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Hermes vs Bosco Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 95-91
33-28 19-11 17-22 26-30
Position#14
Record1-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game79.5
Hermes 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#13
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game93.0
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 3· Kosarkaski centar Drazen Petrovic
Other2024-25
Meetings · Hermes v Bosco
27 Oct 2024
HERM95
BOSC91
01 May 2022
HERM81
BOSC93
02 Oct 2021
HERM91
BOSC76
24 Mar 2019
HERM76
BOSC82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hermes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bosco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermes
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
W
110-76
110
76
+34
112avg 85
A24/02
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
69-102
69
102
-33
65avg 85
H03/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
84-98
84
98
-14
78avg 85
A06/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
79-77
79
77
+2
48avg 85
A09/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
103-109 OT
103
109
-6
99avg 85
H19/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
69-82
69
82
-13
66avg 85
A24/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
98-85
98
85
+13
100avg 85
A26/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
90-69
90
69
+21
80avg 85
A06/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
84-76
84
76
+8
85avg 85
H12/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
79-83
79
83
-4
72avg 85
A22/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-10
26-24
30-17
29-25
23-36
14-22
20-19
12-25
19-21
26-25
17-26
22-26
20-22
23-17
24-11
12-27
19-15
30-26
31-22
13-30
20-20
18-22
13-19
18-21
19-28
30-22
29-14
20-21
23-17
25-18
21-9
21-25
27-21
24-19
18-17
15-19
26-27
10-25
22-14
21-17
172.2Avg total
86.5Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.579.5161.0+2.050%
Season at home (1)84.076.0160.0+8.0100%
Season away (1)79.083.0162.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)86.585.7172.2+0.850%
Last 5 (5)84.079.0163.0+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)83.392.0175.3-8.733%
vs Similar ◀ (5)90.284.0174.2+6.260%
vs Weaker (13)96.685.5182.2+11.162%
This opponent (Bosco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BoscoCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBosco
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#9
L
82-99
82
99
-17
78avg 62
H23/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
53-110
53
110
-57
32avg 62
A28/03
Premijer liga
Alkar
#11
L
78-121
78
121
-43
71avg 62
H03/04
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
73-99
73
99
-26
62avg 62
A07/04
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
66-113
66
113
-47
52avg 62
H12/04
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
62-113
62
113
-51
52avg 62
A15/04
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
82-99
82
99
-17
76avg 62
H21/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
50-92
50
92
-42
40avg 62
A27/04
Premijer liga
Marsonia
#6
L
83-106
83
106
-23
79avg 62
A12/10
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
67-80
67
80
-13
56avg 62
H19/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
22-29
21-16
20-31
14-34
11-23
11-22
17-31
14-33
18-30
22-33
24-25
15-20
14-30
16-26
28-23
26-29
19-28
10-27
11-29
15-33
14-22
17-38
16-20
27-21
16-26
16-25
23-27
17-24
10-19
9-22
14-27
16-32
26-22
17-20
24-32
15-22
20-18
16-22
16-18
172.8Avg total
69.6Scored
103.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)75.093.0168.0-18.00%
Season at home (1)67.080.0147.0-13.00%
Season away (1)83.0106.0189.0-23.00%
Last 10 (10)69.6103.2172.8-33.60%
Last 5 (5)68.898.0166.8-29.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)71.698.7170.3-27.04%
vs Similar ◀ (1)67.080.0147.0-13.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hermes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -9.3-9.3Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -7.7-7.7Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: -9.6-9.6Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: -7.0-7.0
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -9.3-9.3Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -7.7-7.7Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: -9.6-9.6Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: -7.0-7.0
HermesBosco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A24/02
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
37-58
37
58
-21
H03/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A06/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A09/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H19/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A24/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A26/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A06/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H12/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A22/10
