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Herlev Wolfpack vs Holbaek-Stenhus Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 99-94 (OT)
19-12 25-23 16-21 21-25 18-13
Position#9
Record3-17
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game92.7
vs
Position#10
Record3-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game91.0
DenmarkBasketligaen· Herlevhallen
Other2023-24
Meetings · Herlev Wolfpack v Holbaek-Stenhus
15 Mar 2025
HERL76
HOLB100
07 Feb 2025
HERL80
HOLB73
02 Mar 2024
HERL99
HOLB94
01 Feb 2024
HERL85
HOLB79
28 Sep 2022
HERL98
HOLB71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Herlev Wolfpack winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Holbaek-Stenhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolfpack
Date
Competition
Amager
#11
L
96-98
96
98
-2
87avg 62
A16/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
83-101
83
101
-18
73avg 62
H20/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
70-118
70
118
-48
52avg 62
A28/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
77-137
77
137
-60
62avg 62
A30/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
76-81
76
81
-5
63avg 62
A07/01
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
93-104 OT
93
104
-11
no box
A19/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
71-93
71
93
-22
57avg 62
H26/01
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
85-79
85
79
+6
88avg 62
H01/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
87-117
87
117
-30
67avg 62
A07/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
78-86
78
86
-8
74avg 62
H15/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
29-24
25-30
24-23
27-28
15-20
15-32
26-21
11-35
19-23
20-26
20-34
16-39
29-30
19-31
13-37
21-32
21-15
19-20
15-14
17-11
27-29
23-21
20-26
25-19
16-29
20-18
10-27
27-22
21-19
20-10
17-28
9-28
26-30
21-29
31-30
17-20
16-28
23-18
22-20
183.0Avg total
81.6Scored
101.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)74.592.7167.1-18.215%
Season at home (10)70.786.8157.5-16.120%
Season away (10)78.298.5176.7-20.310%
Last 10 (10)81.6101.4183.0-19.810%
Last 5 (5)82.895.8178.6-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)71.296.4167.6-25.20%
vs Similar ◀ (2)79.070.0149.0+9.0100%
vs Weaker (2)85.583.0168.5+2.550%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Randers
#6
L
87-115
87
115
-28
70avg 55
H08/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
67-101
67
101
-34
55avg 55
A17/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
77-115
77
115
-38
50avg 55
A30/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
61-76
61
76
-15
53avg 55
H03/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
69-47
69
47
+22
58avg 55
H07/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
74-88
74
88
-14
61avg 55
A12/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
73-92
73
92
-19
56avg 55
H24/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
79-85
79
85
-6
64avg 55
A01/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
76-104
76
104
-28
60avg 55
H09/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
80-99
80
99
-19
64avg 55
A15/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-36
25-25
16-20
29-34
17-31
13-31
17-22
20-17
20-25
15-26
27-35
15-29
8-20
19-23
12-12
22-21
22-14
17-10
16-12
14-11
16-24
26-25
15-14
17-25
25-27
20-24
13-14
15-27
22-27
19-21
10-20
28-17
14-28
24-25
17-22
21-29
17-27
20-28
20-31
23-13
166.5Avg total
74.3Scored
92.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)70.191.0161.1-20.915%
Season at home (10)68.887.7156.5-18.910%
Season away (10)71.494.2165.6-22.820%
Last 10 (10)74.392.2166.5-17.910%
Last 5 (5)76.493.6170.0-17.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)68.692.4161.1-23.88%
vs Similar ◀ (4)73.272.0145.2+1.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: -8.1-8.1Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -6.2-6.2Q4: -1.9-1.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: -8.1-8.1Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -6.2-6.2Q4: -1.9-1.9
Herlev WolfpackHolbaek-Stenhus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A16/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H20/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
30-58
30
58
-28
A28/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
45-69
45
69
-24
A30/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A07/01
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A19/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H26/01
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H01/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
