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)35.440.876.2-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)36.046.082.1-10.014%-
vs Similar (4)41.837.279.0+4.575%-
vs Weaker (3)42.742.785.3+0.067%-
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#5
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H05/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
59-35
59
35
+24
H11/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A15/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H22/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A25/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H29/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A02/05
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H10/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A19/09
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H26/09
Basketligaen
89.7Avg total
46.6Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.440.184.5+4.359%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.438.682.0+4.757%-
Last 30 away (15)45.441.586.9+3.960%-
Last 10 (10)46.643.189.7+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)46.642.689.2+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.040.882.8+1.260%-
vs Similar (7)43.945.088.9-1.129%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.437.983.2+7.571%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Herlev Wolfpacktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Herlev Wolfpack: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.919.6
46.8%
51.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.86.6
24.6%
32.6%19.8
🏀 Free throws25.316.9
66.8%
70.2%16.9
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.523.2
55.9%
51.9%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.2
32.6%
32.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.714.1
62.1%
70.2%14.1
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Herlev Wolfpack
LLLLWLLWLW
Horsens
WWWLLWLLWW
#9
League position
#3
-10.1
Net rating
+2.9
94.2
Offensive rating
115.7
104.2
Defensive rating
112.8
42.9%
Effective FG%
53.1%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
19.3%
Turnover %
15.8%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
36.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.33
24.6%
3-point %
32.6%
69.5%
Assist %
61.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.2 · 115.7Defence104.2 · 112.8Shooting42.9% · 53.1%3-point %24.6% · 32.6%Ball care19.3% · 15.8%Off. rebounds32.8% · 36.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Herlev Wolfpack   ■ Horsens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Herlev Wolfpack wins
10
Horsens wins
DateGameScore
20/12/23Herlev Wolfpack v Horsens83-101
23/09/23Horsens v Herlev Wolfpack84-48
29/03/23Horsens v Herlev Wolfpack86-59
15/03/23Herlev Wolfpack v Horsens83-90
30/12/22Herlev Wolfpack v Horsens81-92
16/10/22Horsens v Herlev Wolfpack82-51
09/02/22Herlev Wolfpack v Horsens54-77
06/02/22Horsens v Herlev Wolfpack99-86
13/04/21Horsens v Herlev Wolfpack92-81
10/04/21Herlev Wolfpack v Horsens68-85
Herlev Wolfpacklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/24ATeam FOG Naestved82-89
21/09/24HSvendborg64-93
27/04/24HCopenhagen65-82
23/04/24AAmager94-97
07/04/24HBears Academy88-79
26/03/24AHolbaek-Stenhus74-78
23/03/24ACopenhagen73-85
16/03/24HAmager88-77
09/03/24ABears Academy62-84
02/03/24HHolbaek-Stenhus99-94 OT
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/24HAmager84-79
19/09/24ABakken Bears90-72
10/05/24HSvendborg94-87
02/05/24ATeam FOG Naestved84-92
29/04/24HTeam FOG Naestved80-89
25/04/24ATeam FOG Naestved90-87
22/04/24HTeam FOG Naestved90-98
15/04/24ATeam FOG Naestved99-107
11/04/24HRanders98-86
05/04/24HSvendborg80-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game73.064.082.0
Allowed / game91.093.089.0
Point differential-18.0-29.0-7.0
Avg total164.0157.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Horsens
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.084.090.0
Allowed / game75.579.072.0
Point differential+11.5+5.0+18.0
Avg total162.5163.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg220100%84.569.0+15.5
2 Team FOG Naestved220100%89.077.0+12.0
3 Horsens220100%87.075.5+11.5
4 Randers21150%90.070.5+19.5
5 Amager21150%89.579.5+10.0
6 Bakken Bears21150%87.583.5+4.0
7 Vaerlose21150%78.094.0-16.0
8 Bears Academy2020%77.090.0-13.0
9 Herlev Wolfpack2020%73.091.0-18.0
10 Copenhagen1010%75.0100.0-25.0
11 Holbaek-Stenhus1010%77.0103.0-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Herlev Wolfpack2318211880
Horsens3124201994
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