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KK Zagreb vs Hermes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 82-69
20-20 22-18 19-13 21-18
Position#3
Record14-9
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game72.7
vs
Position#8
Record10-13
FormWLLWL
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game90.8
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 24· SSD Bosko Bozic Pepsi
Other2023-24
Meetings · KK Zagreb v Hermes
30 Mar 2025
KK Z88
HERM85
24 Mar 2024
KK Z82
HERM69
03 Dec 2022
KK Z84
HERM65
24 Oct 2021
KK Z75
HERM102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KK Zagreb winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hermes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KK ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Stoja
#13
W
90-48
90
48
+42
98avg 73
A20/01
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
no box
H24/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
74-81
74
81
-7
72avg 73
A27/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
69-85
69
85
-16
60avg 73
H04/02
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
84-69
84
69
+15
80avg 73
A11/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
70-60
70
60
+10
54avg 73
H18/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
74-69
74
69
+5
67avg 73
A25/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
70-68
70
68
+2
58avg 73
A02/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
64-74
64
74
-10
50avg 73
H09/03
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
81-88 OT
81
88
-7
no box
A16/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-10
25-10
17-16
23-12
20-25
17-18
14-21
22-9
27-17
16-23
15-26
16-15
25-19
14-20
12-24
18-22
17-23
17-10
29-18
21-18
10-22
18-17
20-11
22-10
17-29
9-15
21-13
27-12
13-22
17-13
17-21
23-12
17-21
15-17
12-19
20-17
26-22
12-13
17-20
20-20
148.2Avg total
75.7Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.172.7151.8+6.461%
Season at home (11)78.571.5150.0+7.164%
Season away (12)79.773.8153.5+5.858%
Last 10 (10)75.772.5148.2+3.250%
Last 5 (5)71.871.8143.6+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)67.783.4151.1-15.714%
vs Similar (7)74.476.4150.9-2.029%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)81.270.4151.6+10.881%
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermes
Date
Competition
Osijek
#2
L
107-116 OT
107
116
-9
no box
H21/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
85-91
85
91
-6
82avg 85
H24/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
71-98
71
98
-27
60avg 85
H04/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
L
87-94
87
94
-7
85avg 85
A10/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
89-84
89
84
+5
82avg 85
H17/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
110-76
110
76
+34
112avg 85
A24/02
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
69-102
69
102
-33
65avg 85
H03/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
84-98
84
98
-14
78avg 85
A06/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
79-77
79
77
+2
48avg 85
A09/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
103-109 OT
103
109
-6
99avg 85
H19/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
18-28
31-23
27-28
23-20
23-23
24-32
15-16
24-24
19-27
15-26
13-21
23-22
24-20
22-27
18-25
29-25
23-15
17-18
20-26
25-10
26-24
30-17
29-25
23-36
14-22
20-19
12-25
19-21
26-25
17-26
22-26
20-22
23-17
24-11
12-27
19-15
30-26
31-22
13-30
182.9Avg total
88.4Scored
94.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)90.290.8181.0-0.743%
Season at home (13)92.991.7184.6+1.246%
Season away (10)86.689.7176.3-3.140%
Last 10 (10)88.494.5182.9-6.130%
Last 5 (5)89.092.4181.4-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)85.395.9181.2-10.633%
vs Similar (6)93.289.7182.8+3.550%
vs Weaker (15)96.785.7182.4+10.960%
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +6.5+6.5Q4: -6.8-6.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +6.5+6.5Q4: -6.8-6.8
KK ZagrebHermes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KK ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stoja
#13
W
50-20
50
20
+30
A20/01
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H24/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A27/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H04/02
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A11/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H18/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A25/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A02/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H09/03
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A16/03
Prva Liga
72.3Avg total
35.7Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.637.476.0+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.838.577.3+0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)38.436.374.7+2.153%-
