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Hogsbo W vs Marbo W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 77-74
14-13 16-20 28-13 19-28
Position#7
Record3-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game73.6
Hogsbo W 🏆
Sweden
vs
Marbo W
Sweden
Position#6
Record3-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game76.5
SwedenBasketligan W· Gothia Arena (Göteborg)
Women2023-24
Meetings · Hogsbo W v Marbo W
15 Dec 2023
HOGS77
MARB74
17 Dec 2022
HOGS80
MARB73
27 Oct 2021
HOGS59
MARB69
13 Dec 2020
HOGS125
MARB59
22 Jan 2020
HOGS66
MARB63
01 Dec 2018
HOGS79
MARB49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Marbo W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Alvik W
#6
L
59-81
59
81
-22
no box
H11/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#2
L
55-121
55
121
-66
no box
A15/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
70-75
70
75
-5
54avg 60
A07/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
74-61
74
61
+13
75avg 60
H14/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
69-64
69
64
+5
57avg 60
A21/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
68-88
68
88
-20
58avg 60
H04/11
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
76-65
76
65
+11
80avg 60
H16/11
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
L
69-75
69
75
-6
65avg 60
A25/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
51-82
51
82
-31
39avg 60
H02/12
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
59-79
59
79
-20
49avg 60
A09/12
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-19
16-26
11-16
23-20
17-28
12-38
17-28
9-27
17-25
22-12
18-11
13-27
20-8
19-13
17-26
18-14
16-18
13-17
22-12
18-17
16-16
13-19
19-29
20-24
24-15
22-18
10-15
20-17
24-22
17-15
14-21
14-17
12-21
17-11
8-22
14-28
18-14
13-22
11-21
17-22
144.1Avg total
65.0Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)67.073.6140.6-6.638%
Season at home (4)67.274.0141.2-6.850%
Season away (4)66.873.2140.0-6.525%
Last 10 (10)65.079.1144.1-14.130%
Last 5 (5)64.677.8142.4-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)66.189.7155.9-23.613%
vs Similar (1)59.079.0138.0-20.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)71.266.3137.5+4.867%
This opponent (Marbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Marbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#1
L
62-102
62
102
-40
no box
A22/03
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
68-106
68
106
-38
no box
H24/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
58-97
58
97
-39
35avg 53
A07/10
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
53-52
53
52
+1
46avg 53
A14/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
L
78-81
78
81
-3
68avg 53
H22/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
58-67
58
67
-9
36avg 53
A04/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
46-79
46
79
-33
27avg 53
H19/11
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
88-86
88
86
+2
83avg 53
A25/11
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
86-63
86
63
+23
87avg 53
H03/12
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
53-87
53
87
-34
40avg 53
H09/12
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-38
21-24
14-22
14-18
12-30
19-30
20-27
17-19
16-15
18-26
17-29
7-27
19-19
10-11
14-9
10-13
16-15
18-17
22-22
22-27
16-16
10-19
16-16
16-16
8-19
19-29
16-16
3-15
21-24
18-22
23-8
26-32
25-25
19-19
18-10
24-9
22-25
12-20
13-22
6-20
147.0Avg total
65.0Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)65.076.5141.5-11.538%
Season at home (4)65.877.5143.2-11.825%
Season away (4)64.275.5139.8-11.250%
Last 10 (10)65.082.0147.0-17.030%
Last 5 (5)66.276.4142.6-10.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)69.791.3161.0-21.67%
vs Similar (8)79.076.1155.1+2.962%
vs Weaker (8)81.470.8152.1+10.662%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: -5.1-5.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: -5.1-5.1
Hogsbo WMarbo W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvik W
#6
L
25-45
25
45
-20
H11/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#2
L
29-66
29
66
-37
A15/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A07/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H14/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A21/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H04/11
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H16/11
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A25/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H02/12
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A09/12
Basketligan W
71.4Avg total
33.7Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.541.575.0-8.023%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.339.973.2-6.520%-
