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Hogsbo vs Tureberg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 91-71
29-13 17-19 22-14 23-25
Position#1
Record15-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game78.1
Hogsbo 🏆
Sweden
vs
Tureberg
Sweden
Position#8
Record13-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game73.8
SwedenSuperettan· Gothia Arena (Göteborg)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Hogsbo v Tureberg
03 Feb 2024
HOGS91
TURE71
25 Feb 2023
HOGS100
TURE96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tureberg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
102-80
102
80
+22
no box
A19/11
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
85-67
85
67
+18
84avg 87
H25/11
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
104-85
104
85
+19
102avg 87
H30/11
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
103-81
103
81
+22
95avg 87
H16/12
Superettan
Malbas
#12
L
87-91
87
91
-4
83avg 87
A30/12
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
102-76
102
76
+26
105avg 87
H06/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
W
82-73
82
73
+9
71avg 87
A13/01
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
86-70
86
70
+16
89avg 87
A14/01
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
109-61
109
61
+48
109avg 87
H20/01
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
93-78
93
78
+15
90avg 87
H27/01
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
24-22
25-24
30-15
23-17
18-14
31-13
13-23
27-22
27-17
26-17
24-29
23-18
27-24
29-20
24-19
14-25
19-24
28-25
26-17
23-22
31-17
28-14
20-23
15-15
18-23
25-15
24-20
25-16
24-22
25-22
12-10
22-12
30-16
25-13
32-20
27-15
22-17
23-17
21-29
171.5Avg total
95.3Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)91.378.1169.4+13.275%
Season at home (11)97.278.0175.2+19.291%
Season away (9)84.178.2162.3+5.956%
Last 10 (10)95.376.2171.5+19.190%
Last 5 (5)94.471.6166.0+22.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)93.381.1174.4+12.273%
This opponent (Tureberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TurebergSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTureberg
Date
Competition
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
80-77
80
77
+3
73avg 69
H06/12
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
87-82
87
82
+5
79avg 69
A09/12
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
56-71
56
71
-15
29avg 69
A10/12
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
75-78
75
78
-3
62avg 69
A16/12
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
85-70
85
70
+15
83avg 69
A07/01
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
75-67
75
67
+8
68avg 69
H10/01
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
70-86
70
86
-16
56avg 69
H14/01
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
86-79
86
79
+7
72avg 69
A21/01
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
70-69
70
69
+1
58avg 69
A27/01
Superettan
Malbas
#12
L
61-66
61
66
-5
51avg 69
A28/01
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
18-17
21-24
14-10
25-23
21-16
17-12
24-31
10-21
15-14
14-22
17-14
20-23
17-22
19-19
19-14
22-15
14-14
27-18
22-23
17-16
15-14
22-24
21-13
16-25
22-24
22-25
10-12
19-21
23-19
20-21
24-18
16-26
17-15
23-18
14-10
9-13
15-21
15-18
22-14
149.0Avg total
74.5Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.273.8151.0+3.565%
Season at home (10)77.871.9149.7+5.980%
Season away (10)76.775.6152.3+1.150%
Last 10 (10)74.574.5149.0+0.060%
Last 5 (5)72.473.4145.8-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)79.790.7170.3-11.00%
vs Similar (12)80.278.0158.2+2.258%
vs Weaker (15)82.874.3157.1+8.573%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +8.5+8.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +2.8+2.8
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +8.5+8.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +2.8+2.8
HogsboTureberg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A19/11
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H25/11
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H30/11
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H16/12
Superettan
Malbas
#12
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A30/12
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H06/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A13/01
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A14/01
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H20/01
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H27/01
Superettan
83.9Avg total
46.2Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.340.386.6+6.070%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.140.090.1+10.181%-
