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Hills Hornets vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 May 2024
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 92-69
14-14 20-21 27-24 31-10
Position#8
Record3-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#15
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game105.3
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2024
Meetings · Hills Hornets v Illawarra Hawks
04 May 2024
HILL92
ILLA69
01 May 2022
HILL97
ILLA92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hills Hornets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hills HornetsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHornets
Date
Competition
Hornsby S.
#16
W
73-61
73
61
+12
no box
A14/07
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
96-89
96
89
+7
no box
A15/07
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
86-85
86
85
+1
no box
A22/07
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
74-77
74
77
-3
no box
H23/07
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
L
69-90
69
90
-21
no box
A29/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
94-105
94
105
-11
no box
A06/04
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
L
54-72
54
72
-18
no box
A13/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
W
93-83
93
83
+10
no box
A20/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
109-78
109
78
+31
no box
A26/04
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
W
77-76
77
76
+1
no box
H27/04
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-13
18-16
23-14
18-18
27-29
28-14
23-22
18-24
22-16
17-19
28-31
19-19
17-18
18-27
17-20
22-12
15-15
20-11
17-30
17-34
25-30
21-29
19-25
29-21
11-20
23-16
1-14
19-22
22-11
25-23
27-23
19-26
36-19
24-19
23-25
26-15
25-22
12-20
21-18
19-16
164.1Avg total
82.5Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.482.8168.2+2.660%
Season at home (1)77.076.0153.0+1.0100%
Season away (4)87.584.5172.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)82.581.6164.1+0.960%
Last 5 (5)85.482.8168.2+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.785.1161.9-8.429%
vs Similar (9)75.682.1157.7-6.633%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)89.373.5162.8+15.8100%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
88-85
88
85
+3
76avg 79
H04/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
106-115 OT
106
115
-9
no box
A07/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
113-108 OT
113
108
+5
no box
H10/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
94-100
94
100
-6
86avg 79
A13/03
NBL
Canberra
#2
L
69-101
69
101
-32
no box
A06/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
64-76
64
76
-12
no box
A13/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
L
92-95
92
95
-3
no box
H20/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
71-140
71
140
-69
no box
H21/04
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
L
69-107
69
107
-38
no box
H25/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
L
91-113
91
113
-22
no box
A27/04
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-17
11-25
24-21
22-22
29-25
28-31
27-18
16-26
19-25
31-24
23-26
24-22
24-30
23-24
18-22
29-24
22-28
12-23
9-25
26-25
16-21
13-20
16-21
19-14
26-18
31-21
14-34
21-22
18-35
16-48
22-35
15-22
10-35
25-25
23-25
11-22
26-32
18-26
18-21
29-34
189.7Avg total
85.7Scored
104.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.0105.3181.3-29.30%
Season at home (3)77.3114.0191.3-36.70%
Season away (3)74.796.7171.3-22.00%
Last 10 (10)85.7104.0189.7-18.320%
Last 5 (5)77.4106.2183.6-28.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)86.4104.2190.7-17.817%
vs Similar (16)91.786.9178.6+4.862%
vs Weaker (2)108.075.0183.0+33.0100%
This opponent (Hills Hornets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -2.1-2.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -2.1-2.1
Hills HornetsIllawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hills HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hornsby S.
#16
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A14/07
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A15/07
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A22/07
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H23/07
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A29/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A06/04
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A13/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A20/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
60-38
60
38
+22
A26/04
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H27/04
NBL1 East
80.7Avg total
42.0Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.980.3+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.440.380.7+0.146%-
Last 30 away (17)42.237.880.0+4.459%-
Last 10 (10)42.038.780.7+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.841.886.6+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.342.980.1-5.614%-
vs Similar (9)39.441.280.7-1.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.735.480.1+9.386%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H04/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
57-56
57
56
+1
A07/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H10/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A13/03
NBL
Canberra
#2
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A06/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A13/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H20/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
34-83
34
83
-49
H21/04
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
L
35-60
35
60
-25
H25/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A27/04
NBL1 East
96.2Avg total
42.9Scored
53.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.047.092.0-2.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.748.092.7-3.343%-
Last 30 away (16)45.246.191.3-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)42.953.396.2-10.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.856.296.0-16.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.252.292.4-12.133%-
vs Similar (16)47.944.292.1+3.850%-
vs Weaker (2)50.537.588.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Hills Hornets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hills Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 22% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.722.9
50.1%
-45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.4
33.3%
-25.2
🏀 Free throws27.919.5
69.9%
-19.5
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hills Hornets wins
1
Illawarra Hawks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24HBA CoE77-76
26/04/24APenrith P.109-78
20/04/24ACentral Coast Crusaders93-83
13/04/24ANorths Bears54-72
06/04/24AInner West Bulls94-105
29/07/23ACanberra69-90
23/07/23HBA CoE74-77
22/07/23AManly W.86-85
15/07/23ABankstown Bruins96-89
14/07/23AHornsby S.73-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits91-113
25/04/24HSutherland Sharks69-107
21/04/24HInner West Bulls71-140
20/04/24HPenrith P.92-95
13/04/24ABankstown Bruins64-76
06/04/24ACanberra69-101
13/03/24AMelbourne United94-100
10/03/24HMelbourne United113-108 OT
07/03/24AMelbourne United106-115 OT
04/03/24HNew Zealand Breakers88-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hills Hornets
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeW100%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %60%100%50%
Points / game85.477.087.5
Allowed / game82.876.084.5
Point differential+2.6+1.0+3.0
Avg total168.2153.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illawarra Hawks
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.077.374.7
Allowed / game105.3114.096.7
Point differential-29.3-36.7-22.0
Avg total181.3191.3171.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Maitland M.660100%96.073.5+22.5
2 Inner West Bulls87188%95.878.5+17.2
3 Canberra65183%82.569.5+13.0
4 Albury-Wodonga Bandits65183%96.084.8+11.2
5 Manly W.43175%95.880.0+15.8
6 Hills Hornets53260%85.482.8+2.6
7 Bankstown Bruins74357%76.774.3+2.4
8 Sutherland Sharks63350%83.281.7+1.5
9 Norths Bears63350%79.879.2+0.7
10 Sydney Comets73443%79.781.9-2.1
11 Central Coast Crusaders73443%87.689.9-2.3
12 BA CoE52340%85.684.4+1.2
13 Newcastle Falcons72529%69.978.9-9.0
14 Penrith P.61517%80.594.7-14.2
15 Hornsby S.8080%73.094.9-21.9
16 Illawarra Hawks6060%76.0105.3-29.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hills Hornets1420273192
Illawarra Hawks1421241069
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