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Hogsbo W vs Alvik W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 106-71
26-19 20-26 29-15 31-11
Position#3
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Hogsbo W 🏆
Sweden
vs
Alvik W
Sweden
Position#4
Record-
FormLWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
SwedenBasketligan W· Gothia Arena
Women2024-25
Meetings · Hogsbo W v Alvik W
10 Oct 2026
HOGS67
ALVI78
01 Mar 2026
HOGS94
ALVI61
28 Sep 2024
HOGS106
ALVI71
14 Oct 2023
HOGS74
ALVI61
11 Mar 2023
HOGS59
ALVI81
26 Feb 2022
HOGS60
ALVI75
07 Apr 2021
HOGS65
ALVI75
24 Oct 2020
HOGS70
ALVI72
07 Dec 2019
HOGS84
ALVI68
13 Mar 2019
HOGS81
ALVI68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alvik W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sjuharads W
#9
W
72-45
72
45
+27
72avg 64
A15/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
103-70
103
70
+33
80avg 64
H24/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
59-79
59
79
-20
45avg 64
A28/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
82-85
82
85
-3
78avg 64
H02/03
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
L
61-62
61
62
-1
45avg 64
A10/03
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
110-53
110
53
+57
115avg 64
H16/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
87-95 OT
87
95
-8
no box
H23/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
72-67
72
67
+5
54avg 64
A03/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
73-77
73
77
-4
66avg 64
H05/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
65-84
65
84
-19
50avg 64
A07/04
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-11
18-17
14-10
27-7
28-16
25-14
25-15
25-25
14-21
13-16
19-18
13-24
29-20
24-22
8-21
21-22
11-8
17-21
10-15
23-18
24-15
26-8
31-13
29-17
15-12
25-25
20-24
18-17
14-17
17-20
14-15
27-15
14-24
21-19
14-15
24-19
16-22
18-20
17-19
14-23
150.1Avg total
78.4Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.471.7150.1+6.740%
Last 5 (5)81.475.2156.6+6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)63.584.3147.8-20.86%
vs Similar (2)70.582.0152.5-11.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)81.665.9147.5+15.783%
This opponent (Alvik W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alvik WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sodertalje W
#1
L
68-90
68
90
-22
51avg 61
H03/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
69-77
69
77
-8
55avg 61
H17/02
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
W
79-54
79
54
+25
76avg 61
A25/02
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
83-70
83
70
+13
78avg 61
H28/02
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
60-88
60
88
-28
50avg 61
H02/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
64-84
64
84
-20
41avg 61
H08/03
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
81-67
81
67
+14
70avg 61
H16/03
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
85-67
85
67
+18
no box
A23/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
72-92
72
92
-20
63avg 61
A02/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
67-95
67
95
-28
56avg 61
H04/04
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
10-25
16-26
18-20
11-22
23-18
15-21
20-16
15-23
27-13
17-8
20-10
22-24
23-14
14-17
24-15
21-26
8-13
11-19
20-30
18-13
11-29
17-13
18-29
18-20
17-10
26-14
20-23
19-11
29-26
16-18
21-12
14-23
23-24
17-20
18-25
11-23
12-21
16-26
28-25
151.2Avg total
72.8Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.878.4151.2-5.640%
Last 5 (5)73.881.0154.8-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)66.486.1152.5-19.66%
vs Similar (5)73.074.4147.4-1.440%
vs Weaker (9)82.669.0151.6+13.6100%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +0.2+0.2
Hogsbo WAlvik W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sjuharads W
#9
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A15/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H24/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A28/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H02/03
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A10/03
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H16/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H23/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A03/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H05/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A07/04
Basketligan W
73.0Avg total
38.2Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.536.972.4-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.234.972.1+2.450%-
Last 30 away (16)34.038.672.6-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)38.234.873.0+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)38.036.474.4+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)31.740.772.4-9.012%-
vs Similar (2)42.039.081.0+3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.531.470.9+8.175%-
This opponent (Alvik W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alvik WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sodertalje W
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H03/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H17/02
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A25/02
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H28/02
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H02/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H08/03
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H16/03
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A23/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A02/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H04/04
Basketligan W
75.3Avg total
35.6Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.838.474.2-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.537.773.2-2.140%-
Last 30 away (15)36.139.275.3-3.140%-
Last 10 (10)35.639.775.3-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)34.440.074.4-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)31.541.973.4-10.46%-
vs Similar (5)37.636.273.8+1.480%-
vs Weaker (9)42.433.475.9+9.078%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.720.0
44.7%
46.2%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.27.4
28.2%
31.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws15.612.6
80.8%
71.3%12.6
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alvik Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvik W: 68.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.516.2
45.6%
46.2%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.3
30.3%
31.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws12.28.4
68.9%
71.3%8.4
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo W
LLWLWLLLWW
Alvik W
LLWWLLWWLL
#3
League position
#4
+7.3
Net rating
-7.2
96.4
Offensive rating
95.1
89.1
Defensive rating
102.3
43.9%
Effective FG%
45.5%
42.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
16.8%
Turnover %
20.1%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.18
28.2%
3-point %
30.3%
63.1%
Assist %
61.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.4 · 95.1Defence89.1 · 102.3Shooting43.9% · 45.5%3-point %28.2% · 30.3%Ball care16.8% · 20.1%Off. rebounds30.3% · 32.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Hogsbo W   ■ Alvik W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hogsbo W wins
8
Alvik W wins
DateGameScore
24/01/24Alvik W v Hogsbo W82-86
14/10/23Hogsbo W v Alvik W74-61
11/03/23Hogsbo W v Alvik W59-81
12/11/22Alvik W v Hogsbo W109-78
26/02/22Hogsbo W v Alvik W60-75
30/10/21Alvik W v Hogsbo W87-67
09/04/21Alvik W v Hogsbo W79-78
07/04/21Hogsbo W v Alvik W65-75
05/04/21Alvik W v Hogsbo W84-76
27/01/21Alvik W v Hogsbo W93-65
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/24ANorrkoping W65-84
05/04/24HNorrkoping W73-77
03/04/24ANorrkoping W72-67
23/03/24HOstersund W87-95 OT
16/03/24HVisby W110-53
10/03/24AMarbo W61-62
02/03/24HUppsala W82-85
28/02/24ASodertalje W59-79
24/02/24HLund W103-70
15/02/24ASjuharads W72-45
Alvik Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/24HSodertalje W67-95
02/04/24ASodertalje W72-92
23/03/24AAIK Basket W85-67
16/03/24HSjuharads W81-67
08/03/24HNorrkoping W64-84
02/03/24HOstersund W60-88
28/02/24HVisby W83-70
25/02/24AMarbo W79-54
17/02/24HUppsala W69-77
03/02/24HSodertalje W68-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Alvik W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Norrkoping W110100%91.066.0+25.0
2 Lund W1010%66.091.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo W26202931106
Alvik W1926151171
← all games of the day
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