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Gorica vs Hermes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 99-87
18-35 21-16 23-17 37-19
Position#4
Record3-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game71.0
Gorica 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#8
Record3-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game87.0
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 6· GSD Velika Gorica
Other2023-24
Meetings · Gorica v Hermes
02 Nov 2024
GORI95
HERM80
11 Nov 2023
GORI99
HERM87
29 Mar 2021
GORI97
HERM65
24 Nov 2020
GORI113
HERM67
19 Oct 2019
GORI85
HERM66
08 Dec 2018
GORI98
HERM99
26 Nov 2016
GORI124
HERM113
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hermes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Alkar
#12
W
109-102 OT
109
102
+7
no box
A22/04
Premijer liga
Bosco
#11
L
80-96
80
96
-16
no box
H26/04
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#9
L
83-90
83
90
-7
no box
H30/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
73-79
73
79
-6
no box
A07/05
Premijer liga
Marsonia
#9
W
80-60
80
60
+20
80avg 71
A08/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
61-78
61
78
-17
53avg 71
H14/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
83-67
83
67
+16
75avg 71
A22/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
83-66
83
66
+17
78avg 71
H28/10
Prva Liga
LTH Castings
#3
L
44-100
44
100
-56
no box
H30/10
Slovenian Cup
Osijek
#2
L
77-84 OT
77
84
-7
no box
A04/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
28-24
19-22
14-16
21-21
23-25
20-32
16-18
24-25
14-23
25-21
20-21
19-16
17-15
17-15
20-33
19-21
21-8
16-13
24-18
18-9
19-21
14-23
10-25
17-12
30-18
15-17
21-20
25-7
23-9
22-27
13-23
12-28
10-26
12-23
10-23
21-19
22-6
9-18
12-21
159.5Avg total
77.3Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.871.0147.8+5.860%
Season at home (2)72.072.0144.0+0.050%
Season away (3)80.070.3150.3+9.767%
Last 10 (10)77.382.2159.5-4.940%
Last 5 (5)69.679.0148.6-9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.090.7165.7-15.710%
vs Similar (17)81.280.1161.3+1.253%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)81.563.0144.5+18.5100%
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermes
Date
Competition
Samobor
#11
W
92-89
92
89
+3
no box
A20/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
98-91
98
91
+7
no box
H26/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
95-49
95
49
+46
no box
A28/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
W
92-74
92
74
+18
no box
A11/05
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
W
121-78
121
78
+43
no box
H14/05
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
69-100
69
100
-31
58avg 81
A10/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
84-75
84
75
+9
75avg 81
A12/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
107-87
107
87
+20
111avg 81
H21/10
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
86-80
86
80
+6
82avg 81
A28/10
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
L
85-93
85
93
-8
77avg 81
H05/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
17-25
29-14
22-29
19-22
26-25
32-23
21-21
29-15
20-14
28-13
18-7
29-20
15-19
23-22
25-13
37-25
29-13
25-19
30-21
20-23
15-24
12-32
22-21
25-19
23-18
22-20
14-18
36-25
30-20
16-21
25-21
21-32
19-18
21-13
25-17
30-28
23-22
15-20
17-23
174.5Avg total
92.9Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.287.0173.2-0.860%
Season at home (2)96.090.0186.0+6.050%
Season away (3)79.785.0164.7-5.367%
Last 10 (10)92.981.6174.5+11.380%
Last 5 (5)86.287.0173.2-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)73.588.3161.8-14.817%
vs Similar (12)90.490.4180.8+0.067%
vs Weaker (12)96.782.7179.3+14.067%
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -5.8-5.8Q4: +2.8+2.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -5.8-5.8Q4: +2.8+2.8
GoricaHermes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alkar
#12
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A22/04
Premijer liga
Bosco
#11
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H26/04
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#9
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H30/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A07/05
Premijer liga
Marsonia
#9
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A08/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H14/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A22/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
48-16
48
16
+32
H28/10
Prva Liga
LTH Castings
#3
L
22-54
22
54
-32
H30/10
Slovenian Cup
Osijek
#2
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A04/11
Prva Liga
75.3Avg total
