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Herlev Wolfpack vs Amager Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 88-77
25-20 24-19 23-18 16-20
Position#9
Record4-18
FormWLLWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game92.3
vs
Position#11
Record2-21
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game100.0
DenmarkBasketligaen· Herlevhallen
Other2023-24
Meetings · Herlev Wolfpack v Amager
12 Mar 2025
HERL75
AMAG83
07 Dec 2024
HERL75
AMAG79
16 Mar 2024
HERL88
AMAG77
21 Sep 2023
HERL75
AMAG68
20 Oct 2022
HERL71
AMAG61
12 Mar 2022
HERL80
AMAG85
04 Dec 2021
HERL85
AMAG79
10 Feb 2021
HERL112
AMAG79
08 Oct 2020
HERL82
AMAG77
23 Nov 2019
HERL84
AMAG65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Herlev Wolfpack winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Amager winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolfpack
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
70-118
70
118
-48
52avg 62
A28/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
77-137
77
137
-60
62avg 62
A30/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
76-81
76
81
-5
63avg 62
A07/01
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
93-104 OT
93
104
-11
no box
A19/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
71-93
71
93
-22
57avg 62
H26/01
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
85-79
85
79
+6
88avg 62
H01/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
87-117
87
117
-30
67avg 62
A07/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
78-86
78
86
-8
74avg 62
H15/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
99-94 OT
99
94
+5
no box
H02/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
62-84
62
84
-22
46avg 62
A09/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-35
19-23
20-26
20-34
16-39
29-30
19-31
13-37
21-32
21-15
19-20
15-14
17-11
27-29
23-21
20-26
25-19
16-29
20-18
10-27
27-22
21-19
20-10
17-28
9-28
26-30
21-29
31-30
17-20
16-28
23-18
22-20
19-12
25-23
16-21
21-25
11-23
16-21
23-12
12-28
179.1Avg total
79.8Scored
99.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)75.092.3167.3-17.318%
Season at home (11)73.387.5160.7-14.227%
Season away (11)76.797.2173.9-20.59%
Last 10 (10)79.899.3179.1-19.520%
Last 5 (5)82.292.0174.2-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)70.496.0166.4-25.60%
vs Similar (3)85.778.0163.7+7.7100%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)85.583.0168.5+2.550%
This opponent (Amager) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AmagerDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAmager
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#7
L
89-91
89
91
-2
75avg 64
A28/12
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
L
47-69
47
69
-22
29avg 64
A07/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
69-107
69
107
-38
60avg 64
H12/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
81-105
81
105
-24
73avg 64
H15/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
84-115
84
115
-31
79avg 64
H03/02
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
82-96
82
96
-14
71avg 64
A10/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
94-123
94
123
-29
82avg 64
H15/02
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
93-101
93
101
-8
82avg 64
H02/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
L
80-91
80
91
-11
73avg 64
A10/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
92-91
92
91
+1
84avg 64
H13/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
25-22
17-23
24-22
14-22
10-17
12-16
11-14
17-26
17-30
22-25
13-26
21-28
19-22
26-27
15-28
14-28
18-27
19-34
33-26
18-26
23-19
20-33
21-18
20-41
22-26
20-25
32-31
29-29
25-15
20-25
19-32
17-22
16-18
26-24
21-27
19-24
19-25
29-26
25-16
180.0Avg total
81.1Scored
98.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)75.8100.0175.7-24.29%
Season at home (12)80.7101.3182.0-20.717%
Season away (11)70.598.5168.9-28.00%
Last 10 (10)81.198.9180.0-17.810%
Last 5 (5)88.2100.4188.6-12.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)78.0100.0178.0-22.017%
vs Similar (3)70.081.3151.3-11.30%
vs Weaker (2)85.578.5164.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: -7.8-7.8Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: -8.8-8.8Q4: -2.6-2.6
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: -7.8-7.8Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: -8.8-8.8Q4: -2.6-2.6
Herlev WolfpackAmager
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
30-58
30
58
-28
A28/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
45-69
45
69
-24
A30/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A07/01
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A19/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H26/01
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H01/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
35-58
35
58
-23
