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Hogsbo W vs Ostersund W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 87-95 (OT)
15-12 25-25 20-24 18-17 9-17
Position#7
Record10-11
FormWLLLW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Position#5
Record12-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game67.7
SwedenBasketligan W· Gothia Arena (Göteborg)
Women2023-24
Meetings · Hogsbo W v Ostersund W
13 Mar 2027
HOGS v OSTE
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
HOGS107
OSTE63
02 Nov 2024
HOGS108
OSTE70
23 Mar 2024
HOGS87
OSTE95
23 Oct 2022
HOGS62
OSTE92
22 Feb 2022
HOGS61
OSTE77
22 Mar 2017
HOGS92
OSTE67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ostersund W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Alvik W
#8
W
86-82
86
82
+4
79avg 65
A24/01
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
87-64
87
64
+23
91avg 65
H27/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
61-73
61
73
-12
47avg 65
A02/02
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
59-71
59
71
-12
50avg 65
A03/02
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
72-45
72
45
+27
72avg 65
A15/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
103-70
103
70
+33
80avg 65
H24/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
59-79
59
79
-20
45avg 65
A28/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
82-85
82
85
-3
78avg 65
H02/03
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
L
61-62
61
62
-1
45avg 65
A10/03
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
110-53
110
53
+57
115avg 65
H16/03
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
23-14
23-18
21-25
19-12
18-21
18-14
32-17
13-20
17-15
21-28
10-10
12-19
19-17
11-12
17-23
13-11
18-17
14-10
27-7
28-16
25-14
25-15
25-25
14-21
13-16
19-18
13-24
29-20
24-22
8-21
21-22
11-8
17-21
10-15
23-18
24-15
26-8
31-13
29-17
146.4Avg total
78.0Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)73.572.0145.5+1.648%
Season at home (10)78.473.0151.4+5.460%
Season away (11)69.171.0140.1-1.936%
Last 10 (10)78.068.4146.4+9.650%
Last 5 (5)83.069.8152.8+13.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)60.286.3146.5-26.17%
vs Similar (2)70.582.0152.5-11.50%
vs Weaker (13)80.566.6147.2+13.977%
This opponent (Ostersund W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ostersund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Uppsala W
#4
W
75-68
75
68
+7
73avg 66
H27/01
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
W
71-59
71
59
+12
67avg 66
H03/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
54-63
54
63
-9
41avg 66
A14/02
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
111-62
111
62
+49
116avg 66
H17/02
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
69-63
69
63
+6
69avg 66
H24/02
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
54-78
54
78
-24
41avg 66
A28/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
88-60
88
60
+28
83avg 66
A02/03
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
81-56
81
56
+25
80avg 66
A09/03
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
57-78
57
78
-21
40avg 66
H16/03
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
L
69-82
69
82
-13
62avg 66
A22/03
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-11
22-14
17-20
19-23
19-12
17-19
12-11
23-17
18-19
20-18
14-16
2-10
27-20
37-18
31-11
16-13
9-18
23-18
20-7
17-20
8-20
10-24
19-23
17-11
26-21
13-8
19-11
30-20
26-20
18-11
20-14
17-11
19-23
8-23
13-19
17-13
14-22
22-27
15-17
18-16
139.8Avg total
72.9Scored
66.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)74.167.7141.8+6.457%
Season at home (11)77.768.5146.3+9.273%
Season away (10)70.166.8136.9+3.340%
Last 10 (10)72.966.9139.8+6.060%
Last 5 (5)69.870.8140.6-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)59.078.4137.4-19.40%
vs Similar (4)69.566.2135.8+3.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)81.666.5148.1+15.182%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +2.2+2.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +2.2+2.2
Hogsbo WOstersund W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvik W
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A24/01
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H27/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A02/02
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A03/02
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A15/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H24/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A28/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H02/03
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A10/03
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H16/03
Basketligan W
71.4Avg total
38.2Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.137.272.3-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.735.871.5-0.143%-
Last 30 away (16)34.638.473.1-3.838%-
