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Hobart Chargers vs Mt Gambier Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 77-87
19-19 20-23 17-31 21-14
Position#8
Record10-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game84.4
vs
Position#2
Record11-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game96.6
Allowed / game85.7
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Hobart Chargers v Mt Gambier
04 Jul 2025
HOBA77
MT G87
07 Jul 2023
HOBA102
MT G87
03 Sep 2022
HOBA78
MT G62
28 May 2021
HOBA107
MT G79
04 Aug 2017
HOBA88
MT G80
19 Aug 2016
HOBA65
MT G79
17 Jun 2016
HOBA86
MT G83
24 Jul 2015
HOBA51
MT G86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hobart Chargers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mt Gambier winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hobart ChargersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
101-102
101
102
-1
A04/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
87-88
87
88
-1
H09/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
89-69
89
69
+20
H16/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
89-66
89
66
+23
H23/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
96-85
96
85
+11
H30/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
97-93
97
93
+4
A14/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
W
91-79
91
79
+12
A15/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
90-94
90
94
-4
H20/06
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
90-97
90
97
-7
A28/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
92-91 OT
92
91
+1
A29/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
21-30
22-27
32-21
25-26
22-23
16-21
24-18
26-25
26-13
19-12
18-19
22-16
16-21
20-16
31-13
27-25
23-27
23-10
23-23
28-21
22-23
23-26
24-23
22-31
27-15
22-22
20-11
20-21
30-19
22-22
18-32
25-33
19-24
22-24
24-16
27-21
25-14
18-29
14-20
178.6Avg total
92.2Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)87.584.4171.8+3.159%
Season at home (9)88.181.4169.6+6.756%
Season away (8)86.887.6174.4-0.962%
Last 10 (10)92.286.4178.6+5.860%
Last 5 (5)92.090.8182.8+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)75.089.1164.1-14.122%
vs Similar (10)85.479.7165.1+5.760%
vs Weaker (11)93.085.7178.7+7.373%
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mt GambierAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston
#12
L
100-115
100
115
-15
A04/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
93-91
93
91
+2
A10/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
94-88
94
88
+6
H18/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
116-69
116
69
+47
A24/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
100-70
100
70
+30
A25/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
96-98
96
98
-2
H30/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
100-99
100
99
+1
A14/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
105-106 OT
105
106
-1
A15/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
84-95
84
95
-11
H20/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
96-76
96
76
+20
H27/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-34
27-27
26-25
22-29
23-23
28-22
30-21
12-25
37-25
16-31
17-18
24-14
42-11
31-18
20-19
23-21
27-19
31-12
19-24
23-15
35-24
16-27
27-20
18-27
29-25
21-17
33-32
17-25
20-20
20-26
27-30
22-13
24-16
19-25
19-40
22-14
24-20
23-21
26-16
23-19
189.1Avg total
98.4Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)96.685.7182.4+10.965%
Season at home (8)91.681.9173.5+9.862%
Season away (9)101.189.1190.2+12.067%
Last 10 (10)98.490.7189.1+7.760%
Last 5 (5)96.294.8191.0+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)80.885.5166.2-4.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)94.982.9177.8+12.069%
This opponent (Hobart Chargers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +6.9+6.9Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +6.9+6.9Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
Hobart ChargersMt Gambier
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hobart ChargersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A04/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H09/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H16/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H23/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H30/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A14/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A15/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H20/06
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A28/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A29/06
NBL1 South
93.1Avg total
47.9Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.543.687.1-0.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.641.686.3+3.071%-
Last 30 away (16)42.445.387.8-2.944%-
Last 10 (10)47.945.293.1+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)49.044.493.4+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.345.885.1-6.433%-
vs Similar (10)44.239.083.2+5.280%-
vs Weaker (11)46.246.092.2+0.255%-
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston
#12
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A04/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A10/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H18/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
73-29
73
29
+44
A24/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
58-31
58
31
+27
A25/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H30/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A14/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A15/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H20/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H27/06
NBL1 South
96.1Avg total
51.8Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.441.089.4+7.467%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.341.386.6+4.056%-
Last 30 away (14)52.040.692.6+11.479%-
Last 10 (10)51.844.396.1+7.560%-
Last 5 (5)46.244.290.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)38.040.878.8-2.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)50.041.091.1+9.073%-
This opponent (Hobart Chargers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Hobart Chargers wins
4
Mt Gambier wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/06/25ANunawading92-91 OT
28/06/25AWaverley90-97
20/06/25HKnox90-94
15/06/25AMelbourne Tigers91-79
14/06/25ADandenong97-93
30/05/25HNW Tasmania96-85
23/05/25HRingwood89-66
16/05/25HEltham89-69
09/05/25HNunawading87-88
04/05/25ABendigo Braves101-102
Mt Gambierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/06/25HDiamond Valley96-76
20/06/25HMelbourne Tigers84-95
15/06/25AKnox105-106 OT
14/06/25AKilsyth100-99
30/05/25HDandenong96-98
25/05/25ABendigo Braves100-70
24/05/25ABallarat116-69
18/05/25HGeelong94-88
10/05/25ACasey Cavaliers93-91
04/05/25AFrankston100-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hobart Chargers
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW59%
HomeLWWWL56%
AwayLWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %59%56%62%
Points / game87.588.186.8
Allowed / game84.481.487.6
Point differential+3.1+6.7-0.9
Avg total171.8169.6174.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%44%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)0% (4)80% (5)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Mt Gambier
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW65%
HomeWWLLW62%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %65%62%67%
Points / game96.691.6101.1
Allowed / game85.781.989.1
Point differential+10.9+9.8+12.0
Avg total182.4173.5190.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%38%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox1814478%91.382.9+8.3
2 Mt Gambier1711665%96.685.7+10.9
3 Melbourne Tigers1711665%87.679.5+8.1
4 Casey Cavaliers1710759%89.185.0+4.1
5 Hobart Chargers1710759%87.584.4+3.1
6 Ballarat1710759%88.591.9-3.4
7 Sandringham Sabres169756%92.591.2+1.3
8 Kilsyth1810856%87.285.4+1.8
9 Eltham179853%87.086.3+0.7
10 Waverley179853%93.094.4-1.4
11 Ringwood189950%93.990.9+3.1
12 Frankston178947%92.388.5+3.8
13 Nunawading178947%86.286.9-0.8
14 Bendigo Braves1981142%84.493.3-8.9
15 Geelong1771041%83.788.6-4.9
16 Keilor Thunder1661038%82.689.2-6.6
17 NW Tasmania1751229%86.388.6-2.4
18 Diamond Valley1751229%84.593.8-9.4
19 Dandenong1741324%89.196.6-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hobart Chargers1920172177
Mt Gambier1923311487
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