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Hills Hornets vs Norths Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 102-74
18-15 26-21 30-17 28-21
Position#8
Record10-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game88.6
vs
Position#10
Record10-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game84.2
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2024
Meetings · Hills Hornets v Norths Bears
03 May 2025
HILL77
NORT76
13 Jul 2024
HILL102
NORT74
03 Jun 2023
HILL88
NORT93
30 Jul 2022
HILL77
NORT80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hills Hornets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Norths Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hills HornetsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hornsby S.
#14
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A25/05
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
112-109 OT
112
109
+3
H02/06
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
W
105-81
105
81
+24
H15/06
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
L
76-101
76
101
-25
H22/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
81-93
81
93
-12
H23/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
94-113
94
113
-19
A26/06
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A29/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
W
95-81
95
81
+14
H06/07
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
70-98
70
98
-28
H07/07
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
W
95-89
95
89
+6
A12/07
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-30
26-14
29-25
20-12
32-23
16-31
17-25
32-18
31-15
26-19
27-21
21-26
18-31
21-25
26-20
11-25
13-24
22-25
29-24
17-20
15-31
22-24
22-35
35-23
22-13
23-24
19-26
12-15
32-18
27-15
17-29
19-19
20-23
16-25
14-27
20-23
23-20
21-24
20-17
31-28
181.7Avg total
89.3Scored
92.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)86.988.6175.5-1.753%
Season at home (9)86.089.3175.3-3.356%
Season away (10)87.788.0175.7-0.350%
Last 10 (10)89.392.4181.7-3.150%
Last 5 (5)86.091.8177.8-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.093.2171.2-15.218%
vs Similar ◀ (3)74.386.0160.3-11.70%
vs Weaker (16)91.878.2170.0+13.594%
This opponent (Norths Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Norths BearsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hornsby S.
#14
W
107-88
107
88
+19
H18/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
82-83
82
83
-1
A25/05
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A26/05
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
L
72-83
72
83
-11
H01/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
W
110-100
110
100
+10
H15/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
90-99
90
99
-9
H22/06
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
93-112
93
112
-19
H29/06
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
W
88-80
88
80
+8
A05/07
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
98-81
98
81
+17
A06/07
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
85-87
85
87
-2
H12/07
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
25-25
37-17
26-25
19-23
28-19
11-19
24-22
19-18
22-15
18-17
20-21
15-19
25-24
14-28
18-12
31-25
29-22
23-35
27-18
22-22
19-26
23-16
26-35
28-26
19-22
24-27
22-37
23-14
22-17
16-27
27-22
15-17
29-20
31-14
23-30
24-26
14-22
26-19
21-20
178.8Avg total
90.4Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)86.184.2170.3+1.953%
Season at home (10)89.288.3177.5+0.950%
Season away (9)82.779.6162.2+3.156%
Last 10 (10)90.488.4178.8+2.050%
Last 5 (5)90.891.8182.6-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)83.392.9176.2-9.610%
vs Similar ◀ (9)72.676.2148.8-3.733%
vs Weaker (11)94.880.6175.5+14.2100%
This opponent (Hills Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
Hills HornetsNorths Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hills HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hornsby S.
#14
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A25/05
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H02/06
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H15/06
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H22/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H23/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A26/06
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A29/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
W
59-33
59
33
+26
H06/07
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H07/07
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A12/07
NBL1 East
89.4Avg total
44.0Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.541.284.7+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.042.785.7+0.343%-
Last 30 away (16)43.939.983.8+4.156%-
Last 10 (10)44.045.489.4-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)44.243.487.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.547.386.7-7.818%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)40.340.781.0-0.333%-
vs Weaker (16)46.937.184.0+9.875%-
This opponent (Norths Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Norths BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hornsby S.
#14
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H18/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A25/05
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A26/05
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H01/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H15/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H22/06
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H29/06
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A05/07
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A06/07
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H12/07
NBL1 East
87.0Avg total
44.7Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.442.284.6+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.944.586.4-2.733%-
Last 30 away (15)43.039.982.9+3.160%-
Last 10 (10)44.742.387.0+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.042.485.4+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)43.246.789.9-3.520%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.343.081.3-4.733%-
vs Weaker (11)45.137.582.5+7.682%-
This opponent (Hills Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hills Hornets wins
4
Norths Bears wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/07/24AIllawarra Hawks95-89
07/07/24HManly W.70-98
06/07/24HCentral Coast Crusaders95-81
29/06/24ANewcastle Falcons76-78
26/06/24ASydney Comets94-113
23/06/24HBankstown Bruins81-93
22/06/24HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits76-101
15/06/24HSutherland Sharks105-81
02/06/24HPenrith P.112-109 OT
25/05/24AHornsby S.89-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/07/24HManly W.85-87
06/07/24APenrith P.98-81
05/07/24ASutherland Sharks88-80
29/06/24HMaitland M.93-112
22/06/24HSydney Comets90-99
15/06/24HCentral Coast Crusaders110-100
01/06/24HCanberra72-83
26/05/24ANewcastle Falcons79-71
25/05/24AManly W.82-83
18/05/24HHornsby S.107-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hills Hornets
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW53%
HomeWLLWL56%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %53%56%50%
Points / game86.986.087.7
Allowed / game88.689.388.0
Point differential-1.7-3.3-0.3
Avg total175.5175.3175.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%33%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Norths Bears
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL53%
HomeLWLLL50%
AwayWLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %53%50%56%
Points / game86.189.282.7
Allowed / game84.288.379.6
Point differential+1.9+0.9+3.1
Avg total170.3177.5162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%50%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Canberra1917289%87.874.7+13.2
2 Maitland M.1916384%100.583.1+17.4
3 Manly W.1915479%90.477.5+12.8
4 BA CoE2014670%91.081.4+9.6
5 Albury-Wodonga Bandits1913668%94.189.2+4.9
6 Inner West Bulls1912763%93.183.7+9.3
7 Sydney Comets1911858%88.683.5+5.1
8 Norths Bears1910953%86.184.2+1.9
9 Bankstown Bruins1910953%80.481.2-0.8
10 Hills Hornets1910953%86.988.6-1.7
11 Sutherland Sharks1871139%80.389.0-8.7
12 Newcastle Falcons1971237%75.080.8-5.8
13 Central Coast Crusaders1941521%84.994.3-9.4
14 Hornsby S.1931616%80.093.5-13.5
15 Illawarra Hawks1921711%82.7100.8-18.1
16 Penrith P.191185%80.197.3-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hills Hornets18263028102
Norths Bears1521172174
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