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Hogsbo vs Sloga Uppsala Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:04
Projected 90-84
Projected total 174.2
Scheduled
Position#10
Record2-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game90.6
Hogsbo
Sweden
Vs
72%
28%
■ HOGS 72%■ SLOG 28%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
3.5/10
Below normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Sloga Uppsala
Sweden
Position#11
Record2-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game94.0
SwedenBasketligan· Gothia Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Hogsbo v Sloga Uppsala
15 Jan 2027
HOGS v SLOG
upcoming
21 Nov 2026
HOGS v SLOG
upcoming
15 Nov 2025
HOGS79
SLOG70
27 Sep 2025
HOGS83
SLOG86
28 Apr 2024
HOGS86
SLOG66
24 Apr 2024
HOGS100
SLOG61
27 Jan 2024
HOGS93
SLOG78
26 Nov 2022
HOGS87
SLOG77
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Hogsbo host Sloga Uppsala in the Basketligan. Pythia makes Hogsbo the favourite at 72% and projects 90-84, about 174 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Hogsbo are 2-8 this season (80.9 scored, 90.6 allowed a game), form LLLLL; Sloga Uppsala are 2-8 this season (80.7 scored, 94.0 allowed a game), form LLWWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo win
71.8%fair 1.39
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sloga Uppsala win
28.2%fair 3.54
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Boras
#5
W
96-90
96
90
+6
66avg 74
H29/09
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
L
88-92
88
92
-4
82avg 74
A02/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
85-81
85
81
+4
76avg 74
H09/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
85-93
85
93
-8
85avg 74
A13/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
75-89
75
89
-14
60avg 74
H16/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
71-108
71
108
-37
59avg 74
A23/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
82-84
82
84
-2
71avg 74
H27/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
79-80
79
80
-1
no box
A03/11
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
L
69-84
69
84
-15
no box
H06/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
79-105
79
105
-26
no box
A13/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
27-28
28-16
21-28
25-18
22-23
23-28
18-23
17-17
23-25
28-15
17-24
19-29
17-26
26-12
23-26
17-26
21-27
17-15
20-21
20-33
10-21
17-37
24-17
20-20
21-18
20-27
21-19
18-26
26-23
17-16
18-15
16-20
18-22
18-14
17-28
27-25
17-30
26-27
9-23
171.5Avg total
80.9Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.990.6171.5-9.720%
Season at home (5)81.485.6167.0-4.240%
Season away (5)80.495.6176.0-15.20%
Last 10 (10)80.990.6171.5-9.720%
Last 5 (5)76.092.2168.2-16.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)78.893.9172.7-15.215%
vs Similar ◀ (8)88.289.4177.6-1.138%
vs Weaker (2)90.588.0178.5+2.550%
This opponent (Sloga Uppsala) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sloga UppsalaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUppsala
Date
Competition
Sodertalje
#2
L
67-89
67
89
-22
58avg 72
A25/09
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
L
76-89
76
89
-13
72avg 72
H27/09
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
77-108
77
108
-31
67avg 72
A02/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
81-94
81
94
-13
71avg 72
H09/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
L
90-97
90
97
-7
88avg 72
H13/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
80-111
80
111
-31
66avg 72
A23/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
73-83
73
83
-10
68avg 72
A27/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
80-79
80
79
+1
no box
H03/11
Basketligan
Umea
#9
W
100-95
100
95
+5
no box
A06/11
Basketligan
Boras
#5
L
83-95
83
95
-12
no box
H09/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
17-23
17-28
21-15
28-18
23-24
17-22
8-25
11-29
18-27
19-30
29-22
23-14
15-20
17-25
26-35
24-21
15-28
19-20
32-28
26-10
20-32
12-36
22-33
19-23
10-25
21-9
23-26
26-18
23-26
16-17
15-18
16-36
33-21
25-23
26-15
26-21
19-23
12-27
26-24
174.7Avg total
80.7Scored
94.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.794.0174.7-13.320%
Season at home (5)82.090.8172.8-8.820%
Season away (5)79.497.2176.6-17.820%
Last 10 (10)80.794.0174.7-13.320%
Last 5 (5)83.292.6175.8-9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)79.794.8174.5-15.118%
vs Similar ◀ (2)78.084.0162.0-6.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 167
Over 167
66.6%
Under 167
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 172
Over 172
54.7%
Under 172
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 177
Over 177
42.4%
Under 177
57.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Hogsbo total 83.5
Over 83.5
75.0%
Under 83.5
25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hogsbo total 87.5
Over 87.5
61.1%
Under 87.5
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hogsbo total 91.5
Over 91.5
45.5%
Under 91.5
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Uppsala total 80.5
Over 80.5
62.1%
Under 80.5
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Uppsala total 84.5
Over 84.5
46.8%
Under 84.5
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Uppsala total 88.5
Over 88.5
32.2%
Under 88.5
67.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Hogsbo -3
HOGS -3
64.1%
SLOG +3
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
HOGS
No market prices yet.
