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Hogsbo W vs Ostersund W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 108-70
24-14 25-16 34-20 25-20
Position#3
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game65.8
Hogsbo W 🏆
Sweden
vs
Ostersund W
Sweden
Position#10
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game53.0
Allowed / game91.3
SwedenBasketligan W· Gothia Arena
Women2024-25
Meetings · Hogsbo W v Ostersund W
13 Mar 2027
HOGS v OSTE
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
HOGS107
OSTE63
02 Nov 2024
HOGS108
OSTE70
23 Mar 2024
HOGS87
OSTE95
23 Oct 2022
HOGS62
OSTE92
22 Feb 2022
HOGS61
OSTE77
22 Mar 2017
HOGS92
OSTE67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ostersund W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Marbo W
#6
L
61-62
61
62
-1
45avg 68
A10/03
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
110-53
110
53
+57
115avg 68
H16/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
87-95 OT
87
95
-8
no box
H23/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
72-67
72
67
+5
54avg 68
A03/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
73-77
73
77
-4
66avg 68
H05/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
65-84
65
84
-19
50avg 68
A07/04
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
106-71
106
71
+35
106avg 68
H28/09
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
86-40
86
40
+46
90avg 68
A06/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
61-97
61
97
-36
50avg 68
H12/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
102-55
102
55
+47
104avg 68
A19/10
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-8
17-21
10-15
23-18
24-15
26-8
31-13
29-17
15-12
25-25
20-24
18-17
14-17
17-20
14-15
27-15
14-24
21-19
14-15
24-19
16-22
18-20
17-19
14-23
26-19
20-26
29-15
31-11
21-14
16-7
21-14
28-5
9-24
19-19
18-33
15-21
29-13
30-15
27-16
16-11
152.4Avg total
82.3Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)88.865.8154.5+23.075%
Season at home (2)83.584.0167.5-0.550%
Season away (2)94.047.5141.5+46.5100%
Last 10 (10)82.370.1152.4+12.250%
Last 5 (5)84.069.4153.4+14.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)64.484.4148.8-20.08%
vs Similar (2)70.582.0152.5-11.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)84.963.8148.7+21.187%
This opponent (Ostersund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ostersund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
AIK Basket W
#12
W
81-56
81
56
+25
80avg 62
A09/03
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
57-78
57
78
-21
40avg 62
H16/03
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
L
69-82
69
82
-13
62avg 62
A22/03
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
W
95-87 OT
95
87
+8
no box
A23/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
W
71-62
71
62
+9
68avg 62
A03/04
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
60-70
60
70
-10
56avg 62
H05/04
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
63-81
63
81
-18
49avg 62
A07/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
44-108
44
108
-64
27avg 62
A06/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
50-89
50
89
-39
34avg 62
A13/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
65-77
65
77
-12
52avg 62
H19/10
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
18-11
20-14
17-11
19-23
8-23
13-19
17-13
14-22
22-27
15-17
18-16
12-15
25-25
24-20
17-18
10-17
23-13
18-17
20-15
15-6
11-19
17-27
17-18
14-23
15-21
18-11
16-26
18-28
8-31
4-28
14-21
4-27
17-23
14-24
15-15
13-21
16-14
21-20
15-22
144.5Avg total
65.5Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)53.091.3144.3-38.30%
Season at home (1)65.077.0142.0-12.00%
Season away (2)47.098.5145.5-51.50%
Last 10 (10)65.579.0144.5-13.530%
Last 5 (5)56.485.0141.4-28.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)57.781.5139.2-23.70%
vs Similar (5)67.871.2139.0-3.440%
vs Weaker (14)82.365.6147.9+16.686%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +6.8+6.8Q4: -0.9-0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +6.8+6.8Q4: -0.9-0.9
Hogsbo WOstersund W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marbo W
#6
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A10/03
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H16/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H23/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A03/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H05/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A07/04
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H28/09
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
37-21
37
21
+16
A06/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H12/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
59-28
59
28
+31
A19/10
