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Herlev Wolfpack vs Team FOG Naestved Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 85-89
14-22 19-23 23-24 29-20
Position#9
Record4-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game85.1
Herlev Wolfpack
Denmark
vs
Team FOG Naestved 🏆
Denmark
Position#4
Record11-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game98.4
Allowed / game87.6
DenmarkBasketligaen· Herlevhallen
Other2024-25
Meetings · Herlev Wolfpack v Team FOG Naestved
12 Dec 2024
HERL85
TEAM89
30 Nov 2024
HERL73
TEAM102
30 Sep 2023
HERL51
TEAM108
02 Apr 2023
HERL59
TEAM103
10 Dec 2022
HERL71
TEAM73
29 Sep 2021
HERL74
TEAM89
11 Oct 2020
HERL74
TEAM91
25 Jan 2020
HERL68
TEAM87
20 Oct 2018
HERL83
TEAM100
10 Mar 2018
HERL95
TEAM79
30 Mar 2015
HERL81
TEAM78
23 Mar 2015
HERL76
TEAM90
09 Feb 2015
HERL95
TEAM84
12 Dec 2014
HERL71
TEAM81
03 Oct 2013
HERL85
TEAM66
01 Oct 2011
HERL78
TEAM80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Herlev Wolfpack winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Team FOG Naestved winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolfpack
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#10
W
86-71
86
71
+15
81avg 69
A03/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
87-72
87
72
+15
86avg 69
H12/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
91-77
91
77
+14
93avg 69
H19/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
77-82
77
82
-5
66avg 69
A25/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
65-98
65
98
-33
56avg 69
H09/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
102-92
102
92
+10
76avg 69
A14/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
103-93
103
93
+10
no box
A17/11
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#5
L
73-102
73
102
-29
no box
H30/11
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#2
L
58-89
58
89
-31
49avg 69
A03/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
75-79
75
79
-4
69avg 69
H07/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
20-21
28-15
22-20
17-16
32-8
18-35
20-13
22-16
28-27
24-11
17-23
16-23
21-20
18-18
22-21
20-24
18-18
10-26
17-30
35-19
29-26
14-28
24-19
29-25
25-26
26-27
23-15
17-18
23-26
25-28
8-30
21-25
9-23
12-23
16-18
19-19
21-16
23-29
12-15
167.2Avg total
81.7Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.885.1163.9-6.336%
Season at home (6)77.085.5162.5-8.533%
Season away (5)81.084.6165.6-3.640%
Last 10 (10)81.785.5167.2-3.850%
Last 5 (5)82.291.0173.2-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)75.394.2169.5-18.810%
vs Similar (7)87.781.9169.6+5.971%
vs Weaker (2)91.087.0178.0+4.050%
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Team FOG NaestvedDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNaestved
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#8
W
88-84
88
84
+4
no box
A28/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
114-109 OT
114
109
+5
96avg 89
H03/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
108-102
108
102
+6
98avg 89
A10/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
W
108-105 OT
108
105
+3
95avg 89
H17/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
92-69
92
69
+23
no box
A27/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
107-85
107
85
+22
105avg 89
H29/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
100-96
100
96
+4
91avg 89
A13/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
92-82
92
82
+10
80avg 89
H28/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
102-73
102
73
+29
no box
A30/11
Denmark Cup
Bears Academy
#11
W
95-78
95
78
+17
99avg 89
H04/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
21-25
29-11
17-24
23-21
18-25
33-32
27-23
26-28
40-15
22-27
20-32
18-16
22-19
29-26
27-35
19-8
25-22
21-25
27-14
27-29
32-19
25-19
23-18
30-28
18-32
30-21
22-15
22-20
20-20
18-20
32-22
18-17
26-23
28-25
30-8
18-27
33-11
27-16
17-24
188.9Avg total
100.6Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)98.487.6186.0+10.7100%
Season at home (6)100.890.2191.0+10.7100%
Season away (5)95.484.6180.0+10.8100%
Last 10 (10)100.688.3188.9+12.3100%
Last 5 (5)99.282.8182.0+16.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)94.497.3191.8-2.933%
vs Similar (7)93.187.9181.0+5.371%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)97.884.8182.6+13.086%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +2.7+2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +2.7+2.7
Herlev WolfpackTeam FOG Naestved
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#10
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A03/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H12/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H19/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A25/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H09/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
64-45
64
45
+19
A14/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A17/11
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H30/11
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#2
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A03/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H07/12
Basketligaen
84.9Avg total
