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Hogsbo W vs Alvik W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 67-78
18-16 8-31 23-19 18-12
Position#10
Record0-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game50.0
Allowed / game94.0
Hogsbo W
Sweden
vs
Alvik W 🏆
Sweden
Position#4
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game76.0
SwedenBasketligan WRound 2· Gothia Arena
Women2026-27
Meetings · Hogsbo W v Alvik W
10 Oct 2026
HOGS67
ALVI78
01 Mar 2026
HOGS94
ALVI61
28 Sep 2024
HOGS106
ALVI71
14 Oct 2023
HOGS74
ALVI61
11 Mar 2023
HOGS59
ALVI81
26 Feb 2022
HOGS60
ALVI75
07 Apr 2021
HOGS65
ALVI75
24 Oct 2020
HOGS70
ALVI72
07 Dec 2019
HOGS84
ALVI68
13 Mar 2019
HOGS81
ALVI68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alvik W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lund W
#9
W
83-77
83
77
+6
76avg 77
A11/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
67-62
67
62
+5
52avg 77
A14/02
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
89-63
89
63
+26
84avg 77
H21/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
75-90
75
90
-15
71avg 77
H28/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
94-61
94
61
+33
89avg 77
H01/03
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
106-76
106
76
+30
100avg 77
A07/03
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
66-71
66
71
-5
55avg 77
A21/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
97-101 OT
97
101
-4
78avg 77
H28/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
57-91
57
91
-34
no box
A30/03
Basketligan W
Onsala W
#2
L
50-94
50
94
-44
11avg 77
A03/10
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
17-17
21-19
19-20
19-11
13-16
18-6
17-29
31-11
17-15
16-18
25-19
23-16
20-19
15-28
17-27
20-16
24-13
32-13
18-19
23-16
23-21
36-14
24-25
16-26
20-14
20-12
10-19
27-25
14-20
13-21
25-13
8-18
10-21
24-21
15-31
9-19
13-30
10-22
18-23
157.0Avg total
78.4Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)50.094.0144.0-44.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)50.094.0144.0-44.00%
Last 10 (10)78.478.6157.0-0.250%
Last 5 (5)75.286.6161.8-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)71.786.7158.3-15.033%
vs Similar (10)79.781.8161.5-2.140%
vs Weaker (14)86.668.9155.5+17.679%
This opponent (Alvik W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alvik WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sodertalje W
#6
L
73-93
73
93
-20
59avg 68
A21/01
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
85-67
85
67
+18
82avg 68
H31/01
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
93-63
93
63
+30
96avg 68
A07/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
69-88
69
88
-19
66avg 68
H11/02
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
62-67
62
67
-5
60avg 68
H14/02
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
58-91
58
91
-33
44avg 68
H21/02
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
61-94
61
94
-33
49avg 68
A01/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
42-74
42
74
-32
28avg 68
A05/03
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
73-85
73
85
-12
67avg 68
H21/03
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#9
W
87-76
87
76
+11
68avg 68
H04/10
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
15-26
15-20
20-24
24-24
14-15
27-11
20-17
11-9
21-12
27-23
34-19
20-21
12-31
16-16
21-20
11-19
16-13
6-18
29-17
15-21
12-25
14-29
17-16
16-20
13-24
13-32
19-18
4-30
10-14
11-10
17-20
18-22
20-19
18-24
17-20
23-14
19-25
19-22
26-15
150.1Avg total
70.3Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)87.076.0163.0+11.0100%
Season at home (1)87.076.0163.0+11.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.379.8150.1-9.530%
Last 5 (5)64.284.0148.2-19.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)65.581.5147.1-16.012%
vs Similar (4)81.285.5166.8-4.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)82.458.4140.9+24.0100%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +3.4+3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +3.4+3.4
Hogsbo WAlvik W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lund W
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A11/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A14/02
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H21/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H28/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H01/03
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/03
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A21/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H28/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
18-39
18
39
-21
A30/03
Basketligan W
Onsala W
#2
L
22-49
22
49
-27
A03/10
Basketligan W
73.8Avg total
