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Hermes vs Samobor Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 85-91
23-20 23-23 24-32 15-16
Position#8
Record7-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game92.6
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Samobor 🏆
Croatia
Position#5
Record7-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game83.7
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 15· Kosarkaski centar Drazen Petrovic
Other2023-24
Meetings · Hermes v Samobor
01 Feb 2025
HERM94
SAMO100
24 Jan 2024
HERM85
SAMO91
19 Mar 2023
HERM95
SAMO76
13 Nov 2022
HERM92
SAMO79
28 Nov 2021
HERM119
SAMO87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hermes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samobor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermes
Date
Competition
Stoja
#13
L
85-93
85
93
-8
77avg 89
H05/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
87-99
87
99
-12
89avg 89
A11/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
100-73
100
73
+27
104avg 89
H19/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
89-103
89
103
-14
87avg 89
A25/11
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
93-79
93
79
+14
96avg 89
H03/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
91-95
91
95
-4
82avg 89
A10/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
101-81
101
81
+20
101avg 89
H18/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
92-95
92
95
-3
87avg 89
H21/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
106-84
106
84
+22
109avg 89
H13/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
107-116 OT
107
116
-9
no box
H21/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-28
23-22
15-20
17-23
35-18
16-21
17-23
19-37
28-7
19-17
38-20
15-29
26-32
26-23
19-26
18-22
29-22
29-23
16-22
19-12
20-23
30-17
17-32
24-23
27-23
19-25
24-18
31-15
29-10
16-33
26-25
21-27
32-16
26-17
28-23
20-28
23-20
18-28
31-23
27-28
186.9Avg total
95.1Scored
91.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)92.690.0182.6+2.650%
Season at home (8)98.988.5187.4+10.462%
Season away (6)84.392.0176.3-7.733%
Last 10 (10)95.191.8186.9+3.340%
Last 5 (5)99.494.2193.6+5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)87.995.0182.9-7.129%
vs Similar ◀ (9)96.089.8185.8+6.278%
vs Weaker (14)97.182.6179.7+14.464%
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Kastela
#6
L
52-89
52
89
-37
36avg 73
H11/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
66-82
66
82
-16
49avg 73
A19/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
88-77
88
77
+11
84avg 73
H26/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#7
L
85-88
85
88
-3
79avg 73
A29/11
Croatian Cup
Jazine
#7
L
77-91
77
91
-14
61avg 73
A02/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
85-74
85
74
+11
74avg 73
H10/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
95-79
95
79
+16
89avg 73
A16/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
102-89
102
89
+13
96avg 73
H23/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
77-96
77
96
-19
69avg 73
A13/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
82-86
82
86
-4
82avg 73
H21/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-30
1-25
21-17
22-17
18-17
18-24
9-22
21-19
28-16
18-14
23-25
19-22
24-23
25-24
13-20
23-21
13-22
28-21
20-27
16-21
22-20
31-20
19-14
13-20
24-24
25-7
22-18
24-30
23-22
19-13
25-28
35-26
25-23
16-31
18-20
18-22
21-22
22-14
20-25
19-25
166.0Avg total
80.9Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.583.7164.2-3.250%
Season at home (6)80.783.2163.8-2.550%
Season away (8)80.484.1164.5-3.850%
Last 10 (10)80.985.1166.0-4.240%
Last 5 (5)88.284.8173.0+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)79.290.9170.1-11.612%
vs Similar ◀ (4)72.284.5156.8-12.225%
vs Weaker (9)89.879.4169.2+10.389%
This opponent (Hermes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.0+8.0Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -1.3-1.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.0+8.0Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -1.3-1.3
HermesSamobor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stoja
#13
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H05/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A11/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H19/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A25/11
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H03/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A10/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H18/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H21/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
58-33
58
33
+25
H13/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H21/01
