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Hogsbo vs Ockelbo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 109-61
22-12 30-16 25-13 32-20
Position#1
Record13-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game79.1
vs
Position#10
Record8-9
FormWLWWL
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game74.2
SwedenSuperettan· Gothia Arena (Göteborg)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Hogsbo v Ockelbo
20 Jan 2024
HOGS109
OCKE61
01 Oct 2022
HOGS109
OCKE69
25 Sep 2021
HOGS96
OCKE71
28 Mar 2021
HOGS v OCKE
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ockelbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Djurgarden
#9
W
108-86
108
86
+22
99avg 85
H11/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
L
91-93
91
93
-2
no box
A18/11
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
102-80
102
80
+22
no box
A19/11
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
85-67
85
67
+18
84avg 85
H25/11
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
104-85
104
85
+19
102avg 85
H30/11
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
103-81
103
81
+22
95avg 85
H16/12
Superettan
Malbas
#12
L
87-91
87
91
-4
83avg 85
A30/12
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
102-76
102
76
+26
105avg 85
H06/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
W
82-73
82
73
+9
71avg 85
A13/01
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
86-70
86
70
+16
89avg 85
A14/01
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
31-26
23-19
32-20
30-28
19-18
22-23
20-24
23-19
24-22
25-24
30-15
23-17
18-14
31-13
13-23
27-22
27-17
26-17
24-29
23-18
27-24
29-20
24-19
14-25
19-24
28-25
26-17
23-22
31-17
28-14
20-23
15-15
18-23
25-15
24-20
25-16
24-22
25-22
12-10
175.2Avg total
95.0Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)90.279.1169.3+11.272%
Season at home (9)96.379.9176.2+16.489%
Season away (9)84.178.2162.3+5.956%
Last 10 (10)95.080.2175.2+14.880%
Last 5 (5)92.078.2170.2+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)92.982.2175.1+10.773%
This opponent (Ockelbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OckelboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOckelbo
Date
Competition
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
55-69
55
69
-14
43avg 60
H18/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
81-100
81
100
-19
70avg 60
A28/10
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
88-78
88
78
+10
81avg 60
A29/10
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
75-69
75
69
+6
67avg 60
H11/11
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
L
63-72
63
72
-9
49avg 60
A18/11
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
70-68
70
68
+2
59avg 60
A19/11
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
75-80
75
80
-5
65avg 60
A26/11
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
73-66
73
66
+7
63avg 60
H02/12
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
78-70
78
70
+8
70avg 60
H09/12
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
66-84
66
84
-18
59avg 60
A16/12
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
13-15
10-21
15-8
13-32
20-28
21-16
27-24
30-27
18-22
21-18
19-11
19-12
14-25
23-13
19-19
24-13
20-22
13-9
6-28
19-13
14-22
19-18
18-15
22-28
9-25
23-18
21-9
19-18
18-16
16-16
20-16
25-23
19-20
18-14
16-13
22-26
15-14
19-25
10-19
148.0Avg total
72.4Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)71.774.2145.9-2.547%
Season at home (7)73.467.9141.3+5.686%
Season away (10)70.578.7149.2-8.220%
Last 10 (10)72.475.6148.0-3.250%
Last 5 (5)72.473.6146.0-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)74.481.1155.5-6.825%
vs Similar (15)73.375.3148.6-2.147%
vs Weaker (7)87.076.7163.7+10.371%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +7.0+7.0Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +7.0+7.0Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
HogsboOckelbo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Djurgarden
#9
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H11/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A18/11
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A19/11
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H25/11
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H30/11
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H16/12
Superettan
Malbas
#12
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A30/12
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H06/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A13/01
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A14/01
Superettan
87.3Avg total
46.3Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.740.887.5+5.970%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.441.192.5+10.380%-
