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Kastela vs Hermes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 80-86
32-21 18-19 13-21 17-25
Position#6
Record1-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Hermes 🏆
Croatia
Position#8
Record2-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game87.3
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 4· Sportska dvorana Sokolana
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kastela v Hermes
07 Dec 2024
KAST127
HERM64
28 Oct 2023
KAST80
HERM86
15 Jan 2023
KAST83
HERM77
24 Mar 2022
KAST84
HERM78
20 Nov 2021
KAST82
HERM92
11 Nov 2017
KAST73
HERM79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kastela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hermes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#1
L
61-69
61
69
-8
no box
A29/04
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
74-72 OT
74
72
+2
no box
H07/05
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
61-58
61
58
+3
no box
A10/05
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
67-86
67
86
-19
no box
A13/05
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
74-91
74
91
-17
no box
H17/05
Prva Liga
Zabok
#10
L
70-83
70
83
-13
no box
H24/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#10
W
91-86
91
86
+5
no box
A27/05
Premijer liga
Jazine
#7
L
89-90
89
90
-1
74avg 74
A08/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
85-72
85
72
+13
76avg 74
H15/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
74-79
74
79
-5
73avg 74
H21/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
13-18
15-17
16-18
13-14
14-21
28-12
9-17
13-20
16-12
9-11
23-15
11-29
20-14
21-21
15-22
14-16
14-25
24-22
22-28
18-21
15-14
20-29
17-19
14-23
27-20
23-19
27-24
20-26
34-20
22-20
13-24
20-20
25-20
18-14
22-18
20-21
24-23
16-17
14-18
153.2Avg total
74.6Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.780.3163.0+2.333%
Season at home (2)79.575.5155.0+4.050%
Season away (1)89.090.0179.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)74.678.6153.2-4.040%
Last 5 (5)81.882.0163.8-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.778.1150.8-5.433%
vs Similar (6)81.380.5161.8+0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)80.769.7150.4+10.993%
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermes
Date
Competition
Mladost
#8
L
108-112 OT
108
112
-4
no box
H12/04
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
L
97-105 OT
97
105
-8
no box
A16/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
W
92-89
92
89
+3
no box
A20/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
98-91
98
91
+7
no box
H26/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
95-49
95
49
+46
no box
A28/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
W
92-74
92
74
+18
no box
A11/05
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
W
121-78
121
78
+43
no box
H14/05
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
69-100
69
100
-31
58avg 81
A10/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
84-75
84
75
+9
75avg 81
A12/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
107-87
107
87
+20
111avg 81
H21/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-32
28-25
28-15
17-24
18-26
15-23
23-25
34-16
24-21
17-25
29-14
22-29
19-22
26-25
32-23
21-21
29-15
20-14
28-13
18-7
29-20
15-19
23-22
25-13
37-25
29-13
25-19
30-21
20-23
15-24
12-32
22-21
25-19
23-18
22-20
14-18
36-25
30-20
16-21
25-21
182.3Avg total
96.3Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.787.3174.0-0.767%
Season at home (1)107.087.0194.0+20.0100%
Season away (2)76.587.5164.0-11.050%
Last 10 (10)96.386.0182.3+10.370%
Last 5 (5)94.682.8177.4+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)72.091.7163.7-19.70%
vs Similar (12)90.490.4180.8+0.067%
vs Weaker (12)97.281.5178.8+15.875%
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +3.7+3.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +3.7+3.7
KastelaHermes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A29/04
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H07/05
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A10/05
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A13/05
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H17/05
Prva Liga
Zabok
#10
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H24/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#10
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A27/05
Premijer liga
Jazine
#7
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A08/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H15/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H21/10
Prva Liga
75.5Avg total