Prva Liga
92.6Avg total
50.1Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.043.091.0+5.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.043.194.1+7.956%-
Last 30 away (14)44.643.087.6+1.657%-
Last 10 (10)50.142.592.6+7.670%-
Last 5 (5)48.042.490.4+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.647.088.6-5.414%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)46.844.190.9+2.767%-
vs Weaker (14)52.040.492.4+11.671%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kastela
#6
L
9-55
9
55
-46
H11/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A19/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H26/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#7
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A29/11
Croatian Cup
Jazine
#7
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A02/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H10/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A16/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H23/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A13/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H21/01
Prva Liga
82.1Avg total
40.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.443.583.9-3.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.741.681.4-1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)41.045.286.2-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)40.941.282.1-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)45.639.284.8+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)39.846.486.1-6.631%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)35.046.581.5-11.525%-
vs Weaker (9)43.036.879.8+6.267%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hermes: 92.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.218.3
56.8%
52.9%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.213.8
40.4%
32.9%41.4
🏀 Free throws18.814.8
78.7%
71.2%14.8
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.021.3
49.5%
52.9%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.3
35.0%
32.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws13.99.8
70.5%
71.2%9.8
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hermes
LWLWLWLWLL
Samobor
LLWWWLLWLL
#8
League position
#5
+7.3
Net rating
-5.6
116.0
Offensive rating
102.0
108.8
Defensive rating
107.6
58.7%
Effective FG%
50.6%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
17.6%
Turnover %
18.2%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.20
40.4%
3-point %
35.0%
72.3%
Assist %
60.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence116.0 · 102.0Defence108.8 · 107.6Shooting58.7% · 50.6%3-point %40.4% · 35.0%Ball care17.6% · 18.2%Off. rebounds24.9% · 28.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Hermes   ■ Samobor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Hermes wins
2
Samobor wins
DateGameScore
12/10/23Samobor v Hermes75-84
20/04/23Samobor v Hermes89-92
19/03/23Hermes v Samobor95-76
11/02/23Samobor v Hermes75-70
13/11/22Hermes v Samobor92-79
25/02/22Samobor v Hermes84-77
28/11/21Hermes v Samobor119-87
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HOsijek107-116 OT
13/01/24HCrikvenica106-84
21/12/23HJazine92-95
18/12/23HKK Zagreb101-81
10/12/23AMarsonia91-95
03/12/23HPodstrana93-79
25/11/23AKvarner89-103
19/11/23HOmis100-73
11/11/23AGorica87-99
05/11/23HStoja85-93
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HKvarner82-86
13/01/24AOsijek77-96
23/12/23HOmis102-89
16/12/23ACrikvenica95-79
10/12/23HGorica85-74
02/12/23AJazine77-91
29/11/23AKvarner85-88
26/11/23HStoja88-77
19/11/23AKK Zagreb66-82
11/11/23HKastela52-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hermes
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWWLWL62%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %50%62%33%
Points / game92.698.984.3
Allowed / game90.088.592.0
Point differential+2.6+10.4-7.7
Avg total182.6187.4176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %7%12%0%
Samobor
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game80.580.780.4
Allowed / game83.783.284.1
Point differential-3.2-2.5-3.8
Avg total164.2163.8164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Osijek1514193%91.076.1+14.9
2 Kvarner1413193%91.375.4+15.9
3 KK Zagreb1410471%82.471.1+11.3
4 Gorica149564%79.473.9+5.4
5 Jazine159660%87.086.9+0.1
6 Kastela148657%80.476.1+4.3
7 Hermes147750%92.690.0+2.6
8 Samobor147750%80.583.7-3.2
9 Omis157847%78.579.2-0.7
10 Marsonia1551033%80.985.9-4.9
11 Podstrana1441029%73.484.1-10.8
12 Mladost1541127%77.784.5-6.8
13 Crikvenica1421214%73.488.6-15.3
14 Stoja1521313%78.790.8-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hermes2323241585
Samobor2023321691
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