43.8Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.644.084.6-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.541.583.0+0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)39.646.686.2-7.027%-
Last 10 (10)43.841.184.9+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)45.644.690.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)38.045.483.4-7.420%-
vs Similar (7)45.939.985.7+6.071%-
vs Weaker (2)40.541.582.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Team FOG NaestvedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#8
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A28/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H03/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
66-43
66
43
+23
A10/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H17/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A27/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H29/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A13/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H28/11
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A30/11
Denmark Cup
Bears Academy
#11
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H04/12
Basketligaen
90.6Avg total
47.7Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.643.790.2+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.143.690.7+3.560%-
Last 30 away (15)46.043.789.7+2.367%-
Last 10 (10)47.742.990.6+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)48.845.294.0+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)44.446.490.9-2.033%-
vs Similar (7)44.143.687.7+0.671%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)49.141.991.1+7.279%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Herlev Wolfpacktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Herlev Wolfpack: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.821.8
50.9%
51.9%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.36.8
33.5%
32.6%20.4
🏀 Free throws21.715.5
71.4%
70.2%15.5
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Team FOG Naestvedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Team FOG Naestved: 98.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.022.3
54.4%
51.9%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.412.5
41.1%
32.6%37.5
🏀 Free throws21.916.7
76.3%
70.2%16.7
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Herlev Wolfpack
LLLWWLLWWW
Team FOG Naestved
WWWWWWWWWW
#9
League position
#4
-5.4
Net rating
+12.9
98.3
Offensive rating
114.0
103.8
Defensive rating
101.1
50.7%
Effective FG%
57.5%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
22.3%
Turnover %
17.7%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.5%
3-point %
41.1%
50.0%
Assist %
53.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence98.3 · 114.0Defence103.8 · 101.1Shooting50.7% · 57.5%3-point %33.5% · 41.1%Ball care22.3% · 17.7%Off. rebounds27.0% · 26.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 100%
■ Herlev Wolfpack   ■ Team FOG Naestved
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Herlev Wolfpack wins
10
Team FOG Naestved wins
DateGameScore
30/11/24Herlev Wolfpack v Team FOG Naestved73-102
26/09/24Team FOG Naestved v Herlev Wolfpack89-82
28/12/23Team FOG Naestved v Herlev Wolfpack118-70
30/09/23Herlev Wolfpack v Team FOG Naestved51-108
02/04/23Herlev Wolfpack v Team FOG Naestved59-103
08/03/23Team FOG Naestved v Herlev Wolfpack101-79
15/01/23Team FOG Naestved v Herlev Wolfpack76-55
10/12/22Herlev Wolfpack v Team FOG Naestved71-73
02/10/22Team FOG Naestved v Herlev Wolfpack114-82
18/01/22Team FOG Naestved v Herlev Wolfpack88-74
Herlev Wolfpacklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24HAmager75-79
03/12/24ASvendborg58-89
30/11/24HTeam FOG Naestved73-102
17/11/24AAmager103-93
14/11/24AHolbaek-Stenhus102-92
09/11/24HBakken Bears65-98
25/10/24ACopenhagen77-82
19/10/24HBears Academy91-77
12/10/24HRanders87-72
03/10/24AVaerlose86-71
Team FOG Naestvedlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/24HBears Academy95-78
30/11/24AHerlev Wolfpack102-73
28/11/24HHorsens92-82
13/11/24ABakken Bears100-96
29/10/24HHolbaek-Stenhus107-85
27/10/24AVaerlose92-69
17/10/24HSvendborg108-105 OT
10/10/24AAmager108-102
03/10/24HRanders114-109 OT
28/09/24ACopenhagen88-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL36%
HomeLWWLL33%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%33%40%
Points / game78.877.081.0
Allowed / game85.185.584.6
Point differential-6.3-8.5-3.6
Avg total163.9162.5165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%33%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Team FOG Naestved
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game98.4100.895.4
Allowed / game87.690.284.6
Point differential+10.7+10.7+10.8
Avg total186.0191.0180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %18%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved11110100%98.487.6+10.7
2 Svendborg1211192%87.971.6+16.3
3 Horsens118373%87.979.6+8.3
4 Bakken Bears107370%91.481.9+9.5
5 Randers127558%89.781.8+7.8
6 Herlev Wolfpack114736%78.885.1-6.3
7 Holbaek-Stenhus103730%81.693.2-11.6
8 Copenhagen113827%82.584.7-2.2
9 Amager123925%85.893.4-7.6
10 Bears Academy112918%75.287.8-12.6
11 Vaerlose112918%74.888.9-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Herlev Wolfpack1419232985
Team FOG Naestved2223242089
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