35-58
35
58
-23
A07/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H15/02
Basketligaen
90.9Avg total
40.7Scored
50.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.846.883.6-10.020%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.644.879.4-10.114%-
Last 30 away (16)38.848.687.3-9.825%-
Last 10 (10)40.750.290.9-9.530%-
Last 5 (5)40.247.087.2-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)35.948.484.3-12.58%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)40.539.079.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker (2)42.038.080.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#6
L
42-61
42
61
-19
H08/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
30-62
30
62
-32
A17/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A30/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H03/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H07/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A12/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H24/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A01/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H09/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A15/02
Basketligaen
87.3Avg total
37.6Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.044.578.5-10.517%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.342.878.1-7.521%-
Last 30 away (16)32.945.978.8-13.112%-
Last 10 (10)37.649.787.3-12.110%-
Last 5 (5)40.651.291.8-10.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)33.646.680.3-13.08%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)39.234.874.0+4.575%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Herlev Wolfpacktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Herlev Wolfpack: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.421.1
48.6%
51.8%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.76.5
27.4%
31.7%19.5
🏀 Free throws25.117.2
68.5%
67.0%17.2
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.122.7
46.2%
51.8%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.65.8
21.8%
31.7%17.4
🏀 Free throws18.410.5
57.1%
67.0%10.5
They take 75.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Herlev Wolfpack
LLWLLLLLLL
Holbaek-Stenhus
LLLLLWLLLL
#9
League position
#10
-24.0
Net rating
-21.8
95.3
Offensive rating
88.3
119.4
Defensive rating
110.1
46.0%
Effective FG%
41.5%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
21.0%
Turnover %
18.2%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.24
27.4%
3-point %
21.8%
64.1%
Assist %
49.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence95.3 · 88.3Defence119.4 · 110.1Shooting46.0% · 41.5%3-point %27.4% · 21.8%Ball care21.0% · 18.2%Off. rebounds28.9% · 32.8%Free throws0.37 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)10% · 10%
■ Herlev Wolfpack   ■ Holbaek-Stenhus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Herlev Wolfpack wins
0
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/24HRanders78-86
07/02/24ASvendborg87-117
01/02/24HHolbaek-Stenhus85-79
26/01/24HCopenhagen71-93
19/01/24ABears Academy93-104 OT
07/01/24AVaerlose76-81
30/12/23ABakken Bears77-137
28/12/23ATeam FOG Naestved70-118
20/12/23HHorsens83-101
16/12/23AAmager96-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/24AVaerlose80-99
09/02/24HBears Academy76-104
01/02/24AHerlev Wolfpack79-85
24/01/24HTeam FOG Naestved73-92
12/01/24ACopenhagen74-88
07/01/24HAmager69-47
03/01/24HHorsens61-76
30/12/23ASvendborg77-115
17/12/23ABakken Bears67-101
08/12/23HRanders87-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL15%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %15%20%10%
Points / game74.570.778.2
Allowed / game92.786.898.5
Point differential-18.2-16.1-20.3
Avg total167.1157.5176.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL15%
HomeLLWLL10%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %15%10%20%
Points / game70.168.871.4
Allowed / game91.087.794.2
Point differential-20.9-18.9-22.8
Avg total161.1156.5165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears2018290%102.076.0+26.0
2 Horsens2017385%90.271.8+18.4
3 Team FOG Naestved2016480%96.581.6+14.8
4 Svendborg2016480%92.180.8+11.2
5 Randers2011955%93.586.2+7.4
6 Copenhagen21111052%82.979.8+3.0
7 Vaerlose20101050%81.385.9-4.6
8 Bears Academy2051525%74.885.0-10.2
9 Herlev Wolfpack2031715%74.592.7-18.2
10 Holbaek-Stenhus2031715%70.191.0-20.9
11 Amager211205%74.8100.8-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Herlev Wolfpack192516211899
Holbaek-Stenhus122321251394
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