40.2Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.137.978.0+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.237.677.8+2.653%-
Last 30 away (15)39.938.378.2+1.760%-
Last 10 (10)40.235.175.3+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)39.431.070.4+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.541.779.2-4.230%-
vs Similar (17)42.236.678.8+5.671%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)44.022.566.5+21.5100%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samobor
#11
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A20/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H26/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A28/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A11/05
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
W
66-38
66
38
+28
H14/05
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A10/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A12/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
66-45
66
45
+21
H21/10
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A28/10
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H05/11
Prva Liga
91.5Avg total
48.7Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.743.688.4+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.544.091.5+3.547%-
Last 30 away (15)42.043.385.3-1.347%-
Last 10 (10)48.742.891.5+5.960%-
Last 5 (5)48.445.894.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)33.346.379.7-13.00%-
vs Similar (12)44.443.988.3+0.550%-
vs Weaker (12)50.842.092.8+8.867%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.5
55.8%
52.9%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.87.2
27.1%
32.9%21.8
🏀 Free throws17.011.2
66.2%
71.2%11.2
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hermes: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.6
54.0%
52.9%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.611.6
34.5%
32.9%34.8
🏀 Free throws10.08.0
80.0%
71.2%8.0
They take 73.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/5 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gorica
LLWWLWLLLW
Hermes
LWWWLWWWWW
#4
League position
#8
+11.7
Net rating
-2.2
101.4
Offensive rating
105.3
89.7
Defensive rating
107.5
49.6%
Effective FG%
53.0%
42.8%
Opp. effective FG%
58.5%
18.7%
Turnover %
20.9%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.14
27.1%
3-point %
34.5%
62.6%
Assist %
68.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 105.3Defence89.7 · 107.5Shooting49.6% · 53.0%3-point %27.1% · 34.5%Ball care18.7% · 20.9%Off. rebounds32.0% · 32.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.14Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Gorica   ■ Hermes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Gorica wins
2
Hermes wins
DateGameScore
29/03/21Gorica v Hermes97-65
07/02/21Hermes v Gorica88-115
24/11/20Gorica v Hermes113-67
11/01/20Hermes v Gorica82-117
19/10/19Gorica v Hermes85-66
06/04/19Hermes v Gorica90-109
12/01/19Hermes v Gorica73-89
08/12/18Gorica v Hermes98-99
18/03/17Hermes v Gorica99-73
26/11/16Gorica v Hermes124-113 OT
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23AOsijek77-84 OT
30/10/23HLTH Castings44-100
28/10/23HCrikvenica83-66
22/10/23AJazine83-67
14/10/23HKK Zagreb61-78
08/10/23AMarsonia80-60
07/05/23ADinamo Zagreb73-79
30/04/23HSkrljevo83-90
26/04/23HBosco80-96
22/04/23AAlkar109-102 OT
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23HStoja85-93
28/10/23AKastela86-80
21/10/23HMladost107-87
12/10/23ASamobor84-75
10/10/23AOsijek69-100
14/05/23HStoja121-78
11/05/23AMladost92-74
28/04/23ASonik Puntamika95-49
26/04/23HJazine98-91
20/04/23ASamobor92-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeLW50%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game76.872.080.0
Allowed / game71.072.070.3
Point differential+5.8+0.0+9.7
Avg total147.8144.0150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %20%0%33%
Hermes
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game86.296.079.7
Allowed / game87.090.085.0
Point differential-0.8+6.0-5.3
Avg total173.2186.0164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner550100%94.075.0+19.0
2 Osijek550100%90.074.4+15.6
3 KK Zagreb54180%83.065.8+17.2
4 Gorica53260%76.871.0+5.8
5 Omis53260%78.874.0+4.8
6 Hermes53260%86.287.0-0.8
7 Samobor53260%80.681.8-1.2
8 Kastela52340%85.280.6+4.6
9 Jazine52340%88.496.2-7.8
10 Stoja51420%85.893.8-8.0
11 Marsonia51420%77.085.2-8.2
12 Mladost51420%81.493.0-11.6
13 Crikvenica51420%70.283.8-13.6
14 Podstrana51420%72.488.2-15.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gorica1821233799
Hermes3516171987
← all games of the day
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