PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Hermes vs Kvarner Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 69-102
23-36 14-22 20-19 12-25
Position#8
Record9-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game89.6
Hermes
Croatia
vs
Kvarner 🏆
Croatia
Position#1
Record18-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game73.0
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 21· Kosarkaski centar Drazen Petrovic
Other2023-24
Meetings · Hermes v Kvarner
03 Mar 2024
HERM69
KVAR102
07 Jan 2023
HERM56
KVAR80
31 Oct 2021
HERM83
KVAR76
01 Apr 2017
HERM81
KVAR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hermes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kvarner winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermes
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#9
L
91-95
91
95
-4
82avg 88
A10/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
101-81
101
81
+20
101avg 88
H18/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
92-95
92
95
-3
87avg 88
H21/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
106-84
106
84
+22
109avg 88
H13/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
107-116 OT
107
116
-9
no box
H21/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
85-91
85
91
-6
82avg 88
H24/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
71-98
71
98
-27
60avg 88
H04/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
L
87-94
87
94
-7
85avg 88
A10/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
89-84
89
84
+5
82avg 88
H17/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
110-76
110
76
+34
112avg 88
A24/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
30-17
17-32
24-23
27-23
19-25
24-18
31-15
29-10
16-33
26-25
21-27
32-16
26-17
28-23
20-28
23-20
18-28
31-23
27-28
23-20
23-23
24-32
15-16
24-24
19-27
15-26
13-21
23-22
24-20
22-27
18-25
29-25
23-15
17-18
20-26
25-10
26-24
30-17
29-25
185.3Avg total
93.9Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)91.589.6181.2+1.947%
Season at home (11)94.289.2183.4+5.055%
Season away (8)87.990.2178.1-2.438%
Last 10 (10)93.991.4185.3+2.540%
Last 5 (5)88.488.6177.0-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)87.495.1182.5-7.838%
vs Similar (8)94.990.6185.5+4.262%
vs Weaker (14)100.583.6184.1+16.971%
This opponent (Kvarner) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KvarnerCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKvarner
Date
Competition
Gorica
#4
W
94-71
94
71
+23
94avg 85
H23/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
88-72
88
72
+16
84avg 85
A13/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
86-82
86
82
+4
83avg 85
A21/01
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
89-56
89
56
+33
86avg 85
A24/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
96-56
96
56
+40
92avg 85
H28/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
85-69
85
69
+16
85avg 85
A04/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
92-70
92
70
+22
82avg 85
H10/02
Prva Liga
Cibona
#2
L
67-82
67
82
-15
62avg 85
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Crikvenica
#12
W
92-76
92
76
+16
86avg 85
A18/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
72-78
72
78
-6
54avg 85
H24/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-10
22-24
25-16
18-21
14-20
28-13
27-21
19-18
22-21
14-22
25-20
25-19
18-16
14-9
27-15
30-16
24-14
21-19
26-15
25-8
19-25
20-14
24-12
22-18
22-15
14-18
34-21
22-16
20-19
11-16
11-27
25-20
21-18
32-18
12-16
27-24
30-11
15-23
14-24
13-20
157.3Avg total
86.1Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)90.273.0163.2+17.290%
Season at home (10)90.670.0160.6+20.690%
Season away (10)89.876.0165.8+13.890%
Last 10 (10)86.171.2157.3+14.980%
Last 5 (5)81.675.0156.6+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.078.2149.2-7.220%
vs Similar (1)87.082.0169.0+5.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)89.072.1161.0+16.987%
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +4.6+4.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +4.6+4.6
HermesKvarner
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#9
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A10/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H18/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H21/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
58-33
58
33
+25
H13/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H21/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H24/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H04/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A10/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H17/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A24/02
Prva Liga
90.1Avg total
47.9Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.442.892.2+6.567%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.843.295.9+9.669%-
Last 30 away (14)45.542.487.9+3.164%-