SLOG
No market prices yet.
Spread Hogsbo 0
HOGS 0
71.8%
SLOG 0
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
HOGS
No market prices yet.
SLOG
No market prices yet.
Spread Hogsbo +3
HOGS +3
79.1%
SLOG -3
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
HOGS
No market prices yet.
SLOG
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
HogsboSloga Uppsala
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boras
#5
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H29/09
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A02/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H09/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A13/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H16/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A23/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H27/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A03/11
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H06/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A13/11
Basketligan
87.6Avg total
40.1Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.848.087.8-8.127%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.444.784.1-5.340%-
Last 30 away (15)40.351.391.5-11.013%-
Last 10 (10)40.147.587.6-7.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.647.686.2-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)37.648.586.2-10.920%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)45.447.192.5-1.850%-
vs Weaker (2)39.546.085.5-6.50%-
This opponent (Sloga Uppsala) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sloga UppsalaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sodertalje
#2
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A25/09
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H27/09
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A02/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H09/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H13/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A23/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A27/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H03/11
Basketligan
Umea
#9
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A06/11
Basketligan
Boras
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H09/11
Basketligan
86.6Avg total
40.4Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.644.884.5-5.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.443.582.9-4.143%-
Last 30 away (16)39.946.085.9-6.131%-
Last 10 (10)40.446.286.6-5.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.647.090.6-3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)38.945.083.9-6.132%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)50.043.093.0+7.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.717.2
52.6%
52.7%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.4
30.8%
33.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws26.319.3
73.4%
74.1%19.3
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sloga Uppsalatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sloga Uppsala: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.9
49.7%
52.7%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.8
31.5%
33.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.917.4
76.0%
74.1%17.4
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo
LLLLLLLWLW
Sloga Uppsala
LWWLLLLLLL
#10
League position
#11
-11.6
Net rating
-25.6
89.0
Offensive rating
86.5
100.6
Defensive rating
112.1
49.7%
Effective FG%
48.7%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
60.0%
16.3%
Turnover %
19.6%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.38
30.8%
3-point %
31.5%
66.0%
Assist %
59.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence89.0 · 86.5Defence100.6 · 112.1Shooting49.7% · 48.7%3-point %30.8% · 31.5%Ball care16.3% · 19.6%Free throws0.44 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Hogsbo   ■ Sloga Uppsala
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Hogsbo wins
5
Sloga Uppsala wins
DateGameScore
03/11/26Sloga Uppsala v Hogsbo80-79
23/01/26Sloga Uppsala v Hogsbo106-102 OT
15/11/25Hogsbo v Sloga Uppsala79-70
27/09/25Hogsbo v Sloga Uppsala83-86
28/04/24Hogsbo v Sloga Uppsala86-66
26/04/24Sloga Uppsala v Hogsbo95-80
24/04/24Hogsbo v Sloga Uppsala100-61
06/04/24Sloga Uppsala v Hogsbo111-103
27/01/24Hogsbo v Sloga Uppsala93-78
17/12/22Sloga Uppsala v Hogsbo90-96
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AJamtland79-105
06/11/26HNorrkoping69-84
03/11/26ASloga Uppsala79-80
27/10/26HKoping Stars82-84
23/10/26ABC Lulea71-108
16/10/26HJamtland75-89
13/10/26ASodertalje85-93
09/10/26HNassjo85-81
02/10/26AUppsala88-92
29/09/26HBoras96-90
Sloga Uppsalalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HBoras83-95
06/11/26AUmea100-95
03/11/26HHogsbo80-79
27/10/26ANassjo73-83
23/10/26AJamtland80-111
13/10/26HNorrkoping90-97
09/10/26HKoping Stars81-94
02/10/26ABC Lulea77-108
27/09/26HUppsala76-89
25/09/26ASodertalje67-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%40%0%
Points / game80.981.480.4
Allowed / game90.685.695.6
Point differential-9.7-4.2-15.2
Avg total171.5167.0176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sloga Uppsala
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL20%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%20%20%
Points / game80.782.079.4
Allowed / game94.090.897.2
Point differential-13.3-8.8-17.8
Avg total174.7172.8176.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Lulea119282%96.281.6+14.5
2 Sodertalje119282%86.574.9+11.5
3 Jamtland119282%92.382.1+10.2
4 Norrkoping117464%91.584.1+7.5
5 Boras117464%88.584.0+4.5
6 Koping Stars114736%86.688.9-2.3
7 Nassjo114736%79.584.8-5.3
8 Uppsala114736%75.287.5-12.4
9 Umea102820%78.987.0-8.1
10 Hogsbo102820%80.990.6-9.7
11 Sloga Uppsala102820%80.794.0-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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