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Mladost vs Hermes Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 98-84
21-19 25-26 26-17 26-22
Position#11
Record6-14
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game84.6
Mladost 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#8
Record9-11
FormLLWWL
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game90.2
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 16· Basketball Dome Cedevita
Other2023-24
Meetings · Mladost v Hermes
22 Dec 2024
MLAD89
HERM80
06 Mar 2024
MLAD98
HERM84
11 May 2023
MLAD74
HERM92
27 Jan 2023
MLAD107
HERM75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mladost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hermes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MladostCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMladost
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#9
W
80-66
80
66
+14
72avg 69
H16/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
85-90
85
90
-5
73avg 69
A23/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
77-85
77
85
-8
63avg 69
H14/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
82-73
82
73
+9
78avg 69
H21/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
70-101
70
101
-31
68avg 69
A24/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
92-113
92
113
-21
84avg 69
A06/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
66-84
66
84
-18
52avg 69
A10/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
92-85
92
85
+7
87avg 69
H18/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
69-84
69
84
-15
61avg 69
A24/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
78-59
78
59
+19
75avg 69
H03/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-16
14-22
22-8
15-20
21-14
19-27
23-22
22-27
12-17
17-29
30-12
18-27
25-21
23-19
9-13
25-20
19-22
19-30
16-31
16-18
21-31
28-36
26-25
17-21
16-32
10-14
22-13
18-25
28-23
33-22
14-18
17-22
18-20
21-18
20-14
10-32
17-20
26-3
20-19
15-17
163.1Avg total
79.1Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.184.6162.7-6.530%
Season at home (10)76.882.1158.9-5.340%
Season away (10)79.487.1166.5-7.720%
Last 10 (10)79.184.0163.1-4.940%
Last 5 (5)79.485.0164.4-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)75.493.1168.5-17.70%
vs Similar (11)84.983.2168.1+1.755%
vs Weaker (7)92.378.1170.4+14.186%
This opponent (Hermes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermes
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#3
W
101-81
101
81
+20
101avg 87
H18/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
92-95
92
95
-3
87avg 87
H21/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
106-84
106
84
+22
109avg 87
H13/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
107-116 OT
107
116
-9
no box
H21/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
85-91
85
91
-6
82avg 87
H24/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
71-98
71
98
-27
60avg 87
H04/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
L
87-94
87
94
-7
85avg 87
A10/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
89-84
89
84
+5
82avg 87
H17/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
110-76
110
76
+34
112avg 87
A24/02
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
69-102
69
102
-33
65avg 87
H03/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
19-25
24-18
31-15
29-10
16-33
26-25
21-27
32-16
26-17
28-23
20-28
23-20
18-28
31-23
27-28
23-20
23-23
24-32
15-16
24-24
19-27
15-26
13-21
23-22
24-20
22-27
18-25
29-25
23-15
17-18
20-26
25-10
26-24
30-17
29-25
23-36
14-22
20-19
12-25
183.8Avg total
91.7Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)90.490.2180.7+0.245%
Season at home (12)92.190.2182.3+1.850%
Season away (8)87.990.2178.1-2.438%
Last 10 (10)91.792.1183.8-0.440%
Last 5 (5)85.290.8176.0-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.395.9181.2-10.633%
vs Similar (7)94.790.6185.3+4.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)100.583.6184.1+16.971%
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: -3.0-3.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: -3.0-3.0
MladostHermes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MladostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H16/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A23/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H14/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H21/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A24/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
49-67
49
67
-18
A06/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A10/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
61-45
61
45
+16
H18/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A24/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H03/03
Prva Liga
85.2Avg total
41.6Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.943.187.0+0.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.741.384.9+2.467%-
Last 30 away (15)44.144.989.0-0.960%-
Last 10 (10)41.643.685.2-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)43.643.887.4-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.647.486.0-8.833%-
vs Similar (11)45.341.686.9+3.673%-
vs Weaker (7)50.738.088.7+12.7100%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#3
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H18/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H21/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
58-33
58
33
+25
H13/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H21/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H24/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H04/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A10/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H17/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A24/02
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
37-58
37
58
-21
H03/03
Prva Liga
90.6Avg total
46.6Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.243.592.7+5.763%-
Last 30 at home (17)51.844.195.9+7.865%-
Last 30 away (13)45.742.888.5+2.962%-
Last 10 (10)46.644.090.6+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)46.045.091.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)44.148.492.6-4.322%-
vs Similar (7)47.445.092.4+2.471%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)53.339.692.9+13.786%-
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mladosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mladost: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.421.8
50.2%
52.9%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.86.5
28.5%
32.9%19.5
🏀 Free throws20.515.3
74.6%
71.2%15.3
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hermes: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.8
54.7%
52.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.413.8
42.6%
32.9%41.4
🏀 Free throws15.811.3
71.5%
71.2%11.3
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mladost
WLWLLLWLLW
Hermes
LWWLLLLWLW
#11
League position
#8
-6.7
Net rating
+2.2
100.8
Offensive rating
115.4
107.5
Defensive rating
113.2
47.7%
Effective FG%
59.1%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
18.8%
Turnover %
17.0%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.24
28.5%
3-point %
42.6%
58.3%
Assist %
68.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 115.4Defence107.5 · 113.2Shooting47.7% · 59.1%3-point %28.5% · 42.6%Ball care18.8% · 17.0%Off. rebounds31.5% · 24.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Mladost   ■ Hermes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mladost wins
3
Hermes wins
DateGameScore
21/10/23Hermes v Mladost107-87
11/05/23Mladost v Hermes74-92
12/04/23Hermes v Mladost108-112 OT
27/01/23Mladost v Hermes107-75
29/10/22Hermes v Mladost105-81
Mladostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HOmis78-59
24/02/24AGorica69-84
18/02/24HStoja92-85
10/02/24AKastela66-84
06/02/24ASamobor92-113
24/01/24AOsijek70-101
21/01/24HCrikvenica82-73
14/01/24HJazine77-85
23/12/23AKK Zagreb85-90
16/12/23HMarsonia80-66
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HKvarner69-102
24/02/24AOmis110-76
17/02/24HGorica89-84
10/02/24AStoja87-94
04/02/24HKastela71-98
24/01/24HSamobor85-91
21/01/24HOsijek107-116 OT
13/01/24HCrikvenica106-84
21/12/23HJazine92-95
18/12/23HKK Zagreb101-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mladost
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW30%
HomeWLWWW40%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game78.176.879.4
Allowed / game84.682.187.1
Point differential-6.5-5.3-7.7
Avg total162.7158.9166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hermes
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL45%
HomeLLLWL50%
AwayLLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %45%50%38%
Points / game90.492.187.9
Allowed / game90.290.290.2
Point differential+0.1+1.8-2.4
Avg total180.7182.3178.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%42%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner2119290%90.872.8+18.0
2 Osijek2119290%86.974.3+12.6
3 Gorica2115671%81.174.2+6.9
4 KK Zagreb2114767%79.871.9+7.9
5 Samobor2113862%83.882.6+1.2
6 Kastela2112957%79.773.9+5.8
7 Jazine2011955%87.385.0+2.4
8 Hermes2091145%90.490.2+0.1
9 Omis2191243%76.480.9-4.5
10 Marsonia2071335%79.585.4-5.8
11 Mladost2061430%78.184.6-6.5
12 Crikvenica2141719%73.686.0-12.4
13 Podstrana2141719%70.885.2-14.4
14 Stoja2131814%78.890.5-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mladost2125262698
Hermes1926172284
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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