Illawarra Hawks vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	90.9	90.6	181.5	+0.2	48%
Season at home (15)	93.5	90.7	184.2	+2.9	60%
Season away (16)	88.4	90.6	179.0	-2.2	38%
Last 10 (10)	92.9	89.7	182.6	+3.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	93.0	95.2	188.2	-2.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	89.2	100.8	190.0	-11.5	12%
vs Similar (19)	89.1	86.9	176.1	+2.2	58%
vs Weaker (3)	109.7	85.3	195.0	+24.3	100%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormUnited

Date

Competition

Adelaide

96-100

100

-4

90avg 85

A06/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

82-81

78avg 85

A12/01

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

86-107

107

-21

74avg 85

A19/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

93-77

+16

87avg 85

A26/01

NBL

Sydney

86-98

-12

73avg 85

A28/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

#10

99-83

+16

93avg 85

H03/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

94-81

+13

86avg 85

H11/02

NBL

Cairns Taipans

88-97

-9

72avg 85

A16/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

92-87

84avg 85

H18/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

115-106 OT

115

106

no box

H07/03

NBL

23-27

19-19

24-31

30-23

17-22

22-22

23-18

20-19

22-24

22-30

14-25

28-28

21-13

29-26

23-20

20-18

26-22

17-36

22-14

21-26

26-17

31-27

31-15

11-24

27-22

28-17

23-16

16-26

15-28

20-29

19-20

34-20

23-17

15-25

30-24

24-21

25-29

31-28

18-27

26-16

184.8Avg total

93.1Scored

91.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	94.1	88.3	182.4	+5.9	72%
Season at home (15)	97.4	88.7	186.1	+8.7	80%
Season away (14)	90.6	87.8	178.4	+2.9	64%
Last 10 (10)	93.1	91.7	184.8	+1.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	97.6	90.8	188.4	+6.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	95.1	93.8	188.9	+1.3	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	94.8	86.5	181.2	+8.3	80%

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Illawarra HawksMelbourne United

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	21.5	44.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	20.1	42.7	+2.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.6	22.8	45.4	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	21.6	45.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	24.0	47.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	20.1	24.6	44.8	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar (19)	23.5	20.0	43.5	+3.5	63%	-
vs Weaker (3)	24.0	22.7	46.7	+1.3	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	22.0	44.8	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	22.2	45.1	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.6	21.9	44.4	+0.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	22.1	44.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	22.6	45.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	22.2	22.2	44.4	+0.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.1	21.9	45.0	+1.1	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	23.7	46.9	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.6	26.0	49.6	-2.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.9	21.8	44.6	+1.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.7	23.5	48.2	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	23.4	48.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	22.4	25.0	47.4	-2.6	38%	-
vs Similar (19)	22.5	23.7	46.2	-1.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (3)	29.7	20.7	50.3	+9.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.6	23.5	47.1	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.1	23.1	48.2	+2.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	24.0	45.9	-2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	25.9	49.3	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	25.2	50.2	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	20.6	24.8	45.4	-4.2	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	25.1	22.9	48.0	+2.3	65%	-

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

55-35

+20

A25/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

42-48

-6

H28/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

50-44

H03/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

42-41

A09/02

NBL

Sydney

59-46

+13

A11/02

NBL

Perth

56-50

H15/02

NBL

Melbourne United

42-38

A18/02

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

44-51

-7

A28/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

42-42

H04/03

NBL

Melbourne United

57-56

A07/03

NBL

94.0Avg total

48.9Scored

45.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.8	45.2	91.1	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.2	46.1	92.3	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	45.5	44.5	90.0	+1.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.9	45.1	94.0	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	47.4	95.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	42.5	49.6	92.1	-7.1	38%	-
vs Similar (19)	46.0	43.7	89.7	+2.3	53%	-
vs Weaker (3)	53.7	43.3	97.0	+10.3	100%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

42-46

-4

A06/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

39-44

-5

A12/01

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

44-54

-10

A19/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

50-39

+11

A26/01

NBL

Sydney

43-58

-15

A28/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

#10

57-44

+13

H03/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

55-39

+16

H11/02

NBL

Cairns Taipans

35-57

-22

A16/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

38-42

-4

H18/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

56-57

-1

H07/03

NBL

93.9Avg total

45.9Scored

48.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.4	45.5	91.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	48.1	45.2	93.3	+2.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.5	45.9	90.4	-1.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.9	48.0	93.9	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	47.8	96.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	42.8	47.0	89.8	-4.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	48.2	44.8	93.0	+3.4	55%	-

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	21.6	42.9	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	22.2	44.1	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	21.1	41.9	-0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.7	42.8	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	21.8	46.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	21.4	20.9	42.2	+0.5	38%	-
vs Similar (19)	20.5	21.7	42.2	-1.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (3)	26.7	23.0	49.7	+3.7	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	19.9	42.8	+2.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.9	20.6	44.4	+3.3	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	19.2	40.9	+2.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	21.0	43.7	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	20.4	44.6	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	24.6	19.2	43.8	+5.4	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.9	20.3	42.2	+1.6	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	22.4	45.5	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	26.4	22.0	48.4	+4.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	22.8	43.1	-2.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	21.4	43.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	23.0	42.2	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	21.9	25.8	47.6	-3.9	25%	-
vs Similar (19)	22.6	21.6	44.2	+1.1	58%	-
vs Weaker (3)	29.3	19.0	48.3	+10.3	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.4	22.4	46.8	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.2	22.2	46.4	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.5	22.7	47.2	+1.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	22.1	45.1	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.4	43.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	25.4	25.2	50.6	+0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.9	21.1	44.9	+2.8	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.4	44.0	88.5	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	48.2	44.2	92.4	+4.0	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.1	43.9	85.0	-2.8	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	43.1	86.5	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	44.8	88.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	43.2	46.6	89.9	-3.4	12%	-
vs Similar (19)	43.1	43.3	86.4	-0.2	47%	-
vs Weaker (3)	56.0	42.0	98.0	+14.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.2	42.4	89.6	+4.8	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	48.1	42.8	90.9	+5.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	46.1	41.9	88.1	+4.2	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.7	43.1	88.8	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	41.8	88.2	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	50.0	44.4	94.4	+5.6	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	45.8	41.4	87.2	+4.4	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 90.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game

