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Holbaek-Stenhus vs Herlev Wolfpack Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 26 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 78-74
21-14 15-28 26-8 16-24
Position#10
Record4-20
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game91.2
vs
Position#9
Record5-19
FormLWLWL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game91.4
DenmarkBasketligaen· Holbaek Sportsby
Other2023-24
Meetings · Holbaek-Stenhus v Herlev Wolfpack
07 Mar 2026
HOLB100
HERL85
05 Feb 2026
HOLB106
HERL94
16 Apr 2025
HOLB86
HERL73
14 Nov 2024
HOLB92
HERL102
26 Mar 2024
HOLB78
HERL74
02 Nov 2023
HOLB61
HERL73
14 Dec 2022
HOLB61
HERL89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Holbaek-Stenhus winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Herlev Wolfpack winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Amager
#11
W
69-47
69
47
+22
58avg 57
H07/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
74-88
74
88
-14
61avg 57
A12/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
73-92
73
92
-19
56avg 57
H24/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
79-85
79
85
-6
64avg 57
A01/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
76-104
76
104
-28
60avg 57
H09/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
80-99
80
99
-19
64avg 57
A15/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
94-99 OT
94
99
-5
no box
A02/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
91-80
91
80
+11
84avg 57
H10/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
72-82
72
82
-10
66avg 57
A14/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
71-109
71
109
-38
54avg 57
H22/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
17-10
16-12
14-11
16-24
26-25
15-14
17-25
25-27
20-24
13-14
15-27
22-27
19-21
10-20
28-17
14-28
24-25
17-22
21-29
17-27
20-28
20-31
23-13
12-19
23-25
21-16
25-21
22-17
18-16
24-26
27-21
14-24
19-11
23-21
16-26
17-28
16-23
17-39
21-19
166.4Avg total
77.9Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)72.191.2163.3-19.117%
Season at home (12)70.888.8159.7-18.017%
Season away (12)73.393.6166.9-20.217%
Last 10 (10)77.988.5166.4-10.620%
Last 5 (5)81.693.8175.4-12.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)69.993.0162.9-23.29%
vs Similar ◀ (6)79.777.8157.5+1.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolfpack
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#7
L
76-81
76
81
-5
63avg 63
A07/01
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
93-104 OT
93
104
-11
no box
A19/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
71-93
71
93
-22
57avg 63
H26/01
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
85-79
85
79
+6
88avg 63
H01/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
87-117
87
117
-30
67avg 63
A07/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
78-86
78
86
-8
74avg 63
H15/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
99-94 OT
99
94
+5
no box
H02/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
62-84
62
84
-22
46avg 63
A09/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
88-77
88
77
+11
94avg 63
H16/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
73-85
73
85
-12
69avg 63
A23/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-32
21-15
19-20
15-14
17-11
27-29
23-21
20-26
25-19
16-29
20-18
10-27
27-22
21-19
20-10
17-28
9-28
26-30
21-29
31-30
17-20
16-28
23-18
22-20
19-12
25-23
16-21
21-25
11-23
16-21
23-12
12-28
25-20
24-19
23-18
16-20
23-20
16-20
15-17
19-28
171.2Avg total
81.2Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)75.591.4166.8-15.921%
Season at home (12)74.586.6161.1-12.133%
Season away (12)76.496.2172.6-19.88%
Last 10 (10)81.290.0171.2-8.830%
Last 5 (5)80.085.2165.2-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)70.596.0166.4-25.50%
vs Similar ◀ (3)85.778.0163.7+7.7100%
vs Weaker (3)86.381.0167.3+5.367%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -6.3-6.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -6.3-6.3
Holbaek-StenhusHerlev Wolfpack
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager
#11
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H07/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A12/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H24/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A01/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H09/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A15/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A02/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H10/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A14/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H22/03
Basketligaen
82.6Avg total
38.3Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.343.778.0-9.320%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.842.978.7-7.127%-
Last 30 away (15)32.944.477.3-11.513%-
Last 10 (10)38.344.382.6-6.020%-
Last 5 (5)35.643.679.2-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)33.746.380.0-12.69%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.736.074.7+2.767%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#7
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A07/01
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A19/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H26/01
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H01/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
35-58
35
58
-23
A07/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H15/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H02/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A09/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H16/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A23/03
Basketligaen
84.2Avg total
40.2Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.345.883.0-8.527%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.443.479.8-6.929%-
Last 30 away (16)38.047.985.9-9.925%-
Last 10 (10)40.244.084.2-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)38.441.279.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)35.648.083.6-12.59%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)41.737.779.3+4.067%-
vs Weaker (3)44.338.382.7+6.0100%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.821.1
47.1%
51.8%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.46.2
23.5%
31.7%18.6
🏀 Free throws22.113.0
58.8%
67.0%13.0
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Herlev Wolfpacktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Herlev Wolfpack: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.920.1
46.9%
51.8%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.66.6
25.8%
31.7%19.8
🏀 Free throws23.415.8
67.5%
67.0%15.8
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Holbaek-Stenhus
LLWLLLLLLW
Herlev Wolfpack
LWLWLLWLLL
#10
League position
#9
-13.9
Net rating
-23.3
89.9
Offensive rating
92.7
103.8
Defensive rating
116.0
42.7%
Effective FG%
43.8%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
19.2%
Turnover %
19.4%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
23.5%
3-point %
25.8%
50.9%
Assist %
70.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence89.9 · 92.7Defence103.8 · 116.0Shooting42.7% · 43.8%3-point %23.5% · 25.8%Ball care19.2% · 19.4%Off. rebounds30.4% · 28.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Holbaek-Stenhus   ■ Herlev Wolfpack
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
5
Herlev Wolfpack wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/24HBears Academy71-109
14/03/24ACopenhagen72-82
10/03/24HAmager91-80
02/03/24AHerlev Wolfpack94-99 OT
15/02/24AVaerlose80-99
09/02/24HBears Academy76-104
01/02/24AHerlev Wolfpack79-85
24/01/24HTeam FOG Naestved73-92
12/01/24ACopenhagen74-88
07/01/24HAmager69-47
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24ACopenhagen73-85
16/03/24HAmager88-77
09/03/24ABears Academy62-84
02/03/24HHolbaek-Stenhus99-94 OT
15/02/24HRanders78-86
07/02/24ASvendborg87-117
01/02/24HHolbaek-Stenhus85-79
26/01/24HCopenhagen71-93
19/01/24ABears Academy93-104 OT
07/01/24AVaerlose76-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL17%
HomeWLLWL17%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %17%17%17%
Points / game72.170.873.3
Allowed / game91.288.893.6
Point differential-19.1-18.0-20.2
Avg total163.3159.7166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL21%
HomeLWLWW33%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %21%33%8%
Points / game75.574.576.4
Allowed / game91.486.696.2
Point differential-15.9-12.1-19.8
Avg total166.8161.1172.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears2522388%100.476.9+23.5
2 Horsens2522388%90.072.9+17.0
3 Team FOG Naestved2517868%95.684.4+11.2
4 Svendborg2517868%90.383.3+7.0
5 Randers25141156%93.487.7+5.7
6 Copenhagen24131154%82.478.9+3.5
7 Vaerlose25111444%81.687.3-5.7
8 Bears Academy2481633%77.283.1-5.9
9 Herlev Wolfpack2451921%75.591.4-15.9
10 Holbaek-Stenhus2442017%72.191.2-19.1
11 Amager242228%75.899.5-23.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Holbaek-Stenhus2115261678
Herlev Wolfpack142882474
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