Last 10 (10)35.736.672.3-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)30.838.269.0-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.941.076.9-5.114%-
vs Similar (7)38.138.176.3+0.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.035.575.5+4.569%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H21/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H24/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H04/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A10/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H17/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A24/02
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
37-58
37
58
-21
H03/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A06/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A09/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H19/03
Prva Liga
89.6Avg total
45.4Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.743.491.2+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.244.494.6+5.862%-
Last 30 away (14)44.942.387.2+2.657%-
Last 10 (10)45.444.289.6+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.688.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)44.148.492.6-4.322%-
vs Similar (6)46.544.390.8+2.267%-
vs Weaker (15)50.440.190.5+10.380%-
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
KK Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KK Zagreb: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.1
51.8%
52.9%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.6
31.9%
32.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.012.1
71.2%
71.2%12.1
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hermes: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.219.0
55.6%
52.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.212.9
40.1%
32.9%38.7
🏀 Free throws14.610.5
71.9%
71.2%10.5
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
KK Zagreb
LLWWWWLLLW
Hermes
LWLLWWLLLL
#3
League position
#8
+6.1
Net rating
-1.9
102.4
Offensive rating
112.3
96.3
Defensive rating
114.3
50.1%
Effective FG%
57.8%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
16.9%
Turnover %
17.4%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.22
31.9%
3-point %
40.1%
61.4%
Assist %
72.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 112.3Defence96.3 · 114.3Shooting50.1% · 57.8%3-point %31.9% · 40.1%Ball care16.9% · 17.4%Off. rebounds25.1% · 24.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ KK Zagreb   ■ Hermes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
KK Zagreb wins
4
Hermes wins
DateGameScore
18/12/23Hermes v KK Zagreb101-81
04/03/23Hermes v KK Zagreb96-91
03/12/22KK Zagreb v Hermes84-65
10/03/22Hermes v KK Zagreb107-82
24/10/21KK Zagreb v Hermes75-102
KK Zagreblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24AOsijek81-88 OT
09/03/24HCrikvenica64-74
02/03/24AJazine70-68
25/02/24ASamobor74-69
18/02/24HMarsonia70-60
11/02/24APodstrana84-69
04/02/24HKvarner69-85
27/01/24AOmis74-81
24/01/24HGorica81-83 OT
20/01/24AStoja90-48
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/24HMarsonia103-109 OT
09/03/24APodstrana79-77
06/03/24AMladost84-98
03/03/24HKvarner69-102
24/02/24AOmis110-76
17/02/24HGorica89-84
10/02/24AStoja87-94
04/02/24HKastela71-98
24/01/24HSamobor85-91
21/01/24HOsijek107-116 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

KK Zagreb
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL61%
HomeWLLWL64%
AwayLWWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %61%64%58%
Points / game79.178.579.7
Allowed / game72.771.573.8
Point differential+6.4+7.1+5.8
Avg total151.8150.0153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%36%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %13%18%8%
Hermes
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL43%
HomeLLWLL46%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %43%46%40%
Points / game90.292.986.6
Allowed / game90.891.789.7
Point differential-0.7+1.2-3.1
Avg total181.0184.6176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%38%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %9%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner2422292%90.772.8+18.0
2 Osijek2421388%87.775.4+12.3
3 Gorica2417771%81.274.8+6.4
4 Samobor2416867%84.982.9+2.0
5 KK Zagreb2314961%79.172.7+6.4
6 Kastela24141058%79.674.4+5.2
7 Jazine24121250%86.885.4+1.4
8 Hermes23101343%90.290.8-0.7
9 Omis24101442%77.080.8-3.9
10 Marsonia24101442%81.085.9-4.9
11 Mladost2481633%79.084.3-5.3
12 Crikvenica2461825%73.684.2-10.5
13 Podstrana2442017%71.385.0-13.7
14 Stoja2432112%78.490.9-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
KK Zagreb2022192182
Hermes2018131869
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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