37.3Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.237.276.5+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.936.778.6+5.164%-
Last 30 away (16)36.937.774.6-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)37.336.573.8+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)32.642.074.6-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)34.544.078.5-9.517%-
vs Similar (10)37.837.275.0+0.650%-
vs Weaker (14)42.334.476.6+7.979%-
This opponent (Alvik W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alvik WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sodertalje W
#6
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A21/01
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H31/01
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
32-21
32
21
+11
A07/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H11/02
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H14/02
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H21/02
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A01/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
14-44
14
44
-30
A05/03
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H21/03
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#9
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H04/10
Basketligan W
72.4Avg total
31.7Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.837.671.5-3.833%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.036.970.9-2.935%-
Last 30 away (13)33.638.572.2-4.931%-
Last 10 (10)31.740.772.4-9.020%-
Last 5 (5)30.042.872.8-12.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)30.640.370.9-9.618%-
vs Similar (4)36.242.278.5-6.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)38.830.669.3+8.267%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.518.2
48.5%
46.8%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.97.8
28.0%
30.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.915.9
76.1%
71.1%15.9
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alvik Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvik W: 67.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.915.7
47.7%
46.8%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.87.4
26.6%
30.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws16.613.4
80.7%
71.1%13.4
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo W
LLLLWWLWWW
Alvik W
WLLLLLLWWL
#10
League position
#4
+0.8
Net rating
-12.5
83.2
Offensive rating
75.2
82.4
Defensive rating
87.6
45.7%
Effective FG%
44.2%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
17.8%
Turnover %
22.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
28.0%
3-point %
26.6%
67.7%
Assist %
76.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence83.2 · 75.2Defence82.4 · 87.6Shooting45.7% · 44.2%3-point %28.0% · 26.6%Ball care17.8% · 22.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Hogsbo W   ■ Alvik W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Hogsbo W wins
4
Alvik W wins
DateGameScore
01/03/26Hogsbo W v Alvik W94-61
14/02/26Alvik W v Hogsbo W62-67
05/01/25Alvik W v Hogsbo W75-81
28/09/24Hogsbo W v Alvik W106-71
24/01/24Alvik W v Hogsbo W82-86
14/10/23Hogsbo W v Alvik W74-61
11/03/23Hogsbo W v Alvik W59-81
12/11/22Alvik W v Hogsbo W109-78
26/02/22Hogsbo W v Alvik W60-75
30/10/21Alvik W v Hogsbo W87-67
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26AOnsala W50-94
30/03/26ASodertalje W57-91
28/03/26HSodertalje W97-101 OT
21/03/26AMalbas Malmo W66-71
07/03/26ABrahe W106-76
01/03/26HAlvik W94-61
28/02/26HUppsala W75-90
21/02/26HVisby W89-63
14/02/26AAlvik W67-62
11/02/26ALund W83-77
Alvik Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/26HAIK Basket W87-76
21/03/26HLund W73-85
05/03/26AUppsala W42-74
01/03/26AHogsbo W61-94
21/02/26HNorrkoping W58-91
14/02/26HHogsbo W62-67
11/02/26HSodertalje W69-88
07/02/26ABrahe W93-63
31/01/26HMalbas Malmo W85-67
21/01/26ASodertalje W73-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game50.0-50.0
Allowed / game94.0-94.0
Point differential-44.0--44.0
Avg total144.0-144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Alvik W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game87.087.0-
Allowed / game76.076.0-
Point differential+11.0+11.0-
Avg total163.0163.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Onsala W110100%94.050.0+44.0
2 Lulea W110100%105.074.0+31.0
3 Norrkoping W110100%83.062.0+21.0
4 Sodertalje W220100%78.565.0+13.5
5 Alvik W110100%87.076.0+11.0
6 Ostersund W110100%74.065.0+9.0
7 Uppsala W1010%74.077.0-3.0
8 Lund W1010%65.074.0-9.0
9 AIK Basket W2020%66.083.5-17.5
10 Brahe W1010%62.083.0-21.0
11 Visby W1010%74.0105.0-31.0
12 Hogsbo W1010%50.094.0-44.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo W188231867
Alvik W1631191278
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