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Alvik W vs Hogsbo W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 75-81
19-21 16-19 17-22 23-19
Position#4
Record7-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game82.8
Alvik W
Sweden
vs
Hogsbo W 🏆
Sweden
Position#3
Record8-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game69.5
SwedenBasketligan W· Akeshovshallen
Women2024-25
Meetings · Alvik W v Hogsbo W
09 Jan 2027
ALVI v HOGS
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
ALVI62
HOGS67
05 Jan 2025
ALVI75
HOGS81
24 Jan 2024
ALVI82
HOGS86
12 Nov 2022
ALVI109
HOGS78
30 Oct 2021
ALVI87
HOGS67
09 Apr 2021
ALVI79
HOGS78
05 Apr 2021
ALVI84
HOGS76
27 Jan 2021
ALVI93
HOGS65
07 Mar 2020
ALVI91
HOGS75
06 Oct 2018
ALVI93
HOGS82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvik W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alvik WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Hogsbo W
#3
L
71-106
71
106
-35
60avg 65
A28/09
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#7
W
95-89
95
89
+6
84avg 65
H05/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
81-65
81
65
+16
75avg 65
A12/10
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
W
82-74
82
74
+8
75avg 65
H19/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
79-60
79
60
+19
66avg 65
H02/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
80-75
80
75
+5
73avg 65
H24/11
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
53-118
53
118
-65
40avg 65
A30/11
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
93-76
93
76
+17
90avg 65
A07/12
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
83-69
83
69
+14
69avg 65
A14/12
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
93-96 OT
93
96
-3
78avg 65
A18/12
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
26-20
15-29
11-31
27-14
16-24
19-18
33-33
27-14
24-19
15-15
15-17
13-18
25-15
19-17
25-24
17-15
21-19
16-14
25-12
25-23
24-12
14-25
17-15
24-29
7-37
8-32
14-20
20-17
24-8
29-20
20-31
18-19
12-14
33-13
20-23
25-22
20-18
24-27
11-13
163.8Avg total
81.0Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)81.082.8163.8-1.870%
Season at home (4)84.074.5158.5+9.5100%
Season away (6)79.088.3167.3-9.350%
Last 10 (10)81.082.8163.8-1.870%
Last 5 (5)80.486.8167.2-6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)70.790.6161.3-19.913%
vs Similar (5)79.474.0153.4+5.460%
vs Weaker (10)85.469.8155.2+15.6100%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Alvik W
#4
W
106-71
106
71
+35
106avg 74
H28/09
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
86-40
86
40
+46
90avg 74
A06/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
61-97
61
97
-36
50avg 74
H12/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
102-55
102
55
+47
104avg 74
A19/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
108-70
108
70
+38
112avg 74
H02/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
61avg 74
A17/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
86-62
86
62
+24
82avg 74
H23/11
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
97-80
97
80
+17
91avg 74
A30/11
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#7
W
79-74
79
74
+5
77avg 74
A14/12
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
W
95-60
95
60
+35
97avg 74
H20/12
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
20-26
29-15
31-11
21-14
16-7
21-14
28-5
9-24
19-19
18-33
15-21
29-13
30-15
27-16
16-11
24-14
25-16
34-20
25-20
18-14
22-21
20-22
13-29
14-14
32-17
16-19
24-12
30-20
20-14
19-22
28-24
10-26
27-11
20-22
22-15
28-17
21-16
15-21
31-6
158.8Avg total
89.3Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)89.369.5158.8+19.880%
Season at home (5)91.272.0163.2+19.280%
Season away (5)87.467.0154.4+20.480%
Last 10 (10)89.369.5158.8+19.880%
Last 5 (5)86.072.4158.4+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)64.481.3145.7-16.910%
vs Similar (3)71.383.3154.7-12.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)89.465.5154.8+23.988%
This opponent (Alvik W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +7.0+7.0Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +7.9+7.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +7.0+7.0Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +7.9+7.9
Alvik WHogsbo W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alvik WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hogsbo W
#3
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A28/09
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#7
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H05/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A12/10
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H19/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H02/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H24/11
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
31-66
31
66
-35
A30/11
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
44-25
44
25
+19
A07/12
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A14/12