36.2Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.937.476.3+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.234.672.8+3.769%-
Last 30 away (14)39.640.680.3-1.036%-
Last 10 (10)36.239.375.5-3.120%-
Last 5 (5)43.441.685.0+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.439.774.1-5.211%-
vs Similar (6)40.039.379.3+0.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.135.376.4+5.980%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mladost
#8
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H12/04
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A16/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A20/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H26/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A28/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A11/05
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
W
66-38
66
38
+28
H14/05
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A10/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A12/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
66-45
66
45
+21
H21/10
Prva Liga
91.2Avg total
47.8Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.443.387.7+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.943.190.0+3.747%-
Last 30 away (15)42.043.485.4-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)47.843.491.2+4.450%-
Last 5 (5)51.841.293.0+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)33.346.780.0-13.30%-
vs Similar (12)44.443.988.3+0.550%-
vs Weaker (12)50.040.990.9+9.167%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.7 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.3 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.3
51.8%
52.9%38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.311.3
34.0%
32.9%34.0
🏀 Free throws12.39.3
75.7%
71.2%9.3
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hermes: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.3 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws5.7 pts a game · 7% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.722.7
54.4%
52.9%45.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.712.0
36.7%
32.9%36.0
🏀 Free throws7.75.7
73.9%
71.2%5.7
They take 74.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kastela
LWLWLLLWWL
Hermes
WWLWWWWWLL
#6
League position
#8
+0.9
Net rating
-2.8
104.9
Offensive rating
104.8
104.1
Defensive rating
107.6
51.4%
Effective FG%
54.7%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
60.2%
16.5%
Turnover %
21.1%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.10
34.0%
3-point %
36.7%
69.6%
Assist %
67.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 104.8Defence104.1 · 107.6Shooting51.4% · 54.7%3-point %34.0% · 36.7%Ball care16.5% · 21.1%Off. rebounds25.6% · 30.2%Free throws0.17 · 0.10Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Kastela   ■ Hermes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Kastela wins
4
Hermes wins
DateGameScore
15/01/23Kastela v Hermes83-77
16/10/22Hermes v Kastela60-89
18/04/22Hermes v Kastela86-69
24/03/22Kastela v Hermes84-78
19/02/22Hermes v Kastela88-71
20/11/21Kastela v Hermes82-92
17/03/18Hermes v Kastela73-83
11/11/17Kastela v Hermes73-79
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23HOsijek74-79
15/10/23HCrikvenica85-72
08/10/23AJazine89-90
27/05/23AZabok91-86
24/05/23HZabok70-83
17/05/23HDubrovnik74-91
13/05/23ADubrovnik67-86
10/05/23AOmis61-58
07/05/23HOsijek74-72 OT
29/04/23ADubrovnik61-69
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23HMladost107-87
12/10/23ASamobor84-75
10/10/23AOsijek69-100
14/05/23HStoja121-78
11/05/23AMladost92-74
28/04/23ASonik Puntamika95-49
26/04/23HJazine98-91
20/04/23ASamobor92-89
16/04/23AStoja97-105 OT
12/04/23HMladost108-112 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kastela
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game82.779.589.0
Allowed / game80.375.590.0
Point differential+2.3+4.0-1.0
Avg total163.0155.0179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hermes
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game86.7107.076.5
Allowed / game87.387.087.5
Point differential-0.7+20.0-11.0
Avg total174.0194.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Zagreb330100%84.355.7+28.7
2 Kvarner330100%97.373.7+23.7
3 Osijek330100%92.071.7+20.3
4 Gorica43175%76.867.8+9.0
5 Hermes32167%86.787.3-0.7
6 Jazine32167%93.096.3-3.3
7 Samobor42250%80.582.5-2.0
8 Kastela31233%82.780.3+2.3
9 Omis31233%68.373.3-5.0
10 Marsonia31233%77.085.7-8.7
11 Mladost41325%82.891.8-9.0
12 Crikvenica41325%71.881.8-10.0
13 Stoja3030%85.398.0-12.7
14 Podstrana3030%65.093.7-28.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kastela3218131780
Hermes2119212586
← all games of the day
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