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Hermes vs Marsonia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 103-109 (OT)
19-15 30-26 31-22 13-30 10-16
Position#8
Record10-12
FormWWLLW
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Position#9
Record8-14
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game85.6
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 23· Kosarkaski centar Drazen Petrovic
Other2023-24
Meetings · Hermes v Marsonia
23 Nov 2024
HERM71
MARS93
19 Mar 2024
HERM103
MARS109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hermes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Marsonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermes
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#12
W
106-84
106
84
+22
109avg 84
H13/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
107-116 OT
107
116
-9
no box
H21/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
85-91
85
91
-6
82avg 84
H24/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
71-98
71
98
-27
60avg 84
H04/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
L
87-94
87
94
-7
85avg 84
A10/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
89-84
89
84
+5
82avg 84
H17/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
110-76
110
76
+34
112avg 84
A24/02
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
69-102
69
102
-33
65avg 84
H03/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
84-98
84
98
-14
78avg 84
A06/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
79-77
79
77
+2
48avg 84
A09/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-16
26-17
28-23
20-28
23-20
18-28
31-23
27-28
23-20
23-23
24-32
15-16
24-24
19-27
15-26
13-21
23-22
24-20
22-27
18-25
29-25
23-15
17-18
20-26
25-10
26-24
30-17
29-25
23-36
14-22
20-19
12-25
19-21
26-25
17-26
22-26
20-22
23-17
24-11
12-27
180.7Avg total
88.7Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)89.690.0179.6-0.445%
Season at home (12)92.190.2182.3+1.850%
Season away (10)86.689.7176.3-3.140%
Last 10 (10)88.792.0180.7-3.340%
Last 5 (5)86.287.4173.6-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.395.9181.2-10.633%
vs Similar (6)93.289.7182.8+3.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)98.384.6182.9+13.767%
This opponent (Marsonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarsoniaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMarsonia
Date
Competition
Stoja
#13
W
88-80
88
80
+8
88avg 69
A14/01
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
77-88
77
88
-11
74avg 69
A21/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
83-79
83
79
+4
84avg 69
H24/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
56-96
56
96
-40
48avg 69
A28/01
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
84-73
84
73
+11
73avg 69
H03/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
88-97
88
97
-9
78avg 69
A11/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
60-70
60
70
-10
56avg 69
A18/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
89-84
89
84
+5
88avg 69
A02/03
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
72-99
72
99
-27
58avg 69
H10/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
81-76
81
76
+5
66avg 69
H14/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
27-25
21-20
15-18
29-27
20-17
13-24
15-20
20-18
25-25
17-17
21-19
14-24
19-21
15-26
8-25
23-18
29-13
10-19
22-23
24-31
31-23
16-17
17-26
22-10
17-18
11-20
10-22
31-24
23-25
24-14
11-21
14-32
15-24
19-21
24-22
20-18
19-28
21-17
21-13
162.0Avg total
77.8Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.385.6164.9-6.336%
Season at home (11)82.083.5165.5-1.545%
Season away (11)76.587.6164.2-11.127%
Last 10 (10)77.884.2162.0-6.450%
Last 5 (5)78.085.2163.2-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)77.189.3166.4-12.114%
vs Similar (3)75.378.0153.3-2.767%
vs Weaker (5)87.679.8167.4+7.880%
This opponent (Hermes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -5.9-5.9Q4: -4.5-4.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -5.9-5.9Q4: -4.5-4.5
HermesMarsonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#12
W
58-33
58
33
+25
H13/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H21/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H24/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H04/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A10/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H17/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A24/02
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
37-58
37
58
-21
H03/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A06/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A09/03
Prva Liga
89.7Avg total
46.3Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.643.892.5+4.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.945.297.1+6.762%-
Last 30 away (14)44.942.387.2+2.657%-
Last 10 (10)46.343.489.7+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)45.643.489.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)44.148.492.6-4.322%-
vs Similar (6)46.544.390.8+2.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)52.240.993.1+11.380%-
This opponent (Marsonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarsoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stoja
#13
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A14/01
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A21/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H24/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A28/01
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H03/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A11/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A18/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A02/03
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
29-56
29
56
-27
H10/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H14/03
Prva Liga
88.5Avg total
44.7Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)41.443.885.2-2.441%-
Last 30 at home (11)39.742.782.5-3.036%-
Last 30 away (11)43.144.988.0-1.845%-
Last 10 (10)44.743.888.5+0.970%-
Last 5 (5)43.246.689.8-3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.746.386.0-6.629%-
vs Similar (3)39.042.381.3-3.333%-
vs Weaker (5)47.637.885.4+9.880%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hermes: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.219.0
55.6%
52.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.212.9
40.1%
32.9%38.7
🏀 Free throws14.610.5
71.9%
71.2%10.5
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Marsoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marsonia: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.822.5
52.6%
52.9%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.76.6
33.5%
32.9%19.8
🏀 Free throws18.212.4
68.1%
71.2%12.4
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hermes
WLLWWLLLLW
Marsonia
WLWLLWLWLW
#8
League position
#9
-1.9
Net rating
-7.9
112.3
Offensive rating
98.8
114.3
Defensive rating
106.8
57.8%
Effective FG%
51.8%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
17.4%
Turnover %
22.6%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.29
40.1%
3-point %
33.5%
72.4%
Assist %
41.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 98.8Defence114.3 · 106.8Shooting57.8% · 51.8%3-point %40.1% · 33.5%Ball care17.4% · 22.6%Off. rebounds24.9% · 30.2%Free throws0.22 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Hermes   ■ Marsonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hermes wins
1
Marsonia wins
DateGameScore
10/12/23Marsonia v Hermes95-91
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24APodstrana79-77
06/03/24AMladost84-98
03/03/24HKvarner69-102
24/02/24AOmis110-76
17/02/24HGorica89-84
10/02/24AStoja87-94
04/02/24HKastela71-98
24/01/24HSamobor85-91
21/01/24HOsijek107-116 OT
13/01/24HCrikvenica106-84
Marsonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/24HJazine81-76
10/03/24HOsijek72-99
02/03/24ACrikvenica89-84
18/02/24AKK Zagreb60-70
11/02/24ASamobor88-97
03/02/24HPodstrana84-73
28/01/24AKvarner56-96
24/01/24HOmis83-79
21/01/24AGorica77-88
14/01/24AStoja88-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hermes
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW45%
HomeLLLWL50%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %45%50%40%
Points / game89.692.186.6
Allowed / game90.090.289.7
Point differential-0.4+1.8-3.1
Avg total179.6182.3176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%42%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%8%0%
Marsonia
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW36%
HomeLWWLW45%
AwayLLLLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %36%45%27%
Points / game79.382.076.5
Allowed / game85.683.587.6
Point differential-6.3-1.5-11.1
Avg total164.9165.5164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner2321291%90.072.7+17.3
2 Osijek2321291%87.574.5+13.0
3 Gorica2316770%81.274.8+6.4
4 Samobor2315865%84.983.1+1.8
5 KK Zagreb2314961%79.172.7+6.4
6 Kastela23131057%79.474.5+4.9
7 Jazine23111248%86.385.0+1.3
8 Hermes22101245%89.690.0-0.4
9 Omis23101343%77.080.8-3.7
10 Marsonia2281436%79.385.6-6.3
11 Mladost2381535%79.284.0-4.8
12 Crikvenica2361726%73.484.1-10.7
13 Podstrana2341917%71.385.1-13.8
14 Stoja2332013%78.690.2-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Hermes1930311310103
Marsonia1526223016109
← all games of the day
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