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Horsens vs Svendborg Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 May 2024
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 94-87
20-23 29-28 17-19 28-17
Position#2
Record25-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game76.9
Horsens 🏆
Denmark
vs
Position#5
Record19-14
FormLWLLL
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game85.8
DenmarkBasketligaenBasketligaen - 3rd place· Forum Horsens
Other2023-24
Meetings · Horsens v Svendborg
16 Dec 2026
HORS v SVEN
upcoming
16 Mar 2026
HORS92
SVEN74
17 Oct 2025
HORS76
SVEN72
03 Mar 2025
HORS84
SVEN74
03 Feb 2025
HORS75
SVEN72
10 May 2024
HORS94
SVEN87
05 Apr 2024
HORS80
SVEN70
11 Dec 2023
HORS75
SVEN81
03 Apr 2023
HORS101
SVEN98
10 Feb 2023
HORS98
SVEN102
02 May 2022
HORS90
SVEN87
25 Apr 2022
HORS96
SVEN100
06 Apr 2022
HORS84
SVEN88
30 Sep 2021
HORS77
SVEN93
21 Jan 2021
HORS86
SVEN81
15 Dec 2020
HORS88
SVEN69
05 Mar 2020
HORS93
SVEN86
17 Oct 2019
HORS78
SVEN59
02 Feb 2019
HORS105
SVEN70
10 Jan 2019
HORS102
SVEN80
06 Dec 2018
HORS105
SVEN78
01 Feb 2018
HORS90
SVEN81
15 Nov 2017
HORS71
SVEN67
12 Oct 2017
HORS91
SVEN78
21 Feb 2017
HORS77
SVEN91
11 Oct 2016
HORS100
SVEN86
03 Mar 2016
HORS84
SVEN79
01 Dec 2015
HORS84
SVEN50
24 Apr 2015
HORS87
SVEN71
17 Apr 2015
HORS89
SVEN102
08 Apr 2015
HORS89
SVEN71
08 Mar 2015
HORS79
SVEN100
15 Jan 2015
HORS80
SVEN78
09 Jan 2014
HORS89
SVEN77
17 Feb 2013
HORS95
SVEN84
18 Nov 2012
HORS76
SVEN85
02 Oct 2011
HORS78
SVEN105
31 Mar 2011
HORS66
SVEN88
24 Mar 2011
HORS97
SVEN84
27 Feb 2011
HORS87
SVEN89
07 Nov 2010
HORS96
SVEN107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Horsens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Svendborg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHorsens
Date
Competition
Randers
#6
W
98-84
98
84
+14
97avg 81
A25/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
70-78
70
78
-8
51avg 81
H28/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
66-83
66
83
-17
47avg 81
A30/03
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
W
80-70
80
70
+10
69avg 81
H05/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
98-86
98
86
+12
97avg 81
H11/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
99-107
99
107
-8
91avg 81
A15/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
90-98
90
98
-8
75avg 81
H22/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
90-87
90
87
+3
87avg 81
A25/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
80-89
80
89
-9
74avg 81
H29/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
84-92
84
92
-8
73avg 81
A02/05
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
24-29
27-22
23-9
21-23
11-15
16-17
22-23
17-20
19-32
12-18
18-13
17-11
26-25
20-22
17-12
21-17
38-18
24-26
15-25
19-23
25-25
32-21
23-38
27-19
20-31
27-20
16-28
20-21
20-28
23-18
27-20
13-22
25-17
21-23
21-27
27-22
18-21
17-27
22-22
172.9Avg total
85.5Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)88.476.9165.3+11.674%
Season at home (17)87.574.3161.8+13.276%
Season away (17)89.479.4168.8+9.971%
Last 10 (10)85.587.4172.9-1.940%
Last 5 (5)88.694.6183.2-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.881.0160.8-1.250%
vs Similar (8)90.090.9180.9-0.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)86.871.9158.8+14.982%
This opponent (Svendborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSvendborg
Date
Competition
Randers
#6
L
83-91
83
91
-8
71avg 76
H21/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
70-100
70
100
-30
52avg 76
A25/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
92-102
92
102
-10
81avg 76
H31/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
70-80
70
80
-10
61avg 76
A05/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
88-83
88
83
+5
83avg 76
H08/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
62-86
62
86
-24
54avg 76
H12/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
93-84
93
84
+9
95avg 76
A15/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
78-97
78
97
-19
65avg 76
A22/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
80-93
80
93
-13
70avg 76
H25/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
87-124
87
124
-37
73avg 76
A29/04
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
17-29
22-21
21-16
22-18
9-25
20-30
19-27
22-23
26-30
19-25
25-24
11-17
25-26
22-20
12-17
25-16
11-23
20-21
32-23
17-15
14-19
14-24
17-28
21-19
25-25
22-24
25-16
23-30
13-19
15-24
27-24
27-25
21-23
16-21
16-24
25-28
17-35
17-33
28-28
174.3Avg total
80.3Scored
94.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)88.185.8173.9+2.358%
Season at home (16)91.385.1176.4+6.256%
Season away (17)85.186.5171.6-1.559%
Last 10 (10)80.394.0174.3-13.720%
Last 5 (5)80.096.8176.8-16.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)75.395.2170.6-19.911%
vs Similar (4)85.580.8166.2+4.875%
vs Weaker (8)106.582.2188.8+24.2100%
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -7.6-7.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -7.6-7.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
HorsensSvendborg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#6
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A25/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H28/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A30/03
