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Hogsbo W vs Ostersund W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 13 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record1-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game60.3
Allowed / game86.2
Hogsbo W
Sweden
vs
Form · last 5 games
2.3/10
🧊 Cold
4.9/10
Around normal
Ostersund W
Sweden
Position#6
Record4-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game77.5
SwedenBasketligan WRound 21· Gothia Arena
Women2026-27
Meetings · Hogsbo W v Ostersund W
13 Mar 2027
HOGS v OSTE
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
HOGS107
OSTE63
02 Nov 2024
HOGS108
OSTE70
23 Mar 2024
HOGS87
OSTE95
23 Oct 2022
HOGS62
OSTE92
22 Feb 2022
HOGS61
OSTE77
22 Mar 2017
HOGS92
OSTE67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ostersund W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Brahe W
#11
W
106-76
106
76
+30
no box
A07/03
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
66-71
66
71
-5
55avg 45
A21/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
97-101 OT
97
101
-4
78avg 45
H28/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
57-91
57
91
-34
no box
A30/03
Basketligan W
Onsala W
#2
L
50-94
50
94
-44
11avg 45
A03/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
67-78
67
78
-11
55avg 45
H10/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
64-76
64
76
-12
47avg 45
A18/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#8
L
66-94
66
94
-28
50avg 45
H24/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
43-108
43
108
-65
20avg 45
A30/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#12
W
72-67
72
67
+5
no box
H07/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
23-21
36-14
24-25
16-26
20-14
20-12
10-19
27-25
14-20
13-21
25-13
8-18
10-21
24-21
15-31
9-19
13-30
10-22
18-23
18-16
8-31
23-19
18-12
16-19
13-28
18-13
17-16
11-23
18-25
19-21
18-25
13-32
11-28
4-18
15-30
16-15
17-15
14-20
25-17
154.4Avg total
68.8Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)60.386.2146.5-25.817%
Season at home (3)68.379.7148.0-11.333%
Season away (3)52.392.7145.0-40.30%
Last 10 (10)68.885.6154.4-16.820%
Last 5 (5)62.484.6147.0-22.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)66.787.6154.3-20.929%
vs Similar (9)79.080.8159.8-1.844%
vs Weaker (14)86.466.8153.1+19.686%
This opponent (Ostersund W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ostersund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#1
L
51-53
51
53
-2
51avg 69
A07/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
W
73-70
73
70
+3
68avg 69
H10/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
67-77
67
77
-10
62avg 69
A12/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
68-98
68
98
-30
58avg 69
H15/04
Basketligan W
Lund W
#11
W
74-65
74
65
+9
no box
H03/10
Basketligan W
Onsala W
#2
L
63-85
63
85
-22
52avg 69
H10/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
W
92-89
92
89
+3
77avg 69
A17/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
74-91
74
91
-17
62avg 69
H24/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#9
W
97-66
97
66
+31
87avg 69
A31/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
79-69
79
69
+10
no box
H07/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
11-12
10-5
15-22
21-29
23-9
17-13
12-19
17-19
16-23
14-17
20-18
15-31
17-27
18-30
18-10
19-15
25-14
17-19
13-17
24-19
18-30
17-13
4-23
23-31
20-20
19-19
30-19
9-19
22-22
18-24
25-26
22-17
20-16
31-18
24-15
17-25
21-15
21-13
20-16
150.1Avg total
73.8Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.877.5157.3+2.367%
Season at home (4)72.577.5150.0-5.050%
Season away (2)94.577.5172.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)73.876.3150.1-2.550%
Last 5 (5)81.080.0161.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.381.9152.2-11.622%
vs Similar (9)81.675.7157.2+5.978%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.965.9152.8+21.0100%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -8.6-8.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -8.6-8.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
Hogsbo WOstersund W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brahe W
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/03
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A21/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H28/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
18-39
18
39
-21
A30/03
Basketligan W
Onsala W
#2
L
22-49
22
49
-27
A03/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
26-47
26
47
-21
H10/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A18/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#8
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H24/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
24-60
24
60
-36
A30/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#12
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H07/11
