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Kastela vs Samobor Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 103-65
22-22 24-17 30-16 27-10
Position#3
Record12-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game75.4
Kastela 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#11
Record4-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game81.3
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 19
Other2022-23
Meetings · Kastela v Samobor
01 Dec 2024
KAST102
SAMO72
17 Feb 2024
KAST71
SAMO72
19 Feb 2023
KAST103
SAMO65
07 Nov 2021
KAST71
SAMO66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kastela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samobor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stoja
#9
W
92-77
92
77
+15
H26/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
82-85
82
85
-3
A03/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H10/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H17/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A11/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H15/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H21/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
92-90
92
90
+2
A28/01
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H04/02
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
65-83
65
83
-18
A11/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
24-16
23-13
21-20
26-18
23-18
18-24
15-25
15-17
16-5
19-18
17-14
26-22
15-23
21-12
23-26
29-25
16-24
15-26
16-12
26-21
24-17
20-16
13-23
16-19
26-18
18-15
20-23
25-14
21-29
26-28
20-19
20-16
15-13
17-15
18-13
21-16
8-22
13-19
23-26
156.0Avg total
79.2Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)80.575.4155.9+5.167%
Season at home (9)80.474.4154.9+6.078%
Season away (9)80.676.3156.9+4.256%
Last 10 (10)79.276.8156.0+2.470%
Last 5 (5)78.076.4154.4+1.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.482.2154.7-9.825%
vs Similar (5)73.476.8150.2-3.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)83.571.3154.8+12.292%
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A26/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H03/12
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
72-103
72
103
-31
A11/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A17/12
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
W
80-79
80
79
+1
A07/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
63-87
63
87
-24
H14/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
59-76
59
76
-17
A22/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H28/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
48-93
48
93
-45
A05/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H11/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
20-14
21-22
19-18
17-21
17-20
20-19
19-19
15-23
11-30
26-26
20-24
21-22
15-22
20-15
12-17
19-15
15-19
25-26
21-19
12-20
21-18
15-25
15-24
17-17
15-19
12-23
15-17
25-6
9-25
21-24
14-21
11-27
11-19
15-31
11-16
26-25
17-13
21-20
11-12
149.8Avg total
68.5Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)69.781.3151.0-11.722%
Season at home (9)70.880.0150.8-9.222%
Season away (9)68.682.7151.2-14.122%
Last 10 (10)68.581.3149.8-12.830%
Last 5 (5)62.880.4143.2-17.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)69.781.3151.0-11.621%
vs Similar (4)77.071.8148.8+5.250%
vs Weaker (7)76.370.9147.1+5.471%
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -3.0-3.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -3.0-3.0
KastelaSamobor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stoja
#9
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H26/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A03/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
31-22
31
22
+9
H10/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H17/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A11/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H15/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H21/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A28/01
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H04/02
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A11/02
Prva Liga
79.7Avg total
41.6Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.839.679.5+0.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.839.479.2+0.457%-
Last 30 away (16)39.939.879.7+0.156%-
Last 10 (10)41.638.179.7+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.437.077.4+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.843.879.5-8.025%-
vs Similar (5)38.237.876.0+0.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.236.580.8+7.792%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A26/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H03/12
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
26-53
26
53
-27
A11/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A17/12
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A07/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H14/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A22/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H28/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
22-46
22
46
-24
A05/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H11/02
Prva Liga
72.7Avg total
33.2Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.938.973.8-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.338.072.3-3.740%-
Last 30 away (15)35.539.775.3-4.227%-
Last 10 (10)33.239.572.7-6.330%-
Last 5 (5)32.837.870.6-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)34.141.675.7-7.521%-
vs Similar (4)36.235.872.0+0.550%-
vs Weaker (7)36.333.369.6+3.057%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kastela wins
0
Samobor wins
DateGameScore
19/11/22Samobor v Kastela66-86
05/02/22Samobor v Kastela65-81
07/11/21Kastela v Samobor71-66
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23ADubrovnik65-83
04/02/23HMladost70-57
28/01/23ASonik Puntamika92-90
21/01/23HKvarner80-75
15/01/23HHermes83-77
11/01/23AOsijek76-87
17/12/22HOmis85-83
10/12/22HKK Zagreb67-54
03/12/22AJazine82-85
26/11/22HStoja92-77
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23HHermes75-70
05/02/23AOsijek48-93
28/01/23HOmis69-76
22/01/23AKK Zagreb59-76
14/01/23HJazine63-87
07/01/23AStoja80-79
17/12/22AKvarner68-76
11/12/22ADubrovnik72-103
03/12/22HMladost73-79
26/11/22ASonik Puntamika78-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kastela
Prva Liga 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayWLLWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%78%56%
Points / game80.580.480.6
Allowed / game75.474.476.3
Point differential+5.1+6.0+4.2
Avg total155.9154.9156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%44%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Samobor
Prva Liga 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW22%
HomeLLLLW22%
AwayLLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %22%22%22%
Points / game69.770.868.6
Allowed / game81.380.082.7
Point differential-11.7-9.2-14.1
Avg total151.0150.8151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dubrovnik1817194%86.268.1+18.1
2 Osijek1814478%86.471.5+14.9
3 Kvarner1812667%77.668.9+8.7
4 KK Zagreb1812667%79.173.9+5.2
5 Kastela1812667%80.575.4+5.1
6 Omis1810856%79.175.3+3.8
7 Jazine1810856%80.281.1-0.9
8 Mladost1871139%82.184.9-2.8
9 Hermes1961332%78.886.6-7.8
10 Stoja1951426%81.088.7-7.7
11 Samobor1841422%69.781.3-11.7
12 Sonik Puntamika180180%70.394.2-23.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kastela22243027103
Samobor2217161065
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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