Last 10 (10)38.233.271.4+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.232.274.4+10.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)30.841.472.2-10.613%-
vs Similar (2)42.039.081.0+3.050%-
vs Weaker (13)39.132.171.2+7.069%-
This opponent (Ostersund W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ostersund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uppsala W
#4
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H27/01
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#7
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H03/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A14/02
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
64-38
64
38
+26
H17/02
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H24/02
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
18-44
18
44
-26
A28/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A02/03
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A09/03
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H16/03
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A22/03
Basketligan W
73.9Avg total
37.3Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.035.572.5+1.563%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.334.172.4+4.265%-
Last 30 away (13)35.337.472.7-2.162%-
Last 10 (10)37.336.673.9+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)32.839.872.6-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)29.741.671.2-11.933%-
vs Similar (4)33.230.063.2+3.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.833.675.4+8.176%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.719.8
44.3%
44.5%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.28.4
29.8%
30.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws14.912.2
81.9%
73.7%12.2
They take 72.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ostersund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ostersund W: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.518.8
42.2%
44.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.07.6
38.0%
30.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws16.411.8
72.0%
73.7%11.8
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo W
WLLLWWLLWW
Ostersund W
LLWWLWWLWW
#7
League position
#5
+11.7
Net rating
+9.1
98.7
Offensive rating
97.7
87.1
Defensive rating
88.6
44.4%
Effective FG%
46.8%
40.4%
Opp. effective FG%
40.4%
18.3%
Turnover %
17.5%
34.7%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.25
29.8%
3-point %
38.0%
70.6%
Assist %
68.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.7 · 97.7Defence87.1 · 88.6Shooting44.4% · 46.8%3-point %29.8% · 38.0%Ball care18.3% · 17.5%Off. rebounds34.7% · 27.8%Free throws0.20 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Hogsbo W   ■ Ostersund W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hogsbo W wins
5
Ostersund W wins
DateGameScore
03/02/24Ostersund W v Hogsbo W71-59
07/01/23Ostersund W v Hogsbo W77-63
23/10/22Hogsbo W v Ostersund W62-92
22/02/22Hogsbo W v Ostersund W61-77
18/12/21Ostersund W v Hogsbo W96-68
05/04/17Ostersund W v Hogsbo W63-67
22/03/17Hogsbo W v Ostersund W92-67
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24HVisby W110-53
10/03/24AMarbo W61-62
02/03/24HUppsala W82-85
28/02/24ASodertalje W59-79
24/02/24HLund W103-70
15/02/24ASjuharads W72-45
03/02/24AOstersund W59-71
02/02/24ALulea W61-73
27/01/24HAIK Basket W87-64
24/01/24AAlvik W86-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/24AMarbo W69-82
16/03/24HLulea W57-78
09/03/24AAIK Basket W81-56
02/03/24AAlvik W88-60
28/02/24ANorrkoping W54-78
24/02/24HSjuharads W69-63
17/02/24HVisby W111-62
14/02/24ALulea W54-63
03/02/24HHogsbo W71-59
27/01/24HUppsala W75-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW48%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayLLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %48%60%36%
Points / game73.578.469.1
Allowed / game72.073.071.0
Point differential+1.6+5.4-1.9
Avg total145.5151.4140.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ostersund W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL57%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %57%73%40%
Points / game74.177.770.1
Allowed / game67.768.566.8
Point differential+6.4+9.2+3.3
Avg total141.8146.3136.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%36%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sodertalje W2120195%87.959.4+28.5
2 Lulea W2119290%83.558.1+25.4
3 Norrkoping W2118386%82.064.0+18.0
4 Uppsala W2114767%78.172.4+5.7
5 Ostersund W2112957%74.167.7+6.4
6 Hogsbo W21101148%73.572.0+1.6
7 Marbo W21101148%69.575.2-5.8
8 Alvik W2181338%73.380.1-6.9
9 Sjuharads W2161529%60.368.6-8.3
10 Lund W2151624%67.286.1-18.9
11 Visby W2131814%61.084.9-23.8
12 AIK Basket W211205%60.982.9-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Hogsbo W15252018987
Ostersund W122524171795
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