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Hills Hornets vs Norths Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 May 2025
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 77-76
17-23 21-20 21-18 18-15
Position#11
Record1-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#4
Record3-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game74.5
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2025
Meetings · Hills Hornets v Norths Bears
03 May 2025
HILL77
NORT76
13 Jul 2024
HILL102
NORT74
03 Jun 2023
HILL88
NORT93
30 Jul 2022
HILL77
NORT80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hills Hornets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Norths Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hills HornetsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney Comets
#7
L
94-113
94
113
-19
A26/06
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A29/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
W
95-81
95
81
+14
H06/07
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
70-98
70
98
-28
H07/07
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
W
95-89
95
89
+6
A12/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
W
102-74
102
74
+28
H13/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
70-77
70
77
-7
H05/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
L
82-85
82
85
-3
A11/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
L
84-88
84
88
-4
A12/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
83-66
83
66
+17
A26/04
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-31
22-24
22-35
35-23
22-13
23-24
19-26
12-15
32-18
27-15
17-29
19-19
20-23
16-25
14-27
20-23
23-20
21-24
20-17
31-28
18-15
26-21
30-17
28-21
22-20
15-20
15-23
18-14
25-19
21-16
10-22
26-28
26-29
17-19
24-18
17-22
23-19
21-19
16-12
23-16
170.0Avg total
85.1Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.879.0158.8+0.825%
Season at home (1)70.077.0147.0-7.00%
Season away (3)83.079.7162.7+3.333%
Last 10 (10)85.184.9170.0+0.240%
Last 5 (5)84.278.0162.2+6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)77.391.8169.2-14.517%
vs Similar (4)80.281.8162.0-1.525%
vs Weaker (14)91.981.1172.9+10.886%
This opponent (Norths Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Norths BearsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutherland Sharks
#11
W
88-80
88
80
+8
A05/07
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
98-81
98
81
+17
A06/07
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
85-87
85
87
-2
H12/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
74-102
74
102
-28
A13/07
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A29/03
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
L
61-80
61
80
-19
A05/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
63-81
63
81
-18
H12/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
W
77-65
77
65
+12
A13/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A25/04
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H27/04
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
22-17
16-27
27-22
15-17
29-20
31-14
23-30
24-26
14-22
26-19
21-20
15-18
21-26
17-30
21-28
16-20
14-21
19-28
21-17
25-23
16-17
12-17
8-23
17-21
13-20
20-14
13-26
21-15
14-18
19-17
23-15
11-19
22-6
20-16
12-19
23-20
24-17
16-18
21-20
156.2Avg total
76.5Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)70.074.5144.5-4.550%
Season at home (2)73.578.0151.5-4.550%
Season away (4)68.272.8141.0-4.550%
Last 10 (10)76.579.7156.2-3.250%
Last 5 (5)70.072.2142.2-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.191.5172.6-10.410%
vs Similar (9)71.477.9149.3-6.433%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)92.177.7169.8+14.4100%
This opponent (Hills Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -3.0-3.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -3.0-3.0
Hills HornetsNorths Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hills HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney Comets
#7
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A26/06
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A29/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
W
59-33
59
33
+26
H06/07
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H07/07
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A12/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H13/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H05/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A11/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A12/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A26/04
NBL1 East
84.9Avg total
43.5Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.642.184.6+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.243.985.2-2.725%-
Last 30 away (18)43.440.884.3+2.656%-
Last 10 (10)43.541.484.9+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)42.839.482.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.246.785.9-7.417%-
vs Similar (4)39.042.281.2-3.225%-
vs Weaker (14)46.438.184.5+8.471%-
This opponent (Norths Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Norths BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutherland Sharks
#11
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A05/07
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A06/07
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H12/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A13/07
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A29/03
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A05/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H12/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A13/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A25/04
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H27/04
NBL1 East
75.6Avg total
37.9Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.882.3+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.944.286.1-2.336%-
Last 30 away (16)41.137.878.9+3.369%-
Last 10 (10)37.937.775.6+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)37.235.272.4+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.845.387.1-3.520%-
vs Similar (9)37.940.278.1-2.356%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.237.281.4+7.082%-
This opponent (Hills Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hills Hornets wins
4
Norths Bears wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/25AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits83-66
12/04/25AMaitland M.84-88
11/04/25APenrith P.82-85
05/04/25HSutherland Sharks70-77
13/07/24HNorths Bears102-74
12/07/24AIllawarra Hawks95-89
07/07/24HManly W.70-98
06/07/24HCentral Coast Crusaders95-81
29/06/24ANewcastle Falcons76-78
26/06/24ASydney Comets94-113
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25HSutherland Sharks84-75
25/04/25ASydney Comets65-60
13/04/25ACentral Coast Crusaders77-65
12/04/25HCanberra63-81
05/04/25AManly W.61-80
29/03/25ABankstown Bruins70-86
13/07/24AHills Hornets74-102
12/07/24HManly W.85-87
06/07/24APenrith P.98-81
05/07/24ASutherland Sharks88-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hills Hornets
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeL0%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%0%33%
Points / game79.870.083.0
Allowed / game79.077.079.7
Point differential+0.8-7.0+3.3
Avg total158.8147.0162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Norths Bears
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game70.073.568.2
Allowed / game74.578.072.8
Point differential-4.5-4.5-4.5
Avg total144.5151.5141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Canberra660100%97.276.2+21.0
2 Maitland M.54180%92.679.8+12.8
3 Sutherland Sharks54180%80.873.6+7.2
4 BA CoE43175%92.266.8+25.5
5 Inner West Bulls43175%93.886.2+7.5
6 Illawarra Hawks 253260%81.282.8-1.6
7 Sydney Comets63350%73.271.2+2.0
8 Manly W.63350%79.078.3+0.7
9 Norths Bears63350%70.074.5-4.5
10 Bankstown Bruins73443%77.385.0-7.7
11 Central Coast Crusaders52340%79.478.8+0.6
12 Penrith P.62433%77.589.8-12.3
13 Hills Hornets41325%79.879.0+0.8
14 Newcastle Falcons51420%74.280.4-6.2
15 Albury-Wodonga Bandits51420%71.688.4-16.8
16 Hornsby S.5050%73.493.8-20.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hills Hornets1721211877
Norths Bears2320181576
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