A07/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H15/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H02/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A09/03
Basketligaen
87.7Avg total
38.9Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.646.382.9-9.723%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.344.179.4-8.920%-
Last 30 away (15)37.948.486.3-10.527%-
Last 10 (10)38.948.887.7-9.930%-
Last 5 (5)37.445.282.6-7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)35.348.383.6-13.08%-
vs Similar (3)41.737.779.3+4.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)42.038.080.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Amager) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AmagerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#7
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A28/12
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A07/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
34-56
34
56
-22
H12/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H15/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
32-55
32
55
-23
H03/02
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A10/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
42-67
42
67
-25
H15/02
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H02/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A10/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H13/03
Basketligaen
87.7Avg total
38.6Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.248.085.2-10.820%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.049.188.1-10.120%-
Last 30 away (15)35.546.982.4-11.520%-
Last 10 (10)38.649.187.7-10.520%-
Last 5 (5)41.649.090.6-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)37.949.287.1-11.421%-
vs Similar (3)30.339.770.0-9.30%-
vs Weaker (2)47.044.591.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Herlev Wolfpacktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Herlev Wolfpack: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.020.5
47.7%
51.8%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.46.2
26.5%
31.7%18.6
🏀 Free throws25.918.0
69.5%
67.0%18.0
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Amagertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Amager: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.023.6
51.3%
51.8%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.45.4
25.2%
31.7%16.2
🏀 Free throws23.616.9
71.6%
67.0%16.9
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Herlev Wolfpack
LWLLWLLLLL
Amager
WLLLLLLLLL
#9
League position
#11
-25.4
Net rating
-20.5
93.8
Offensive rating
94.6
119.2
Defensive rating
115.1
44.9%
Effective FG%
47.0%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
21.0%
Turnover %
21.1%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.35
26.5%
3-point %
25.2%
60.7%
Assist %
53.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence93.8 · 94.6Defence119.2 · 115.1Shooting44.9% · 47.0%3-point %26.5% · 25.2%Ball care21.0% · 21.1%Off. rebounds28.6% · 28.1%Free throws0.39 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 10%
■ Herlev Wolfpack   ■ Amager
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Herlev Wolfpack wins
3
Amager wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24ABears Academy62-84
02/03/24HHolbaek-Stenhus99-94 OT
15/02/24HRanders78-86
07/02/24ASvendborg87-117
01/02/24HHolbaek-Stenhus85-79
26/01/24HCopenhagen71-93
19/01/24ABears Academy93-104 OT
07/01/24AVaerlose76-81
30/12/23ABakken Bears77-137
28/12/23ATeam FOG Naestved70-118
Amagerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/24HBears Academy92-91
10/03/24AHolbaek-Stenhus80-91
02/03/24HCopenhagen93-101
15/02/24HSvendborg94-123
10/02/24ACopenhagen82-96
03/02/24HHorsens84-115
15/01/24HRanders81-105
12/01/24HBakken Bears69-107
07/01/24AHolbaek-Stenhus47-69
28/12/23AVaerlose89-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL18%
HomeLLWLW27%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %18%27%9%
Points / game75.073.376.7
Allowed / game92.387.597.2
Point differential-17.3-14.2-20.5
Avg total167.3160.7173.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %9%9%9%
Amager
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW9%
HomeLLLLW17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %9%17%0%
Points / game75.880.770.5
Allowed / game100.0101.398.5
Point differential-24.2-20.7-28.0
Avg total175.7182.0168.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears2219386%100.576.9+23.6
2 Horsens2219386%89.872.2+17.6
3 Svendborg2217577%91.681.6+10.0
4 Team FOG Naestved2216673%96.383.6+12.7
5 Randers2213959%94.487.0+7.3
6 Copenhagen22121055%82.879.5+3.4
7 Vaerlose22101245%82.086.7-4.6
8 Bears Academy2261627%75.984.2-8.3
9 Herlev Wolfpack2241818%75.092.3-17.3
10 Holbaek-Stenhus2341917%72.190.4-18.3
11 Amager232219%75.8100.0-24.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Herlev Wolfpack2524231688
Amager2019182077
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