Last 30 away (15)42.040.682.6+1.460%-
Last 10 (10)46.341.087.3+5.380%-
Last 5 (5)43.841.285.0+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)46.740.887.5+5.970%-
This opponent (Ockelbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OckelboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H18/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
33-60
33
60
-27
A28/10
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A29/10
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H11/11
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A18/11
Superettan
Norrort
#15
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A19/11
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A26/11
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H02/12
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H09/12
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A16/12
Superettan
79.6Avg total
37.0Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.940.078.9-1.141%-
Last 30 at home (11)39.039.978.9-0.945%-
Last 30 away (18)38.840.178.8-1.339%-
Last 10 (10)37.042.679.6-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)36.441.077.4-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)33.943.977.8-10.00%-
vs Similar (14)37.639.977.6-2.336%-
vs Weaker (7)47.035.782.7+11.3100%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.023.0
57.5%
50.1%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.6
32.7%
31.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.212.3
71.5%
66.9%12.3
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ockelbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ockelbo: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.419.9
45.9%
50.1%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.35.4
25.4%
31.3%16.2
🏀 Free throws22.914.6
63.8%
66.9%14.6
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo
WWWLWWWWLW
Ockelbo
LWWLWLWWLL
#1
League position
#10
+18.1
Net rating
-5.5
111.8
Offensive rating
90.7
93.7
Defensive rating
96.2
54.1%
Effective FG%
43.3%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
16.3%
Turnover %
19.0%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.7%
3-point %
25.4%
61.4%
Assist %
59.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 90.7Defence93.7 · 96.2Shooting54.1% · 43.3%3-point %32.7% · 25.4%Ball care16.3% · 19.0%Off. rebounds29.4% · 28.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Hogsbo   ■ Ockelbo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Hogsbo wins
0
Ockelbo wins
DateGameScore
18/02/23Ockelbo v Hogsbo88-90
01/10/22Hogsbo v Ockelbo109-69
16/10/21Ockelbo v Hogsbo79-105
25/09/21Hogsbo v Ockelbo96-71
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24ATureberg86-70
13/01/24AAIK Basket82-73
06/01/24HEskilstuna102-76
30/12/23AMalbas87-91
16/12/23HKFUM Kalmar103-81
30/11/23HHelsingborg104-85
25/11/23HMalbas85-67
19/11/23AKFUM Fryshuset102-80
18/11/23ADjurgarden91-93
11/11/23HDjurgarden108-86
Ockelbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23ASloga Uppsala66-84
09/12/23HMalbas78-70
02/12/23HRIG Mark73-66
26/11/23AHelsingborg75-80
19/11/23ANorrort70-68
18/11/23AHuddinge63-72
11/11/23HHelsingborg75-69
29/10/23AKFUM Kalmar88-78
28/10/23AWetterbygden Stars81-100
18/10/23HSloga Uppsala55-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW72%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLWLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %72%89%56%
Points / game90.296.384.1
Allowed / game79.179.978.2
Point differential+11.2+16.4+5.9
Avg total169.3176.2162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%78%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ockelbo
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL47%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayWLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %47%86%20%
Points / game71.773.470.5
Allowed / game74.267.978.7
Point differential-2.5+5.6-8.2
Avg total145.9141.3149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%29%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket1815383%85.678.9+6.7
2 Hogsbo1813572%90.279.1+11.2
3 Huddinge1711665%81.375.6+5.7
4 Tureberg1711665%78.174.2+3.9
5 Helsingborg2012860%87.879.2+8.6
6 Wetterbygden Stars1911858%79.875.3+4.5
7 Sloga Uppsala179853%76.980.3-3.4
8 KFUM Fryshuset1910953%86.587.2-0.7
9 Djurgarden1991047%85.986.5-0.5
10 Ockelbo178947%71.774.2-2.5
11 IK Eos167944%79.980.9-1.1
12 Malbas1981142%73.277.0-3.8
13 Norrort1751229%72.576.4-3.9
14 KFUM Kalmar1641225%75.682.5-6.9
15 Eskilstuna1641225%73.887.9-14.1
16 RIG Mark1741324%68.275.7-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo22302532109
Ockelbo1216132061
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