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Nagasaki vs Hiroshima D. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 05:35
Final 84-71
13-19 26-14 22-22 23-16
Position#1
Record28-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game93.7
Allowed / game77.9
Nagasaki 🏆
Japan
vs
Hiroshima D.
Japan
Position#13
Record19-14
FormWLLWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game82.6
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nagasaki v Hiroshima D.
03 Jan 2027
NAGA v HIRO
upcoming
02 Jan 2027
NAGA v HIRO
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
NAGA82
HIRO83
01 Feb 2026
NAGA98
HIRO74
31 Jan 2026
NAGA84
HIRO71
26 Mar 2025
NAGA77
HIRO78
17 Apr 2024
NAGA89
HIRO78
31 Dec 2023
NAGA68
HIRO86
30 Dec 2023
NAGA64
HIRO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hiroshima D. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
102-70
102
70
+32
98avg 81
H20/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
85-71
85
71
+14
77avg 81
H21/12
B League
Shimane
#14
L
93-101
93
101
-8
84avg 81
A24/12
B League
Chiba
#6
W
86-79
86
79
+7
77avg 81
H27/12
B League
Chiba
#6
W
93-77
93
77
+16
83avg 81
H28/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
100-85
100
85
+15
100avg 81
H03/01
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
91-78
91
78
+13
86avg 81
H04/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
95-70
95
70
+25
94avg 81
A24/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
87-95
87
95
-8
77avg 81
A25/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
73avg 81
A28/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
26-17
24-19
28-11
18-20
32-18
18-21
17-12
25-27
27-26
16-22
25-26
22-15
22-23
19-18
23-23
19-19
18-18
19-20
37-20
33-19
21-20
30-22
16-24
25-30
30-21
16-13
20-14
30-18
24-15
22-19
19-18
23-26
17-23
27-26
20-20
19-23
14-25
19-10
20-14
173.0Avg total
91.7Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)93.777.9171.5+15.885%
Season at home (17)92.976.4169.4+16.594%
Season away (16)94.479.4173.9+15.075%
Last 10 (10)91.781.3173.0+10.470%
Last 5 (5)91.683.0174.6+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)94.077.9171.9+16.087%
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormD.
Date
Competition
Gunma
#5
W
88-65
88
65
+23
88avg 78
A20/12
B League
Gunma
#5
W
83-76
83
76
+7
77avg 78
A21/12
B League
Shiga
#18
W
105-90
105
90
+15
100avg 78
H24/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
72-87
72
87
-15
61avg 78
H27/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
98-88
98
88
+10
91avg 78
H28/12
B League
Alvark
#8
W
87-79
87
79
+8
83avg 78
A03/01
B League
Alvark
#8
L
72-95
72
95
-23
64avg 78
A04/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
89-91
89
91
-2
79avg 78
A24/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
77-74
77
74
+3
71avg 78
A25/01
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
106-79
106
79
+27
120avg 78
H28/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
25-22
17-11
20-9
20-18
16-24
23-15
24-19
20-27
28-17
31-30
26-16
24-20
18-16
23-30
7-21
23-23
38-23
16-24
21-18
23-20
17-28
25-12
22-19
21-23
19-26
15-25
17-21
23-22
21-22
19-26
26-21
21-12
21-20
12-22
23-20
25-19
30-19
30-19
21-22
170.1Avg total
87.7Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)85.882.6168.3+3.258%
Season at home (15)87.485.8173.2+1.647%
Season away (18)84.479.9164.3+4.567%
Last 10 (10)87.782.4170.1+5.370%
Last 5 (5)86.283.6169.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)74.082.3156.3-8.329%
vs Similar (15)87.482.6170.0+4.860%
vs Weaker (8)90.480.6171.0+9.875%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +2.1+2.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +2.1+2.1
NagasakiHiroshima D.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H20/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H21/12
B League
Shimane
#14
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A24/12
B League
Chiba
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H27/12
B League
Chiba
#6
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H28/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H03/01
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H04/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A24/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A25/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A28/01
B League
89.5Avg total
46.9Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.940.288.1+7.777%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.540.387.8+7.281%-
Last 30 away (14)48.440.188.5+8.471%-
Last 10 (10)46.942.689.5+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)47.244.091.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)47.940.288.1+7.777%-
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#5
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A20/12
B League
Gunma
#5
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A21/12
B League
Shiga
#18
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H24/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H27/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
61-46
61
46
+15
H28/12
B League
Alvark
#8
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A03/01
B League
Alvark
#8
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A04/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A24/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A25/01
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H28/01
B League
88.3Avg total
45.9Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.843.888.6+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.344.692.9+3.757%-
Last 30 away (16)41.743.284.9-1.544%-
Last 10 (10)45.942.488.3+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)44.242.286.4+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.946.083.9-8.114%-
vs Similar (15)46.544.991.3+1.647%-
vs Weaker (8)47.640.087.6+7.688%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.4
54.1%
53.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.713.4
37.5%
33.7%40.2
🏀 Free throws18.614.5
78.0%
73.1%14.5
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hiroshima D.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hiroshima D.: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.5
54.1%
53.1%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.711.6
37.8%
33.7%34.8
🏀 Free throws21.315.1
70.9%
73.1%15.1
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
LLWWWWWLWW
Hiroshima D.