Last 10 (10)47.942.290.1+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)47.842.089.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)45.047.292.2-2.225%-
vs Similar (8)46.944.191.0+2.875%-
vs Weaker (14)53.339.692.9+13.786%-
This opponent (Kvarner) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KvarnerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gorica
#4
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H23/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A13/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A21/01
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A24/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H28/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A04/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H10/02
Prva Liga
Cibona
#2
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Crikvenica
#12
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A18/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H24/02
Prva Liga
75.5Avg total
41.0Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.137.280.3+5.967%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.735.779.4+8.076%-
Last 30 away (13)42.339.281.5+3.154%-
Last 10 (10)41.034.575.5+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.835.476.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.038.072.0-4.020%-
vs Similar (1)45.035.080.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)44.836.781.5+8.278%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hermes: 92.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.6
56.2%
52.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.014.0
42.4%
32.9%42.0
🏀 Free throws16.011.5
71.9%
71.2%11.5
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kvarnertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kvarner: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.5
53.2%
52.9%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.4
37.3%
32.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws17.513.5
77.1%
71.2%13.5
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hermes
WWLLLLWLWL
Kvarner
LWLWWWWWWW
#8
League position
#1
+8.1
Net rating
+20.0
117.7
Offensive rating
113.7
109.6
Defensive rating
93.6
59.8%
Effective FG%
54.4%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
16.1%
Turnover %
14.5%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
42.4%
3-point %
37.3%
67.0%
Assist %
66.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence117.7 · 113.7Defence109.6 · 93.6Shooting59.8% · 54.4%3-point %42.4% · 37.3%Ball care16.1% · 14.5%Off. rebounds24.7% · 26.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Hermes   ■ Kvarner
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hermes wins
5
Kvarner wins
DateGameScore
25/11/23Kvarner v Hermes103-89
07/01/23Hermes v Kvarner56-80
09/10/22Kvarner v Hermes82-59
24/02/22Kvarner v Hermes87-66
31/10/21Hermes v Kvarner83-76
01/04/17Hermes v Kvarner81-78
10/12/16Kvarner v Hermes78-72
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24AOmis110-76
17/02/24HGorica89-84
10/02/24AStoja87-94
04/02/24HKastela71-98
24/01/24HSamobor85-91
21/01/24HOsijek107-116 OT
13/01/24HCrikvenica106-84
21/12/23HJazine92-95
18/12/23HKK Zagreb101-81
10/12/23AMarsonia91-95
Kvarnerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24HOsijek72-78
18/02/24ACrikvenica92-76
14/02/24HCibona67-82
10/02/24HJazine92-70
04/02/24AKK Zagreb85-69
28/01/24HMarsonia96-56
24/01/24APodstrana89-56
21/01/24ASamobor86-82
13/01/24AOmis88-72
23/12/23HGorica94-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hermes
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW47%
HomeWLLLW55%
AwayLLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %47%55%38%
Points / game91.594.287.9
Allowed / game89.689.290.2
Point differential+1.9+5.0-2.4
Avg total181.2183.4178.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%45%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Kvarner
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL90%
HomeWWWWL90%
AwayWWWWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %90%90%90%
Points / game90.290.689.8
Allowed / game73.070.076.0
Point differential+17.2+20.6+13.8
Avg total163.2160.6165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%80%70%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Osijek2119290%86.974.3+12.6
2 Kvarner2018290%90.273.0+17.2
3 Gorica2014670%81.874.9+6.9
4 KK Zagreb2114767%79.871.9+7.9
5 Kastela2012860%80.674.2+6.4
6 Samobor2012860%83.482.3+1.1
7 Jazine2011955%87.385.0+2.4
8 Hermes1991047%91.589.6+1.9
9 Omis2091145%77.381.0-3.8
10 Marsonia2071335%79.585.4-5.8
11 Mladost1951426%78.185.9-7.8
12 Crikvenica2141719%73.686.0-12.4
13 Podstrana2141719%70.885.2-14.4
14 Stoja2031715%78.490.5-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hermes2314201269
Kvarner36221925102
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.