Basketligan W
74.6Avg total
30.4Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.337.575.8+0.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.436.076.4+4.467%-
Last 30 away (15)36.338.975.2-2.753%-
Last 10 (10)30.444.274.6-13.820%-
Last 5 (5)28.246.474.6-18.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)30.946.977.7-16.014%-
vs Similar (9)38.436.975.3+1.656%-
vs Weaker (14)42.033.175.1+8.986%-
This opponent (Ostersund W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ostersund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#1
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A07/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H10/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A12/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
32-58
32
58
-26
H15/04
Basketligan W
Lund W
#11
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H03/10
Basketligan W
Onsala W
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H10/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A17/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H24/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#9
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A31/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H07/11
Basketligan W
78.2Avg total
37.5Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.538.978.4+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.739.980.7+0.860%-
Last 30 away (15)38.337.976.1+0.453%-
Last 10 (10)37.540.778.2-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.242.882.0-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.143.778.8-8.611%-
vs Similar (9)41.440.381.8+1.156%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.334.275.6+7.192%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 68.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.315.8
43.5%
46.8%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.77.2
26.0%
30.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.015.3
76.5%
71.1%15.3
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ostersund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ostersund W: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.017.7
46.6%
46.8%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.0
32.4%
30.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.114.4
68.2%
71.1%14.4
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo W
WLLLLLLLLW
Ostersund W
WWLWLWLLWL
#10
League position
#6
-13.8
Net rating
-1.9
74.5
Offensive rating
79.2
88.3
Defensive rating
81.1
41.6%
Effective FG%
47.4%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
20.4%
Turnover %
21.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
26.0%
3-point %
32.4%
63.9%
Assist %
67.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence74.5 · 79.2Defence88.3 · 81.1Shooting41.6% · 47.4%3-point %26.0% · 32.4%Ball care20.4% · 21.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Hogsbo W   ■ Ostersund W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Hogsbo W wins
6
Ostersund W wins
DateGameScore
25/10/25Hogsbo W v Ostersund W107-63
18/10/25Ostersund W v Hogsbo W65-72
15/02/25Ostersund W v Hogsbo W62-97
02/11/24Hogsbo W v Ostersund W108-70
23/03/24Hogsbo W v Ostersund W87-95 OT
03/02/24Ostersund W v Hogsbo W71-59
07/01/23Ostersund W v Hogsbo W77-63
23/10/22Hogsbo W v Ostersund W62-92
22/02/22Hogsbo W v Ostersund W61-77
18/12/21Ostersund W v Hogsbo W96-68
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HBrahe W72-67
30/10/26ALulea W43-108
24/10/26HVisby W66-94
18/10/26ANorrkoping W64-76
10/10/26HAlvik W67-78
03/10/26AOnsala W50-94
30/03/26ASodertalje W57-91
28/03/26HSodertalje W97-101 OT
21/03/26AMalbas Malmo W66-71
07/03/26ABrahe W106-76
Ostersund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HAlvik W79-69
31/10/26AAIK Basket W97-66
24/10/26HNorrkoping W74-91
17/10/26AUppsala W92-89
10/10/26HOnsala W63-85
03/10/26HLund W74-65
15/04/26HLulea W68-98
12/04/26ALulea W67-77
10/04/26HLulea W73-70
07/04/26ALulea W51-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game60.368.352.3
Allowed / game86.279.792.7
Point differential-25.8-11.3-40.3
Avg total146.5148.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ostersund W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game79.872.594.5
Allowed / game77.577.577.5
Point differential+2.3-5.0+17.0
Avg total157.3150.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W65183%97.556.2+41.3
2 Onsala W65183%88.264.0+24.2
3 Norrkoping W65183%76.563.5+13.0
4 Alvik W65183%80.269.2+11.0
5 Sodertalje W65183%73.066.5+6.5
6 Ostersund W64267%79.877.5+2.3
7 Uppsala W63350%76.271.0+5.2
8 Visby W62433%71.375.7-4.3
9 AIK Basket W61517%64.084.2-20.2
10 Hogsbo W61517%60.386.2-25.8
11 Lund W6060%59.578.3-18.8
12 Brahe W6060%57.591.8-34.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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