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H05/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
59-35
59
35
+24
H11/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A15/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H22/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A25/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H29/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A02/05
Basketligaen
87.5Avg total
43.2Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.039.083.0+5.062%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.537.179.6+5.458%-
Last 30 away (17)45.140.485.4+4.765%-
Last 10 (10)43.244.387.5-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)42.845.888.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.242.281.5-3.050%-
vs Similar (8)44.043.487.4+0.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.936.281.1+8.875%-
This opponent (Svendborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#6
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H21/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A25/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H31/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A05/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H08/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H12/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A15/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A22/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H25/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
42-63
42
63
-21
A29/04
Basketligaen
86.4Avg total
39.4Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.344.286.6-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.641.685.3+2.043%-
Last 30 away (16)41.246.587.7-5.338%-
Last 10 (10)39.447.086.4-7.610%-
Last 5 (5)40.647.688.2-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.247.785.9-9.611%-
vs Similar (4)44.043.087.0+1.075%-
vs Weaker (8)50.937.087.9+13.988%-
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.123.1
52.4%
51.8%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.2
31.7%
31.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws22.613.7
60.6%
67.0%13.7
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.222.5
49.8%
51.8%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.66.6
28.0%
31.7%19.8
🏀 Free throws23.414.9
63.7%
67.0%14.9
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Horsens
LLWLLWWLLW
Svendborg
LLLWLWLLLL
#2
League position
#5
-3.0
Net rating
-16.0
111.2
Offensive rating
96.0
114.2
Defensive rating
112.0
50.6%
Effective FG%
47.1%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
15.8%
Turnover %
20.0%
36.8%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.7%
3-point %
28.0%
61.0%
Assist %
53.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 96.0Defence114.2 · 112.0Shooting50.6% · 47.1%3-point %31.7% · 28.0%Ball care15.8% · 20.0%Off. rebounds36.8% · 29.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Horsens   ■ Svendborg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Horsens wins
4
Svendborg wins
DateGameScore
05/04/24Horsens v Svendborg80-70
11/03/24Svendborg v Horsens76-83
11/12/23Horsens v Svendborg75-81
14/09/23Svendborg v Horsens80-77
03/04/23Horsens v Svendborg101-98
06/03/23Svendborg v Horsens91-93
10/02/23Horsens v Svendborg98-102
30/11/22Svendborg v Horsens84-88
05/05/22Svendborg v Horsens85-78
02/05/22Horsens v Svendborg90-87
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/24ATeam FOG Naestved84-92
29/04/24HTeam FOG Naestved80-89
25/04/24ATeam FOG Naestved90-87
22/04/24HTeam FOG Naestved90-98
15/04/24ATeam FOG Naestved99-107
11/04/24HRanders98-86
05/04/24HSvendborg80-70
30/03/24ABakken Bears66-83
28/03/24HVaerlose70-78
25/03/24ARanders98-84
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/24ABakken Bears87-124
25/04/24HBakken Bears80-93
22/04/24ABakken Bears78-97
15/04/24ARanders93-84
12/04/24HBakken Bears62-86
08/04/24HVaerlose88-83
05/04/24AHorsens70-80
31/03/24HTeam FOG Naestved92-102
25/03/24ABakken Bears70-100
21/03/24HRanders83-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsens
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL74%
HomeLWWLL76%
AwayWLLWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %74%76%71%
Points / game88.487.589.4
Allowed / game76.974.379.4
Point differential+11.6+13.2+9.9
Avg total165.3161.8168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%53%59%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Svendborg
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL58%
HomeLLWLL56%
AwayLLWLL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %58%56%59%
Points / game88.191.385.1
Allowed / game85.885.186.5
Point differential+2.3+6.2-1.5
Avg total173.9176.4171.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%38%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears3430488%99.578.4+21.1
2 Horsens3425974%88.476.9+11.6
3 Team FOG Naestved35241169%96.285.8+10.4
4 Copenhagen29181162%83.078.6+4.5
5 Svendborg33191458%88.185.8+2.3
6 Randers30161453%92.788.5+4.1
7 Vaerlose30121840%81.588.4-6.9
8 Bears Academy2992031%77.182.2-5.1
9 Herlev Wolfpack2862221%76.190.3-14.2
10 Holbaek-Stenhus2852318%72.890.5-17.7
11 Amager2852318%77.297.2-19.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Horsens2029172894
Svendborg2328191787
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