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A18/12
Basketligan W
79.7Avg total
41.4Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.938.677.6+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.137.675.6+0.557%-
Last 30 away (16)39.739.679.2+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)41.438.379.7+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.879.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)36.443.780.1-7.320%-
vs Similar (5)39.634.674.2+5.0100%-
vs Weaker (10)42.433.175.5+9.380%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvik W
#4
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H28/09
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
37-21
37
21
+16
A06/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H12/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
59-28
59
28
+31
A19/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H02/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A17/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H23/11
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A30/11
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#7
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A14/12
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H20/12
Basketligan W
77.8Avg total
44.1Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.934.773.6+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.835.376.1+5.564%-
Last 30 away (16)37.334.271.5+3.150%-
Last 10 (10)44.133.777.8+10.480%-
Last 5 (5)44.434.078.4+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)31.138.169.2-7.010%-
vs Similar (3)41.337.779.0+3.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.132.275.3+10.982%-
This opponent (Alvik W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alvik Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvik W: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.120.2
49.1%
46.2%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.5
32.0%
31.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws15.811.1
70.3%
71.3%11.1
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.2
53.3%
46.2%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.210.8
33.5%
31.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws19.213.8
71.9%
71.3%13.8
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvik W
LWWLWWWWWL
Hogsbo W
WWWWLWWLWW
#4
League position
#3
-2.6
Net rating
+24.8
96.3
Offensive rating
109.3
99.0
Defensive rating
84.5
48.7%
Effective FG%
51.9%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
40.6%
21.7%
Turnover %
18.2%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.0%
3-point %
33.5%
55.6%
Assist %
75.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence96.3 · 109.3Defence99.0 · 84.5Shooting48.7% · 51.9%3-point %32.0% · 33.5%Ball care21.7% · 18.2%Off. rebounds30.0% · 33.3%Free throws0.22 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Alvik W   ■ Hogsbo W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Alvik W wins
3
Hogsbo W wins
DateGameScore
28/09/24Hogsbo W v Alvik W106-71
24/01/24Alvik W v Hogsbo W82-86
14/10/23Hogsbo W v Alvik W74-61
11/03/23Hogsbo W v Alvik W59-81
12/11/22Alvik W v Hogsbo W109-78
26/02/22Hogsbo W v Alvik W60-75
30/10/21Alvik W v Hogsbo W87-67
09/04/21Alvik W v Hogsbo W79-78
07/04/21Hogsbo W v Alvik W65-75
05/04/21Alvik W v Hogsbo W84-76
Alvik Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24ASodertalje W93-96 OT
14/12/24AOstersund W83-69
07/12/24ALund W93-76
30/11/24ALulea W53-118
24/11/24HNorrkoping W80-75
02/11/24HVisby W79-60
19/10/24HMarkSjuharad W82-74
12/10/24AUppsala W81-65
05/10/24HAIK Basket W95-89
28/09/24AHogsbo W71-106
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24HMarkSjuharad W95-60
14/12/24AAIK Basket W79-74
30/11/24ALund W97-80
23/11/24HSodertalje W86-62
17/11/24ANorrkoping W73-86
02/11/24HOstersund W108-70
19/10/24AVisby W102-55
12/10/24HLulea W61-97
06/10/24AUppsala W86-40
28/09/24HAlvik W106-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvik W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL70%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %70%100%50%
Points / game81.084.079.0
Allowed / game82.874.588.3
Point differential-1.8+9.5-9.3
Avg total163.8158.5167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%17%
Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game89.391.287.4
Allowed / game69.572.067.0
Point differential+19.8+19.2+20.4
Avg total158.8163.2154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%80%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W11110100%96.049.2+46.8
2 Hogsbo W108280%89.369.5+19.8
3 Norrkoping W97278%83.369.0+14.3
4 Alvik W107370%81.082.8-1.8
5 Sodertalje W117464%79.573.3+6.2
6 Uppsala W105550%61.068.7-7.7
7 AIK Basket W94544%82.384.0-1.7
8 Lund W102820%71.083.0-12.0
9 MarkSjuharad W112918%62.580.3-17.7
10 Visby W112918%60.583.4-22.8
11 Ostersund W101910%61.084.4-23.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alvik W1916172375
Hogsbo W2119221981
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