Last 30 away (14)41.940.682.5+1.457%-
Last 10 (10)46.237.783.9+8.580%-
Last 5 (5)47.435.082.4+12.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)46.340.386.6+6.070%-
This opponent (Tureberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TurebergLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H06/12
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A09/12
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A10/12
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A16/12
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A07/01
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H10/01
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H14/01
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A21/01
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A27/01
Superettan
Malbas
#12
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A28/01
Superettan
74.3Avg total
35.8Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.537.477.9+3.267%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.835.277.0+6.671%-
Last 30 away (16)39.439.278.7+0.262%-
Last 10 (10)35.838.574.3-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)33.838.872.6-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)39.043.782.7-4.733%-
vs Similar (12)41.139.680.7+1.558%-
vs Weaker (15)40.434.374.7+6.180%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.323.5
61.4%
50.1%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.8
33.5%
31.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.812.3
69.1%
66.9%12.3
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Turebergtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tureberg: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.3 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.217.0
43.4%
50.1%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.710.9
32.3%
31.3%32.7
🏀 Free throws11.46.3
55.3%
66.9%6.3
They take 72.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo
WWWWWLWWWW
Tureberg
LWWLWWLLWW
#1
League position
#8
+21.1
Net rating
-1.2
115.1
Offensive rating
97.7
94.0
Defensive rating
98.9
56.8%
Effective FG%
45.7%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
16.9%
Turnover %
15.9%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.16
33.5%
3-point %
32.3%
61.6%
Assist %
59.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.1 · 97.7Defence94.0 · 98.9Shooting56.8% · 45.7%3-point %33.5% · 32.3%Ball care16.9% · 15.9%Off. rebounds30.0% · 33.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.16Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Hogsbo   ■ Tureberg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hogsbo wins
1
Tureberg wins
DateGameScore
14/01/24Tureberg v Hogsbo70-86
25/02/23Hogsbo v Tureberg100-96 OT
03/12/22Tureberg v Hogsbo90-84
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24HSloga Uppsala93-78
20/01/24HOckelbo109-61
14/01/24ATureberg86-70
13/01/24AAIK Basket82-73
06/01/24HEskilstuna102-76
30/12/23AMalbas87-91
16/12/23HKFUM Kalmar103-81
30/11/23HHelsingborg104-85
25/11/23HMalbas85-67
19/11/23AKFUM Fryshuset102-80
Tureberglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24AMalbas61-66
27/01/24AIK Eos70-69
21/01/24AEskilstuna86-79
14/01/24HHogsbo70-86
10/01/24HNorrort75-67
07/01/24AHelsingborg85-70
16/12/23AAIK Basket75-78
10/12/23AWetterbygden Stars56-71
09/12/23AKFUM Kalmar87-82
06/12/23HKFUM Fryshuset80-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLWLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %75%91%56%
Points / game91.397.284.1
Allowed / game78.178.078.2
Point differential+13.2+19.2+5.9
Avg total169.4175.2162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%82%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tureberg
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL65%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %65%80%50%
Points / game77.277.876.7
Allowed / game73.871.975.6
Point differential+3.5+5.9+1.1
Avg total151.0149.7152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket1916384%85.779.0+6.7
2 Hogsbo2015575%91.378.1+13.2
3 Tureberg2013765%77.273.8+3.5
4 Helsingborg2113862%87.478.8+8.7
5 Huddinge2113862%81.477.9+3.5
6 KFUM Fryshuset2213959%87.786.4+1.3
7 Sloga Uppsala1910953%76.980.5-3.6
8 Wetterbygden Stars21111052%79.876.3+3.5
9 Djurgarden21111052%87.486.1+1.2
10 Malbas21101148%73.376.3-3.0
11 Ockelbo2091145%71.877.1-5.3
12 IK Eos1981142%79.280.3-1.1
13 Norrort2061430%73.278.2-4.9
14 KFUM Kalmar2051525%76.982.2-5.3
15 RIG Mark1941521%68.275.5-7.3
16 Eskilstuna1941521%74.787.6-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo2917222391
Tureberg1319142571
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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