Basketligan W
73.6Avg total
38.8Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.935.672.5+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.634.973.6+3.757%-
Last 30 away (16)35.436.271.6-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)38.834.873.6+4.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.835.876.6+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)31.439.971.3-8.515%-
vs Similar (2)42.039.081.0+3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.131.472.5+9.780%-
This opponent (Ostersund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ostersund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AIK Basket W
#12
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A09/03
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H16/03
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A22/03
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A23/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A03/04
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
W
26-25
26
25
+1
H05/04
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A07/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
26-59
26
59
-33
A06/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
21-50
21
50
-29
A13/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H19/10
Basketligan W
71.7Avg total
30.8Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.536.471.9-0.860%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.033.170.1+3.964%-
Last 30 away (16)34.239.273.4-4.956%-
Last 10 (10)30.840.971.7-10.130%-
Last 5 (5)26.242.668.8-16.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)28.842.771.5-13.927%-
vs Similar (5)33.032.265.2+0.880%-
vs Weaker (14)41.732.974.6+8.979%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.121.7
50.3%
46.2%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.2
29.5%
31.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.613.4
80.7%
71.3%13.4
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ostersund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ostersund W: 64.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.218.3
41.4%
46.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.95.9
29.6%
31.7%17.7
🏀 Free throws16.510.5
63.6%
71.3%10.5
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo W
WLWWLLWLWL
Ostersund W
LLLLLWWLLW
#3
League position
#10
+16.4
Net rating
-14.8
102.8
Offensive rating
85.9
86.3
Defensive rating
100.7
48.0%
Effective FG%
42.4%
41.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
16.6%
Turnover %
22.9%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.26
29.5%
3-point %
29.6%
64.2%
Assist %
55.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 85.9Defence86.3 · 100.7Shooting48.0% · 42.4%3-point %29.5% · 29.6%Ball care16.6% · 22.9%Off. rebounds29.1% · 31.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Hogsbo W   ■ Ostersund W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hogsbo W wins
6
Ostersund W wins
DateGameScore
23/03/24Hogsbo W v Ostersund W87-95 OT
03/02/24Ostersund W v Hogsbo W71-59
07/01/23Ostersund W v Hogsbo W77-63
23/10/22Hogsbo W v Ostersund W62-92
22/02/22Hogsbo W v Ostersund W61-77
18/12/21Ostersund W v Hogsbo W96-68
05/04/17Ostersund W v Hogsbo W63-67
22/03/17Hogsbo W v Ostersund W92-67
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/24AVisby W102-55
12/10/24HLulea W61-97
06/10/24AUppsala W86-40
28/09/24HAlvik W106-71
07/04/24ANorrkoping W65-84
05/04/24HNorrkoping W73-77
03/04/24ANorrkoping W72-67
23/03/24HOstersund W87-95 OT
16/03/24HVisby W110-53
10/03/24AMarbo W61-62
Ostersund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/24HLund W65-77
13/10/24ASodertalje W50-89
06/10/24ANorrkoping W44-108
07/04/24AUppsala W63-81
05/04/24HUppsala W60-70
03/04/24AUppsala W71-62
23/03/24AHogsbo W95-87 OT
22/03/24AMarbo W69-82
16/03/24HLulea W57-78
09/03/24AAIK Basket W81-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game88.883.594.0
Allowed / game65.884.047.5
Point differential+23.0-0.5+46.5
Avg total154.5167.5141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ostersund W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game53.065.047.0
Allowed / game91.377.098.5
Point differential-38.3-12.0-51.5
Avg total144.3142.0145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W660100%95.849.0+46.8
2 Norrkoping W330100%95.063.0+32.0
3 Hogsbo W43175%88.865.8+23.0
4 Alvik W43175%82.283.5-1.2
5 Sodertalje W42250%77.266.2+11.0
6 Lund W31233%60.787.3-26.7
7 Uppsala W41325%54.081.0-27.0
8 Visby W41325%54.090.0-36.0
9 MarkSjuharad W3030%66.378.3-12.0
10 AIK Basket W2020%76.589.0-12.5
11 Ostersund W3030%53.091.3-38.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo W24253425108
Ostersund W1416202070
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