Prva Liga
88.4Avg total
44.7Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.843.191.0+4.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.543.193.7+7.473%-
Last 30 away (15)45.143.188.3+2.053%-
Last 10 (10)44.743.788.4+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.888.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)43.547.591.0-4.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)46.442.488.8+4.080%-
vs Weaker (13)52.439.491.8+13.092%-
This opponent (Bosco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BoscoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#9
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H23/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
25-57
25
57
-32
A28/03
Premijer liga
Alkar
#11
L
32-63
32
63
-31
H03/04
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A07/04
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H12/04
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
29-55
29
55
-26
A15/04
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H21/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A27/04
Premijer liga
Marsonia
#6
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A12/10
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H19/10
Prva Liga
86.6Avg total
34.8Scored
51.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.350.484.7-16.10%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.649.383.9-14.70%-
Last 30 away (15)34.151.585.6-17.50%-
Last 10 (10)34.851.886.6-17.00%-
Last 5 (5)35.247.883.0-12.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)34.751.085.7-16.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)35.040.075.0-5.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hermes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hermes: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.6 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.519.3
54.4%
52.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.012.2
39.4%
33.7%36.6
🏀 Free throws12.28.6
70.5%
70.4%8.6
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boscotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bosco: 68.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.518.6
47.1%
52.0%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.1
28.5%
33.7%21.3
🏀 Free throws14.710.4
70.7%
70.4%10.4
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hermes
LWWWLLWLLW
Bosco
LLLLLLLLLL
#14
League position
#13
+0.9
Net rating
-41.5
108.3
Offensive rating
84.9
107.4
Defensive rating
126.4
56.5%
Effective FG%
45.4%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
59.0%
16.9%
Turnover %
23.6%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.23
39.4%
3-point %
28.5%
72.4%
Assist %
65.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 84.9Defence107.4 · 126.4Shooting56.5% · 45.4%3-point %39.4% · 28.5%Ball care16.9% · 23.6%Off. rebounds25.4% · 23.2%Free throws0.18 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 0%
■ Hermes   ■ Bosco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hermes wins
4
Bosco wins
DateGameScore
01/05/22Hermes v Bosco81-93
02/04/22Bosco v Hermes80-59
18/12/21Bosco v Hermes87-68
02/10/21Hermes v Bosco91-76
24/03/19Hermes v Bosco76-82
17/11/18Bosco v Hermes92-103
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/24ASamobor79-83
12/10/24HOmis84-76
06/04/24ACrikvenica90-69
26/03/24AJazine98-85
24/03/24AKK Zagreb69-82
19/03/24HMarsonia103-109 OT
09/03/24APodstrana79-77
06/03/24AMladost84-98
03/03/24HKvarner69-102
24/02/24AOmis110-76
Boscolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/24HDakovo67-80
12/10/24AMarsonia83-106
27/04/24AZadar50-92
21/04/24HGKK Sibenka82-99
15/04/24ASplit62-113
12/04/24HZabok66-113
07/04/24ACibona73-99
03/04/24HAlkar78-121
28/03/24ACedevita Junior53-110
23/03/24HDubrava82-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hermes
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game81.584.079.0
Allowed / game79.576.083.0
Point differential+2.0+8.0-4.0
Avg total161.0160.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bosco
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game75.067.083.0
Allowed / game93.080.0106.0
Point differential-18.0-13.0-23.0
Avg total168.0147.0189.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor330100%90.778.7+12.0
2 Skrljevo220100%93.084.5+8.5
3 Mladost220100%82.076.5+5.5
4 Jazine32167%99.787.0+12.7
5 Gorica32167%83.392.7-9.3
6 Omis21150%69.062.0+7.0
7 Marsonia21150%94.088.5+5.5
8 Hermes21150%81.579.5+2.0
9 Sonik Puntamika31233%64.760.3+4.3
10 Kastela31233%69.772.7-3.0
11 Dakovo31233%77.783.0-5.3
12 KK Zagreb31233%60.767.3-6.7
13 Crikvenica3030%66.778.3-11.7
14 Bosco2020%75.093.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hermes3319172695
Bosco2811223091
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