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Hermes vs Podstrana Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 93-79
29-22 29-23 16-22 19-12
Position#8
Record4-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game88.8
Hermes 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#14
Record1-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game87.9
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 9· Kosarkaski centar Drazen Petrovic
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hermes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Podstrana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermes
Date
Competition
Mladost
#8
W
92-74
92
74
+18
no box
A11/05
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
W
121-78
121
78
+43
no box
H14/05
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
69-100
69
100
-31
58avg 85
A10/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
84-75
84
75
+9
75avg 85
A12/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
107-87
107
87
+20
111avg 85
H21/10
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
86-80
86
80
+6
82avg 85
A28/10
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
L
85-93
85
93
-8
77avg 85
H05/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
87-99
87
99
-12
89avg 85
A11/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
100-73
100
73
+27
104avg 85
H19/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
89-103
89
103
-14
87avg 85
A25/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
15-19
23-22
25-13
37-25
29-13
25-19
30-21
20-23
15-24
12-32
22-21
25-19
23-18
22-20
14-18
36-25
30-20
16-21
25-21
21-32
19-18
21-13
25-17
30-28
23-22
15-20
17-23
35-18
16-21
17-23
19-37
28-7
19-17
38-20
15-29
26-32
26-23
19-26
18-22
178.2Avg total
92.0Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.488.8177.1-0.450%
Season at home (3)97.384.3181.7+13.067%
Season away (5)83.091.4174.4-8.440%
Last 10 (10)92.086.2178.2+5.860%
Last 5 (5)89.489.6179.0-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.191.5168.6-14.412%
vs Similar (10)94.291.1185.3+3.180%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)97.682.2179.8+15.467%
This opponent (Podstrana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodstranaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPodstrana
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
L
65-94
65
94
-29
51avg 63
H08/10
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
57-99
57
99
-42
44avg 63
A14/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
73-88
73
88
-15
62avg 63
H22/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
88-75
88
75
+13
88avg 63
H29/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
79-85 OT
79
85
-6
no box
A04/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
76-82
76
82
-6
67avg 63
A18/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
74-92
74
92
-18
63avg 63
H26/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
17-20
15-24
15-25
8-26
17-18
22-26
10-29
11-25
20-21
21-20
21-22
29-12
14-25
21-14
24-24
18-16
24-24
17-19
16-16
16-26
22-22
25-16
13-18
12-26
22-20
15-30
25-16
161.0Avg total
73.1Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.187.9161.0-14.714%
Season at home (4)75.087.2162.2-12.225%
Season away (3)70.788.7159.3-18.00%
Last 10 (7)73.187.9161.0-14.714%
Last 5 (5)78.084.4162.4-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)72.788.8161.5-16.217%
vs Similar (1)76.082.0158.0-6.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hermes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -6.3-6.3Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.7-3.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -6.3-6.3Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.7-3.7
HermesPodstrana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mladost
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A11/05
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
W
66-38
66
38
+28
H14/05
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A10/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A12/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
66-45
66
45
+21
H21/10
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A28/10
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H05/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A11/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H19/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A25/11
Prva Liga
92.6Avg total
50.2Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.843.989.7+1.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.043.391.3+4.747%-
Last 30 away (15)43.644.588.1-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)50.242.492.6+7.870%-
Last 5 (5)48.643.692.2+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.946.584.4-8.612%-
vs Similar (10)46.145.691.7+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)50.840.891.7+10.067%-
This opponent (Podstrana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodstranaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H08/10
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A14/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H22/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H29/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A04/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A18/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H26/11
Prva Liga
79.1Avg total
35.4Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (7)35.443.779.1-8.329%-
Last 30 at home (4)35.843.579.2-7.825%-
Last 30 away (3)35.044.079.0-9.033%-
Last 10 (7)35.443.779.1-8.329%-
Last 5 (5)37.643.481.0-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.043.078.0-8.033%-
vs Similar (1)38.048.086.0-10.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hermes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hermes: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.219.9
56.4%
52.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.612.2
36.4%
32.9%36.8
🏀 Free throws13.611.2
82.6%
71.2%11.2
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Podstranatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Podstrana: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.719.0
45.6%
52.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.7
34.9%
32.9%26.0
🏀 Free throws11.88.7
73.2%
71.2%8.7
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/6 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hermes
LWLLWWWLWW
Podstrana
LLLWLLL
#8
League position
#14
-1.6
Net rating
-18.6
108.8
Offensive rating
92.2
110.4
Defensive rating
110.8
55.5%
Effective FG%
48.1%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
19.8%
Turnover %
23.5%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.18
36.4%
3-point %
34.9%
75.5%
Assist %
51.2%
60%
Form (last 10/7)
14%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 92.2Defence110.4 · 110.8Shooting55.5% · 48.1%3-point %36.4% · 34.9%Ball care19.8% · 23.5%Off. rebounds27.7% · 28.3%Free throws0.20 · 0.18Form (last 10/7)60% · 14%
■ Hermes   ■ Podstrana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hermes wins
0
Podstrana wins
No previous meetings.
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23AKvarner89-103
19/11/23HOmis100-73
11/11/23AGorica87-99
05/11/23HStoja85-93
28/10/23AKastela86-80
21/10/23HMladost107-87
12/10/23ASamobor84-75
10/10/23AOsijek69-100
14/05/23HStoja121-78
11/05/23AMladost92-74
Podstranalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23HOsijek74-92
18/11/23ACrikvenica76-82
04/11/23AKK Zagreb79-85 OT
29/10/23HMarsonia88-75
22/10/23HSamobor73-88
14/10/23AKvarner57-99
08/10/23HOmis65-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hermes
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game88.497.383.0
Allowed / game88.884.391.4
Point differential-0.4+13.0-8.4
Avg total177.1181.7174.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Podstrana
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 6 Losses (last 7)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL14%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game73.175.070.7
Allowed / game87.987.288.7
Point differential-14.7-12.2-18.0
Avg total161.0162.2159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner98189%94.077.1+16.9
2 KK Zagreb87188%81.667.4+14.2
3 Osijek87188%88.475.9+12.5
4 Gorica96367%80.372.3+8.0
5 Kastela95456%82.077.1+4.9
6 Omis95456%76.376.2+0.1
7 Hermes84450%88.488.8-0.4
8 Jazine84450%89.192.9-3.8
9 Samobor94544%76.283.1-6.9
10 Marsonia82625%83.085.5-2.5
11 Crikvenica82625%72.587.5-15.0
12 Stoja92722%82.189.8-7.7
13 Mladost92722%78.286.7-8.4
14 Podstrana71614%73.187.9-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hermes2929161993
Podstrana2223221279
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