WWLLWWLWWW
#1
League position
#13
+13.6
Net rating
+6.5
111.2
Offensive rating
110.1
97.6
Defensive rating
103.6
55.2%
Effective FG%
55.3%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
14.8%
Turnover %
16.4%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.5%
3-point %
37.8%
65.4%
Assist %
64.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 110.1Defence97.6 · 103.6Shooting55.2% · 55.3%3-point %37.5% · 37.8%Ball care14.8% · 16.4%Off. rebounds28.2% · 33.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Hiroshima D.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nagasaki wins
6
Hiroshima D. wins
DateGameScore
10/12/25Hiroshima D. v Nagasaki74-105
26/03/25Nagasaki v Hiroshima D.77-78
11/01/25Hiroshima D. v Nagasaki82-70
10/01/25Hiroshima D. v Nagasaki78-71
11/12/24Hiroshima D. v Nagasaki88-82
17/04/24Nagasaki v Hiroshima D.89-78
31/01/24Hiroshima D. v Nagasaki74-85
31/12/23Nagasaki v Hiroshima D.68-86
30/12/23Nagasaki v Hiroshima D.64-79
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/26ASeaHorses Mikawa85-87 OT
25/01/26ANeoPhoenix87-95
24/01/26ANeoPhoenix95-70
04/01/26HYokohama91-78
03/01/26HYokohama100-85
28/12/25HChiba93-77
27/12/25HChiba86-79
24/12/25AShimane93-101
21/12/25HSun Rockers Shibuya85-71
20/12/25HSun Rockers Shibuya102-70
Hiroshima D.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/26HKyoto106-79
25/01/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles77-74
24/01/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles89-91
04/01/26AAlvark72-95
03/01/26AAlvark87-79
28/12/25HIbaraki Robots98-88
27/12/25HIbaraki Robots72-87
24/12/25HShiga105-90
21/12/25AGunma83-76
20/12/25AGunma88-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL85%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWLWLL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %85%94%75%
Points / game93.792.994.4
Allowed / game77.976.479.4
Point differential+15.8+16.5+15.0
Avg total171.5169.4173.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%71%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Hiroshima D.
B League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW58%
HomeLWLWW47%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331518
Win %58%47%67%
Points / game85.887.484.4
Allowed / game82.685.879.9
Point differential+3.2+1.6+4.5
Avg total168.3173.2164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%47%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)0% (2)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki3328585%93.777.9+15.8
2 Diamond Dolphins3427779%84.072.4+11.6
3 Hokkaido3426876%88.183.1+5.0
4 Utsunomiya Brex3325876%85.478.6+6.8
5 Chiba3425974%82.174.8+7.2
6 Alvark33221167%81.077.6+3.4
7 Gunma33211264%83.475.0+8.4
8 Ryukyu33211264%82.275.8+6.4
9 SeaHorses Mikawa33211264%83.478.9+4.4
10 Sendai34201459%79.478.3+1.1
11 Hiroshima D.33191458%85.882.6+3.2
12 Saga34191556%81.381.8-0.5
13 Shimane33171652%83.181.8+1.3
14 NeoPhoenix34161847%82.682.6+0.0
15 Osaka34151944%81.081.7-0.7
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya33141942%77.081.5-4.5
17 Nagoya Fighting Eagles33132039%81.283.6-2.4
18 Yokohama34122235%78.082.1-4.1
19 Koshigaya Alphas34122235%72.480.0-7.6
20 Shiga34112332%80.487.3-7.0
21 Altiri Chiba34102429%78.984.1-5.3
22 Ibaraki Robots3392427%75.879.8-4.1
23 Toyama3392427%82.590.4-7.8
24 Kyoto3392427%71.081.1-10.1
25 Brave Thunders3382524%76.484.3-7.9
26 Akita3462818%72.885.0-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki1326222384
Hiroshima D.1914221671
← all games of the day
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