Last 30 away (15)33.743.176.9-9.427%-
Last 10 (10)33.737.771.4-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)35.234.669.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)32.144.076.0-11.913%-
vs Similar (1)31.036.067.0-5.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)39.533.072.5+6.567%-
This opponent (Marbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Marbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#1
L
34-62
34
62
-28
A22/03
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
31-60
31
60
-29
H24/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A07/10
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A14/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H22/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A04/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H19/11
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A25/11
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H03/12
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H09/12
Basketligan W
77.5Avg total
33.2Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.642.179.7-4.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.440.077.4-2.640%-
Last 30 away (15)37.944.182.0-6.333%-
Last 10 (10)33.244.377.5-11.110%-
Last 5 (5)34.043.677.6-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)35.246.982.1-11.721%-
vs Similar (8)39.139.878.9-0.638%-
vs Weaker (8)40.435.976.2+4.562%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 66.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.915.4
39.5%
44.5%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.9
32.0%
30.9%23.6
🏀 Free throws16.611.6
69.9%
73.7%11.6
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Marbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marbo W: 64.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.416.9
40.8%
44.5%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.86.9
26.7%
30.9%20.6
🏀 Free throws13.410.1
75.7%
73.7%10.1
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/8 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo W
LLLWLWWLLL
Marbo W
LWWLLLWLLL
#7
League position
#6
-9.2
Net rating
-14.3
85.4
Offensive rating
81.9
94.6
Defensive rating
96.2
42.8%
Effective FG%
40.5%
41.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
24.8%
Turnover %
22.5%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.20
32.0%
3-point %
26.7%
69.4%
Assist %
66.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence85.4 · 81.9Defence94.6 · 96.2Shooting42.8% · 40.5%3-point %32.0% · 26.7%Ball care24.8% · 22.5%Off. rebounds31.0% · 27.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Hogsbo W   ■ Marbo W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Hogsbo W wins
2
Marbo W wins
DateGameScore
13/01/23Marbo W v Hogsbo W81-61
17/12/22Hogsbo W v Marbo W80-73
11/03/22Marbo W v Hogsbo W76-79
27/10/21Hogsbo W v Marbo W59-69 OT
19/03/21Marbo W v Hogsbo W65-95
13/12/20Hogsbo W v Marbo W125-59
22/01/20Hogsbo W v Marbo W66-63
06/11/19Marbo W v Hogsbo W76-95
10/03/19Marbo W v Hogsbo W48-68
01/12/18Hogsbo W v Marbo W79-49
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23AUppsala W59-79
02/12/23HSodertalje W51-82
25/11/23ALund W69-75
16/11/23HSjuharads W76-65
04/11/23HLulea W68-88
21/10/23AAIK Basket W69-64
14/10/23HAlvik W74-61
07/10/23ANorrkoping W70-75
15/03/23ASodertalje W55-121
11/03/23HAlvik W59-81
Marbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23HLulea W53-87
03/12/23HAIK Basket W86-63
25/11/23AAlvik W88-86
19/11/23HNorrkoping W46-79
04/11/23AOstersund W58-67
22/10/23HVisby W78-81
14/10/23ASjuharads W53-52
07/10/23AUppsala W58-97
24/03/23HLulea W68-106
22/03/23ALulea W62-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL38%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game67.067.266.8
Allowed / game73.674.073.2
Point differential-6.6-6.8-6.5
Avg total140.6141.2140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Marbo W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL38%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%25%50%
Points / game65.065.864.2
Allowed / game76.577.575.5
Point differential-11.5-11.8-11.2
Avg total141.5143.2139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sodertalje W880100%90.855.9+34.9
2 Lulea W98189%86.154.6+31.6
3 Norrkoping W87188%79.863.9+15.9
4 Uppsala W85362%79.971.5+8.4
5 Ostersund W84450%73.866.9+6.9
6 Sjuharads W83538%58.463.9-5.5
7 Hogsbo W83538%67.073.6-6.6
8 Marbo W83538%65.076.5-11.5
9 Alvik W83538%71.884.6-12.9
10 Lund W83538%66.481.9-15.5
11 AIK Basket W81712%58.178.1-20.0
12 Visby W91811%58.484.7-26.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo W1416281977
Marbo W1320132874
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