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Samobor vs Hermes Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 22 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 83-79
27-26 25-10 14-22 17-21
Position#1
Record1-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game70.0
Samobor 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#14
Record1-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game76.0
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 2· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2024-25
Meetings · Samobor v Hermes
22 Oct 2024
SAMO83
HERM79
12 Oct 2023
SAMO75
HERM84
20 Apr 2023
SAMO89
HERM92
11 Feb 2023
SAMO75
HERM70
25 Feb 2022
SAMO84
HERM77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hermes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#3
L
69-74
69
74
-5
64avg 78
H25/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
92-87
92
87
+5
86avg 78
A03/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
107-97
107
97
+10
101avg 78
H10/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
85-80
85
80
+5
78avg 78
A16/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
86-79
86
79
+7
83avg 78
H21/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
101-90
101
90
+11
93avg 78
A27/03
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
82-65
82
65
+17
76avg 78
H06/04
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
69-99
69
99
-30
58avg 78
A13/04
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
73-83
73
83
-10
61avg 78
H16/04
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
97-70
97
70
+27
105avg 78
A12/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
15-9
13-21
12-27
38-32
23-29
17-11
14-15
20-28
29-18
36-26
22-25
16-26
15-19
28-19
26-16
22-19
21-23
18-19
25-18
18-36
22-21
35-13
26-20
24-15
25-19
12-14
21-17
13-22
25-29
13-22
18-26
19-20
15-24
18-16
21-23
28-17
25-13
29-15
15-25
168.5Avg total
86.1Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)97.070.0167.0+27.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)97.070.0167.0+27.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.182.4168.5+3.770%
Last 5 (5)84.481.4165.8+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.584.5158.0-11.012%
vs Similar (8)80.583.9164.4-3.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)94.580.8175.2+13.7100%
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermes
Date
Competition
Gorica
#4
W
89-84
89
84
+5
82avg 85
H17/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
110-76
110
76
+34
112avg 85
A24/02
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
69-102
69
102
-33
65avg 85
H03/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
84-98
84
98
-14
78avg 85
A06/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
79-77
79
77
+2
48avg 85
A09/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
103-109 OT
103
109
-6
99avg 85
H19/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
69-82
69
82
-13
66avg 85
A24/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
98-85
98
85
+13
100avg 85
A26/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
90-69
90
69
+21
80avg 85
A06/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
84-76
84
76
+8
85avg 85
H12/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-25
23-15
17-18
20-26
25-10
26-24
30-17
29-25
23-36
14-22
20-19
12-25
19-21
26-25
17-26
22-26
20-22
23-17
24-11
12-27
19-15
30-26
31-22
13-30
20-20
18-22
13-19
18-21
19-28
30-22
29-14
20-21
23-17
25-18
21-9
21-25
27-21
24-19
18-17
15-19
173.3Avg total
87.5Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)84.076.0160.0+8.0100%
Season at home (1)84.076.0160.0+8.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.585.8173.3+1.760%
Last 5 (5)88.884.2173.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)83.792.8176.5-9.136%
vs Similar (5)90.284.0174.2+6.260%
vs Weaker (14)96.582.9179.4+13.664%
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -6.3-6.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -6.3-6.3
SamoborHermes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#3
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H25/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
D
61-61
61
61
+0
A03/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H10/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A16/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H21/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A27/03
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H06/04
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A13/04
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H16/04
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A12/10
Prva Liga
87.8Avg total
44.2Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.142.785.8+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.941.185.0+2.971%-
Last 30 away (16)42.444.186.5-1.831%-
Last 10 (10)44.243.687.8+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.843.286.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.641.181.8-0.538%-
vs Similar (8)37.944.582.4-6.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)47.442.289.6+5.262%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gorica
#4
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H17/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A24/02
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
37-58
37
58
-21
H03/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A06/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A09/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H19/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A24/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A26/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A06/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H12/10
Prva Liga
88.8Avg total
46.3Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.342.490.6+5.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.543.193.7+7.473%-
Last 30 away (15)46.041.687.6+4.460%-
Last 10 (10)46.342.588.8+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)47.041.688.6+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)44.247.191.3-2.927%-
vs Similar (5)46.442.488.8+4.080%-
vs Weaker (14)52.138.690.8+13.593%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.121.3
55.9%
52.0%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.4
35.9%
33.7%31.2
🏀 Free throws15.211.7
77.0%
70.4%11.7
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hermes: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.8 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.319.0
55.4%
52.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.712.6
39.7%
33.7%37.8
🏀 Free throws12.68.8
69.8%
70.4%8.8
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
WLLWWWWWWL
Hermes
WWWLLWLLWW
#1
League position
#14
+5.2
Net rating
+0.5
108.0
Offensive rating
109.9
102.8
Defensive rating
109.4
55.0%
Effective FG%
57.4%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
18.2%
Turnover %
17.0%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.19
35.9%
3-point %
39.7%
61.5%
Assist %
74.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 109.9Defence102.8 · 109.4Shooting55.0% · 57.4%3-point %35.9% · 39.7%Ball care18.2% · 17.0%Off. rebounds25.4% · 26.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Samobor   ■ Hermes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Samobor wins
5
Hermes wins
DateGameScore
24/01/24Hermes v Samobor85-91
12/10/23Samobor v Hermes75-84
20/04/23Samobor v Hermes89-92
19/03/23Hermes v Samobor95-76
11/02/23Samobor v Hermes75-70
13/11/22Hermes v Samobor92-79
25/02/22Samobor v Hermes84-77
28/11/21Hermes v Samobor119-87
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24ADakovo97-70
16/04/24HOsijek73-83
13/04/24AOsijek69-99
06/04/24HOsijek82-65
27/03/24AOmis101-90
21/03/24HCrikvenica86-79
16/03/24AGorica85-80
10/03/24HJazine107-97
03/03/24AStoja92-87
25/02/24HKK Zagreb69-74
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24HOmis84-76
06/04/24ACrikvenica90-69
26/03/24AJazine98-85
24/03/24AKK Zagreb69-82
19/03/24HMarsonia103-109 OT
09/03/24APodstrana79-77
06/03/24AMladost84-98
03/03/24HKvarner69-102
24/02/24AOmis110-76
17/02/24HGorica89-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game97.0-97.0
Allowed / game70.0-70.0
Point differential+27.0-+27.0
Avg total167.0-167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Hermes
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game84.084.0-
Allowed / game76.076.0-
Point differential+8.0+8.0-
Avg total160.0160.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor110100%97.070.0+27.0
2 Skrljevo220100%93.084.5+8.5
3 Hermes110100%84.076.0+8.0
4 Mladost220100%82.076.5+5.5
5 Jazine21150%108.592.5+16.0
6 Omis21150%69.062.0+7.0
7 Marsonia21150%94.088.5+5.5
8 Kastela21150%66.568.0-1.5
9 Dakovo21150%75.082.0-7.0
10 KK Zagreb21150%47.555.0-7.5
11 Gorica21150%82.597.5-15.0
12 Crikvenica2020%74.079.0-5.0
13 Sonik Puntamika2020%58.564.5-6.0
14 Bosco2020%75.093.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samobor2725141783
Hermes2610222179
← all games of the day
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