51%

30%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.2	23.4	49.6%	50.9%	46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.3	32.2%	33.9%	24.9
🏀 Free throws	25.8	18.5	71.7%	73.8%	18.5

They take 73.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 90.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀56%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 56% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game

51%

30%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.9	25.2	53.7%	50.9%	50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.4	9.1	34.5%	33.9%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	18.8	12.9	68.6%	73.8%	12.9

They take 73.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.3	22.6	52.2%	50.9%	45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	8.7	33.1%	33.9%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	21.5	15.7	73.0%	73.8%	15.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.0	23.4	52.0%	50.9%	46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.9	34.5%	33.9%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	21.1	15.5	73.5%	73.8%	15.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.0	23.9	50.8%	50.9%	47.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	8.6	33.1%	33.9%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.3	71.4%	73.8%	15.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.8	22.9	52.4%	50.9%	45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.8	10.2	36.5%	33.9%	30.5
🏀 Free throws	22.0	15.5	70.5%	73.8%	15.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.7	22.0	52.8%	50.9%	44.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	9.6	34.2%	33.9%	28.7
🏀 Free throws	22.0	15.8	71.8%	73.8%	15.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.2	22.5	47.7%	50.9%	45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	8.4	34.3%	33.9%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	21.1	15.5	73.4%	73.8%	15.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Illawarra Hawks

LWLLWWLWWW

Melbourne United

WWLWWLWLWL

League position

+4.0

Net rating

+2.0

112.0

Offensive rating

111.2

108.1

Defensive rating

109.2

49.1%

Effective FG%

53.0%

51.2%

Opp. effective FG%

51.9%

16.7%

Turnover %

13.7%

39.1%

Off. rebound %

27.9%

0.35

Free-throw rate

0.26

32.2%

3-point %

34.5%

55.5%

Assist %

54.5%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Illawarra Hawks ■ Melbourne United

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Illawarra Hawks wins

Melbourne United wins

Date	Game	Score
07/03/24	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	115-106 OT
18/02/24	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	92-87
29/10/23	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	96-84
20/10/23	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	91-101
18/12/22	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	88-77
05/12/22	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	93-79
29/10/22	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	100-106 OT
02/04/22	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	90-96
27/03/22	Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks	77-92
16/01/22	Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United	84-88

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/03/24	A	Melbourne United	106-115 OT
04/03/24	H	New Zealand Breakers	88-85
28/02/24	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	76-92
18/02/24	A	Melbourne United	87-92
15/02/24	H	Perth	108-92
11/02/24	A	Sydney	106-95
09/02/24	A	New Zealand Breakers	85-88
03/02/24	H	Brisbane Bullets	89-76
28/01/24	H	New Zealand Breakers	89-85
25/01/24	A	Perth	95-77

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/03/24	H	Illawarra Hawks	115-106 OT
18/02/24	H	Illawarra Hawks	92-87
16/02/24	A	Cairns Taipans	88-97
11/02/24	H	New Zealand Breakers	94-81
03/02/24	H	South East Melbourne	99-83
28/01/24	A	Sydney	86-98
26/01/24	A	Brisbane Bullets	93-77
19/01/24	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	86-107
12/01/24	A	New Zealand Breakers	82-81
06/01/24	A	Adelaide	96-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2023-24

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	48%
Home	LWWWW	60%
Away	LWLLL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	15	16
Win %	48%	60%	38%
Points / game	90.9	93.5	88.4
Allowed / game	90.6	90.7	90.6
Point differential	+0.2	+2.9	-2.2
Avg total	181.5	184.2	179.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	27%	19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (10)	75% (4)	50% (6)
Overtime %	6%	0%	12%

Melbourne United

NBL 2023-24

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	72%
Home	WWWWW	80%
Away	WLWLL	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	72%	80%	64%
Points / game	94.1	97.4	90.6
Allowed / game	88.3	88.7	87.8
Point differential	+5.9	+8.7	+2.9
Avg total	182.4	186.1	178.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	41%	53%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	50% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	10%	20%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Melbourne United	29	21	8	72%	94.1	88.3	+5.9
2	Perth	29	18	11	62%	93.8	91.2	+2.6
3	Tasmania JackJumpers	30	17	13	57%	91.2	84.8	+6.5
4	Illawarra Hawks	31	15	16	48%	90.9	90.6	+0.2
5	New Zealand Breakers	30	14	16	47%	88.9	88.1	+0.7
6	Brisbane Bullets	28	13	15	46%	87.8	90.5	-2.7
7	Sydney	29	13	16	45%	94.8	92.6	+2.2
8	Cairns Taipans	28	12	16	43%	89.5	92.5	-3.0
9	Adelaide	28	12	16	43%	87.8	91.5	-3.8
10	South East Melbourne	28	10	18	36%	86.6	96.1	-9.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Illawarra Hawks	19	31	23	24	16	113
Melbourne United	25	24	26	22	11	108

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Illawarra Hawks vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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